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Primeira Liga

Benfica vs Vitória SC Prediction

Primeira Liga 11.10.2026 · 13:00 Estádio da Luz Referee: Luis Miguel Branco Godinho
Benfica emblem
Benfica
L
W
W
W
W
vs
– : –
11 Oct · 13:00
Vitória SC emblem
Vitória SC
W
D
L
D
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
79%
Benfica
14%
Draw
7%
Vitória SC

Form Comparison

■ Benfica ■ Vitória SC
Benfica
Vitória SC
71%
Form
29%
81%
Att
19%
44%
Def
56%
80%
Poisson distribution
20%
93%
H2h
7%
86%
Goals
14%
76%
Total
24%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
21.03.2026
Benfica vs Vitória SC
3 — 0
01.11.2025
Vitória SC vs Benfica
0 — 3
19.04.2025
Vitória SC vs Benfica
0 — 3
07.12.2024
Benfica vs Vitória SC
1 — 0
11.02.2024
Vitória SC vs Benfica
2 — 2
02.09.2023
Benfica vs Vitória SC
4 — 0
18.03.2023
Benfica vs Vitória SC
5 — 1
01.10.2022
Vitória SC vs Benfica
0 — 0
27.02.2022
Benfica vs Vitória SC
3 — 0
27.10.2021
Vitória SC vs Benfica
3 — 3

Last Matches

Benfica
Vitória SC
20.09.2026
FC Porto vs Benfica
1 — 3
16.09.2026
AC Milan vs Benfica
2 — 0
13.09.2026
Benfica vs GIL Vicente
3 — 1
09.09.2026
Moreirense vs Benfica
4 — 0
05.09.2026
Maritimo vs Benfica
3 — 0
W: 4 · D: 0 · L: 1

Benfica will host Vitória SC in what promises to be an intriguing Primeira Liga fixture. As the league progresses, both teams are eager to improve their standings and secure valuable points. Benfica, currently in strong form, will look to capitalize on their home advantage against a struggling Vitória SC.

Benfica's Strong Form and Ambitions

Benfica enters this match sitting second in the Primeira Liga table with 16 points from seven games. Their recent form has been impressive, with four wins in their last five matches across all competitions. This includes a notable 2-0 away victory over AC Milan in the UEFA Europa League, reflecting their ability to compete at a high level. Domestically, they have been dominant, scoring an average of 2.60 goals per game while conceding just 0.80. At home, Benfica has been particularly formidable, with an unbeaten record in their last five home games, scoring 3.20 goals per match on average. This form positions them as strong favorites in this clash against Vitória SC.

Vitória SC's Struggles and Challenges

Vitória SC, on the other hand, has had a challenging start to the season. Currently sitting 14th in the table, they have managed just five points from their seven matches. Their recent performances have been less convincing, with only one win in their last five games. Despite a decent defensive record, conceding only 0.80 goals per game, their attacking output has been underwhelming, averaging only 0.60 goals per match. Vitória SC's away form further complicates their task, as they have suffered three losses in their last five away fixtures, scoring just 1.40 goals per game. Facing a high-flying Benfica side, they will need to address these issues to stand a chance of securing a positive result.

Prediction: Benfica's Dominance to Continue

Given the current form and historical head-to-head record, where Benfica has won four of the last five encounters against Vitória SC, the prediction leans heavily towards a Benfica victory. Benfica's attacking prowess and solid defense make them strong contenders to secure all three points.

Main Prediction: Handicap 1: 1.5 Benfica's recent performances, particularly at home, suggest they are likely to win by more than a single goal. Their superior attacking capabilities against Vitória SC's struggling defense support this prediction.

Additional Predictions: 1. Double Chance: 1X (Probability: 90) 2. Both Teams to Score: No (Probability: 75) 3. Total Team 1: Over 1.5 (Probability: 85) 4. Total Team 2: Under 0.5 (Probability: 70)

These predictions reflect Benfica's expected dominance in both defense and attack, with Vitória SC likely to struggle to find the net.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
1X
90%
Both Teams to Score: No
75%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
85%
Total Team 2 Under: 0.5
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Bet365
BetVictor
SBO

Primeira Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
FC Porto logoFC Porto
8 8 0 0 24
2
Benfica logoBenfica ★
8 6 1 1 19
3
Sporting CP logoSporting CP
8 5 3 0 18
4
Santa Clara logoSanta Clara
8 5 3 0 18
5
Arouca logoArouca
8 4 2 2 14
6
GIL Vicente logoGIL Vicente
8 4 2 2 14
7
Academico Viseu logoAcademico Viseu
8 4 2 2 14
8
Alverca logoAlverca
8 3 2 3 11
9
SC Braga logoSC Braga
8 3 2 3 11
10
Estrela logoEstrela
8 2 4 2 10
11
Maritimo logoMaritimo
8 2 2 4 8
12
Moreirense logoMoreirense
8 2 2 4 8
13
Famalicao logoFamalicao
8 1 4 3 7
14
Rio Ave logoRio Ave
8 2 1 5 7
15
Vitória SC logoVitória SC ★
8 1 2 5 5
16
Nacional logoNacional
8 1 1 6 4
17
Casa Pia logoCasa Pia
8 1 1 6 4
18
Estoril logoEstoril
8 0 2 6 2
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