Home Today Tomorrow Weekend Week
All times in your local time UTC-4 Today Mon, 26 Oct 2026
Primeira Liga

Arouca vs Nacional Prediction

Primeira Liga 01.11.2026 · 10:30 Referee: L. Filipe
Arouca emblem
Arouca
W
W
W
D
L
vs
– : –
01 Nov · 10:30
Nacional emblem
Nacional
L
L
L
L
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Arouca
45%
Draw
10%
Nacional

Form Comparison

■ Arouca ■ Nacional
Arouca
Nacional
100%
Form
0%
50%
Att
50%
79%
Def
21%
85%
Poisson distribution
15%
80%
H2h
20%
73%
Goals
27%
73%
Total
27%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
21.02.2026
Arouca vs Nacional
3 — 0
20.09.2025
Nacional vs Arouca
1 — 2
01.02.2025
Nacional vs Arouca
1 — 2
25.08.2024
Arouca vs Nacional
1 — 0
06.05.2018
Arouca vs Nacional
0 — 1
22.12.2017
Nacional vs Arouca
2 — 2
28.01.2017
Nacional vs Arouca
1 — 1
21.08.2016
Arouca vs Nacional
2 — 0
01.05.2016
Arouca vs Nacional
3 — 0
02.01.2016
Nacional vs Arouca
2 — 2

Last Matches

Arouca
Nacional
24.10.2026
Alverca vs Arouca
1 — 0
18.10.2026
CF Os Belenenses vs Arouca
4 — 3
11.10.2026
Arouca vs Estrela
1 — 0
19.09.2026
Sporting CP vs Arouca
2 — 2
13.09.2026
Arouca vs Santa Clara
1 — 2
W: 3 · D: 1 · L: 1

In an intriguing Primeira Liga clash, Arouca will host Nacional on November 1, 2026. With both teams fighting for different objectives, this encounter promises to be an exciting contest as Arouca looks to consolidate their position in the upper half of the table, while Nacional seeks crucial points to climb out of the relegation zone.

Arouca's Strong Start

Arouca has enjoyed a promising start to their 2026 Primeira Liga campaign, sitting in fifth place with 14 points from eight matches. Their recent form has been solid, with notable performances including a thrilling 4-3 victory over CF Os Belenenses in the Taça de Portugal and a commendable 2-2 draw against Sporting CP. Arouca's home form has been particularly impressive, as they have won three of their last four matches at home, scoring an average of 2.00 goals per game while conceding just 0.75. This strong home record will provide a crucial advantage against a struggling Nacional side.

Nacional's Struggles

Nacional finds themselves in a precarious position, languishing in 16th place with only four points. Their recent form paints a challenging picture, having lost all five of their last matches across all competitions. Defensively, they have been vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.60 goals per game during this period. Offensively, their struggles are evident, with just 0.60 goals scored per match. This poor run of form leaves Nacional desperately searching for a turnaround, but a visit to Arouca, where they have historically struggled, will be a formidable task.

Prediction: Arouca to Capitalize on Nacional's Woes

In this match between Arouca and Nacional, the prediction is a home win for Arouca. The main pick is "1" for Arouca to win. Arouca's superior form, particularly at home, coupled with Nacional's defensive frailties and attacking struggles, makes them the favorites.

Additionally, it is predicted that the match will see "Total: Over 1.5" goals, given Arouca's attacking prowess and Nacional's defensive issues. Another compatible prediction is "Both Teams to Score: No," as Nacional's scoring record suggests they may struggle to find the net. Furthermore, Arouca is expected to score "Total Team 1: Over 1.5" goals, while Nacional is predicted to be limited to "Total Team 2: Under 1" goal. These predictions align with Arouca's strong home form and Nacional's recent difficulties.

Arouca's favorable position in the league and their recent performances suggest they have the upper hand, making them a strong candidate for victory.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
75%
Both Teams to Score: No
65%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
70%
Total Team 2 Under: 1
60%

Primeira Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
FC Porto logoFC Porto
9 9 0 0 27
2
Benfica logoBenfica
8 6 1 1 19
3
Sporting CP logoSporting CP
9 5 3 1 18
4
Santa Clara logoSanta Clara
8 5 3 0 18
5
Arouca logoArouca ★
9 5 2 2 17
6
Academico Viseu logoAcademico Viseu
9 5 2 2 17
7
GIL Vicente logoGIL Vicente
9 4 2 3 14
8
Alverca logoAlverca
9 3 2 4 11
9
SC Braga logoSC Braga
9 3 2 4 11
10
Moreirense logoMoreirense
9 3 2 4 11
11
Famalicao logoFamalicao
9 2 4 3 10
12
Estrela logoEstrela
9 2 4 3 10
13
Vitória SC logoVitória SC
9 2 2 5 8
14
Maritimo logoMaritimo
9 2 2 5 8
15
Nacional logoNacional ★
9 2 1 6 7
16
Casa Pia logoCasa Pia
9 2 1 6 7
17
Rio Ave logoRio Ave
9 2 1 6 7
18
Estoril logoEstoril
9 0 2 7 2
Recommended Match Predictions
Get Today's Best Predictions
AI-powered analysis across 50+ leagues. Free forever.
Start Now