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Premyer Liqa

Qarabag VS Araz: Final Score & Prediction

Premyer Liqa 06.09.2026 · 12:15 Tofiq Bahramov Stadium Referee: C. Calilov
Qarabag emblem
Qarabag
W
L
D
W
W
Full Time
3 – 2
HT 1:0
06 Sep · 12:15
Araz emblem
Araz
L
L
D

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
J. MontielGoal
8'
14'
R. MuradovYellow Card
37'
I. ParoSubstitution · Bruno Franco
C. MakreckisYellow Card
44'
44'
M. AhmadzadaYellow Card
65'
M. AhmadzadaSubstitution · C. Nuriyev
65'
A. SudiSubstitution · A. Salyanskiy
T. IsmaheelSubstitution · R. Cephas
65'
J. MontielSubstitution · M. Qurbanly
65'
R. CephasGoal
67'
72'
L. DumancicGoal
Diego RosaSubstitution · Pedro Bicalho
73'
75'
P. AndradeSubstitution · A. Fernandez
75'
R. MuradovSubstitution · C. Boli
79'
M. KaneYellow Card
O. KashchukSubstitution · R. Khadra
87'
M. QurbanlyGoal
89'
90+3'
A. SalyanskiyGoal

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
77%
Qarabag
16%
Draw
7%
Araz

Form Comparison

■ Qarabag ■ Araz
Qarabag
Araz
86%
Form
14%
100%
Att
0%
86%
Def
14%
100%
Poisson distribution
0%
100%
H2h
0%
95%
Goals
5%
89%
Total
11%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
08.03.2026
Qarabag vs Araz
6 — 0
14.12.2025
Qarabag vs Araz
5 — 1
21.09.2025
Araz vs Qarabag
0 — 5
11.05.2025
Qarabag vs Araz
2 — 0
23.04.2025
Qarabag vs Araz
3 — 0
02.04.2025
Araz vs Qarabag
1 — 0
08.03.2025
Araz vs Qarabag
1 — 3
22.12.2024
Qarabag vs Araz
2 — 0
02.08.2024
Araz vs Qarabag
1 — 4
26.05.2024
Araz vs Qarabag
2 — 2

Last Matches

Qarabag
Araz
31.08.2026
Sumqayıt vs Qarabag
1 — 0
27.08.2026
Qarabag vs Twente
1 — 4
22.08.2026
Qarabag vs Kapaz
-
20.08.2026
Twente vs Qarabag
1 — 0
17.08.2026
Qarabag vs Şamaxı FK
3 — 1
W: 3 · D: 0 · L: 1

Qarabag enters this matchup with a strong head-to-head history against Araz, having won all five of their previous encounters. The most recent of these was a dominant 6-0 victory. Qarabag's current form is also impressive, with three wins in their last five matches, including a notable away victory against Twente. Meanwhile, Araz has struggled significantly, particularly highlighted by a 5-0 defeat to Neftchi Baku in their last outing.

In terms of form and context, Qarabag holds a distinct advantage. Sitting 4th in the league, they have shown resilience and capability, especially in their home performances where they average 1.20 goals per game. Their defensive record is solid too, conceding only 1.00 goal per game at home. In contrast, Araz's recent performances have been underwhelming. Without a win in their last five matches, they have yet to score a goal and have conceded an average of 2.50 goals per game. Their lone draw against Imisli FK shows a slight improvement, but facing a team like Qarabag presents a steep challenge.

Key numbers further underline Qarabag's superiority. They have scored an average of 1.40 goals across their last five matches, while Araz has failed to find the net in the same period. Defensively, Qarabag has been robust, conceding only 1.00 goal per game, whereas Araz has struggled to contain opponents, allowing 5.00 goals in their only away game during this span. The head-to-head statistics reinforce this disparity, with Qarabag consistently scoring multiple goals in each encounter and maintaining a clean sheet in three of the last five meetings.

Looking ahead to the prediction, Qarabag is poised to continue their dominance over Araz. With no injuries or suspensions affecting either side, Qarabag's depth and recent form are likely to be decisive. The matchup suggests a high probability for a Qarabag win, but the more intriguing betting angle might be in the handicap market. A prediction of Qarabag winning with a handicap of 1.5 looks promising, given their past results and Araz's current defensive vulnerabilities. The confidence in this prediction is bolstered by Qarabag's ability to score freely against Araz historically.

Additionally, other betting markets present opportunities. Given the goal-scoring form of Qarabag and Araz's defensive lapses, a bet on Qarabag scoring over 2 goals seems likely. The probability of Qarabag keeping a clean sheet is also high, considering Araz's struggles in front of goal. Lastly, the chance of over 3 goals in the match aligns with the historical trend of high-scoring affairs between these teams. While these additional predictions carry varying degrees of probability, they all align with the statistical trends observed in both teams' recent performances.

Prediction and Betting Tips

9/10 Confidence
Win 1
85%
Total Team 1 Over: 2
70%
Total:Over: 3.0
65%
Total Team 2 Under: 0.5
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Qarabag vs Araz
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Pinnacle
1xBet

Premyer Liqa Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Sabah FA logoSabah FA
3 3 0 0 9
2
Zira logoZira
4 3 0 1 9
3
Qarabag logoQarabag ★
3 3 0 0 9
4
Neftchi Baku logoNeftchi Baku
4 3 0 1 9
5
Turan logoTuran
4 2 1 1 7
6
Şamaxı FK logoŞamaxı FK
4 1 2 1 5
7
Qabala logoQabala
4 1 1 2 4
8
Imisli FK logoImisli FK
4 1 1 2 4
9
Kapaz logoKapaz
3 1 0 2 3
10
Safa Baku logoSafa Baku
4 1 0 3 3
11
Araz logoAraz ★
4 0 1 3 1
12
Sumqayıt logoSumqayıt
3 0 0 3 0
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