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Premyer Liqa

Safa Baku VS Sabah FA: Final Score & Prediction

Premyer Liqa 14.09.2026 · 11:00 ASK Arena Referee: N. Ismayilli
Safa Baku emblem
Safa Baku
L
L
W
L
Full Time
0 – 3
HT 0:2
14 Sep · 11:00
Sabah FA emblem
Sabah FA
L
W
W
W
D

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
25'
O. MbinaGoal
30'
A. KhaybulaevGoal
T. FullerSubstitution · V. Qanbarov
58'
F. YusifliSubstitution · V. Pop
58'
M. JarjueSubstitution · A. Agcabayov
63'
63'
Y. LachaabSubstitution · J. Mickels
63'
O. MbinaSubstitution · Carlos Eduardo
69'
V. SimicGoal
73'
U. RakhmonaliyevSubstitution · Junior Almeida
73'
V. SimicSubstitution · R. Fernandes
D. MertensSubstitution · N. Aliyev
74'
B. DansokoSubstitution · O. Diaw
74'
81'
A. KhaybulaevSubstitution · R. Rustamli

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
9%
Safa Baku
19%
Draw
72%
Sabah FA

Form Comparison

■ Safa Baku ■ Sabah FA
Safa Baku
Sabah FA
25%
Form
75%
20%
Att
80%
0%
Def
100%
0%
Poisson distribution
100%
0%
H2h
0%
0%
Goals
0%
23%
Total
78%

Last Matches

Safa Baku
Sabah FA
05.09.2026
Neftchi Baku vs Safa Baku
1 — 4
29.08.2026
Safa Baku vs Imisli FK
0 — 1
22.08.2026
Qabala vs Safa Baku
1 — 0
16.08.2026
Zira vs Safa Baku
0 — 2
W: 1 · D: 0 · L: 3

Sabah FA are the leading force in the Premyer Liqa, currently topping the league with a remarkable run, having scored an average of 2.40 goals per game in their last five outings. In stark contrast, Safa Baku are struggling, languishing in 9th place with a mere 0.50 goals scored on average in the same number of matches. The disparity in form between these two sides sets the stage for an intriguing encounter at ASK Arena.

Form and Context

Safa Baku come into this match on the back of a challenging period, having secured only one win in their last five matches. Their recent form reads as one win and four losses, indicating a difficult spell. At home, the situation has been even more dire, with no wins from their last five home games and a worrisome average of zero goals scored at home. Conversely, Sabah FA have been in scintillating form, winning four of their last five matches. They have shown resilience both home and away, although their away form has been slightly less impressive with three wins and two losses in their last five trips. Nonetheless, their average of 1.40 goals scored per game on the road still outstrips Safa Baku's entire goal-scoring record.

Key Numbers

Statistically, the numbers heavily favor Sabah FA. Their scoring prowess is highlighted by their 5-0 demolition of Zira and a solid 5-2 victory over Hapoel Beer Sheva, demonstrating their ability to find the back of the net with ease. Defensively, they have been relatively solid, conceding just 0.80 goals per match on average. On the other hand, Safa Baku have been porous at the back, conceding an average of 1.75 goals per match in their last five outings, which starkly contrasts with Sabah FA's defensive record. The lack of head-to-head data means both teams will rely on their current form and statistics, with Sabah FA clearly holding the statistical upper hand.

Prediction

Given the stark contrast in form and statistics, Sabah FA are the clear favorites heading into this match. Their superior goal-scoring ability and relatively sturdy defense suggest they will dominate proceedings. The most likely betting event is "Win 2," as Sabah FA's current form and Safa Baku's home woes suggest an away victory. The confidence score for this prediction is 8, based on Sabah FA's consistent performance and Safa Baku's struggles. Additional predictions include the likelihood of a "Total:Over: 2.0" given Sabah's scoring ability, with a 70% probability. A "Total:Under: 3.0" event is also probable due to Sabah's solid defense, with a 60% chance. Furthermore, a "Handicap 1: 1" for Sabah FA seems viable, given their form, with a 65% probability. Lastly, a "Total Team 1 Under: 0.5" event for Safa Baku is likely, with a 75% chance, considering their poor scoring record at home.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.0
70%
Total:Under: 3.0
60%
Handicap 1: 1
65%
Total Team 1 Under: 0.5
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Safa Baku vs Sabah FA
William Hill
Bet365
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
1xBet

Premyer Liqa Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Neftchi Baku logoNeftchi Baku
6 5 0 1 15
2
Sabah FA logoSabah FA ★
5 5 0 0 15
3
Qarabag logoQarabag
5 4 1 0 13
4
Turan logoTuran
6 3 2 1 11
5
Zira logoZira
6 3 1 2 10
6
Kapaz logoKapaz
4 2 0 2 6
7
Şamaxı FK logoŞamaxı FK
5 1 3 1 6
8
Qabala logoQabala
6 1 1 4 4
9
Imisli FK logoImisli FK
6 1 1 4 4
10
Safa Baku logoSafa Baku ★
6 1 0 5 3
11
Araz logoAraz
5 0 2 3 2
12
Sumqayıt logoSumqayıt
4 0 1 3 1
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