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Premyer Liqa

Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku Prediction

Premyer Liqa 17.10.2026 · 11:00 Tofiq Bahramov Stadium Referee: K. Rahimov
Qarabag emblem
Qarabag
W
W
D
W
W
vs
– : –
17 Oct · 11:00
Neftchi Baku emblem
Neftchi Baku
D
W
W
W
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
49%
Qarabag
27%
Draw
24%
Neftchi Baku

Form Comparison

■ Qarabag ■ Neftchi Baku
Qarabag
Neftchi Baku
57%
Form
43%
44%
Att
56%
57%
Def
43%
43%
Poisson distribution
57%
80%
H2h
20%
80%
Goals
20%
60%
Total
40%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
30.04.2026
Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag
2 — 1
26.04.2026
Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag
1 — 5
09.11.2025
Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku
2 — 0
19.04.2025
Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku
3 — 0
16.02.2025
Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag
0 — 1
01.12.2024
Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag
0 — 3
20.09.2024
Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku
4 — 0
04.05.2024
Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku
5 — 0
24.04.2024
Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku
4 — 1
02.04.2024
Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag
0 — 4

Last Matches

Qarabag
Neftchi Baku
11.10.2026
Imisli FK vs Qarabag
2 — 0
18.09.2026
Qarabag vs Safa Baku
1 — 0
13.09.2026
Zira vs Qarabag
1 — 1
06.09.2026
Qarabag vs Araz
3 — 2
31.08.2026
Sumqayıt vs Qarabag
1 — 0
W: 4 · D: 1 · L: 0

On October 17, 2026, Azerbaijani football fans will witness an exciting clash between Qarabag and Neftchi Baku at the Tofiq Bahramov Stadium. Both teams are positioned at the top of the Premyer Liqa table, with Neftchi Baku leading and Qarabag trailing closely in third place. This match promises to be a competitive encounter as these two teams battle for supremacy.

Qarabag's Home Resilience

Qarabag has shown commendable form in their recent league matches, securing a place in the top three of the Premyer Liqa standings. With a record of three wins, one draw, and just one loss in their last five matches, Qarabag demonstrates a solid performance, especially at home where they have scored an average of 1.60 goals per game. Despite a recent defeat against Twente in the UEFA Europa Conference League, Qarabag remains a formidable force domestically, particularly against lower-ranked teams. Their goal-scoring capability and defensive stability at home make them a challenging opponent for any visiting team.

Neftchi Baku's Dominant Attack

Neftchi Baku currently sits at the top of the league, driven by an impressive attacking form that has seen them score an average of three goals per game in their last five outings. Their offensive prowess was evident in their recent commanding victories against Qabala and Araz. While they have shown vulnerability with a loss to Zira, their away form remains strong, winning four out of their last five away matches. Neftchi Baku's ability to score consistently, coupled with solid defensive performances, positions them as a tough adversary for Qarabag.

Prediction of a Competitive Clash

In this highly anticipated encounter between Qarabag and Neftchi Baku, our prediction leans towards a "Both Teams to Score: Yes" outcome. Both teams have demonstrated strong attacking capabilities, with Neftchi's prolific scoring record and Qarabag's resilience at home being key factors. Furthermore, the previous head-to-head results suggest that both teams have the potential to find the back of the net.

Additional predictions include a "Draw" as both teams are closely matched in form and league position. The match is expected to see "Total: Over 1.5" goals, given the attacking strengths of both sides. Qarabag is likely to score "Total Team 1: Over 0.5", reflecting their home scoring rate. Similarly, Neftchi Baku is predicted to achieve "Total Team 2: Over 0.5", aligning with their strong away performances. These predictions collectively highlight a closely fought contest with both teams likely contributing to the scoreline.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Match Result: X
35%
Total:Over: 1.5
75%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
80%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
85%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Premyer Liqa Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Sabah FA logoSabah FA
7 6 1 0 19
2
Neftchi Baku logoNeftchi Baku ★
8 5 2 1 17
3
Qarabag logoQarabag ★
7 5 2 0 17
4
Turan logoTuran
8 4 2 2 14
5
Şamaxı FK logoŞamaxı FK
8 3 4 1 13
6
Zira logoZira
8 3 3 2 12
7
Kapaz logoKapaz
7 3 2 2 11
8
Sumqayıt logoSumqayıt
7 2 2 3 8
9
Imisli FK logoImisli FK
8 2 1 5 7
10
Qabala logoQabala
8 1 1 6 4
11
Safa Baku logoSafa Baku
8 1 0 7 3
12
Araz logoAraz
8 0 2 6 2
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