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Primeira Liga

Casa Pia vs FC Porto Prediction

Primeira Liga 12.09.2026 · 13:00 Referee: P. Ramalho
Casa Pia emblem
Casa Pia
D
L
L
L
L
vs
– : –
12 Sep · 13:00
FC Porto emblem
FC Porto
L
W
W
W
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
8%
Casa Pia
17%
Draw
75%
FC Porto

Form Comparison

■ Casa Pia ■ FC Porto
Casa Pia
FC Porto
6%
Form
94%
0%
Att
100%
8%
Def
92%
0%
Poisson distribution
100%
20%
H2h
80%
23%
Goals
77%
14%
Total
86%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
02.02.2026
Casa Pia vs FC Porto
2 — 1
24.08.2025
FC Porto vs Casa Pia
4 — 0
12.04.2025
Casa Pia vs FC Porto
0 — 1
02.12.2024
FC Porto vs Casa Pia
2 — 0
21.04.2024
Casa Pia vs FC Porto
1 — 2
09.12.2023
FC Porto vs Casa Pia
3 — 1
14.05.2023
FC Porto vs Casa Pia
2 — 1
07.01.2023
Casa Pia vs FC Porto
0 — 0
05.12.2019
Casa Pia vs FC Porto
0 — 3

Last Matches

Casa Pia
FC Porto
06.09.2026
Vitória SC vs Casa Pia
0 — 0
30.08.2026
Casa Pia vs Moreirense
0 — 1
24.08.2026
GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia
0 — 2
17.08.2026
Casa Pia vs Benfica
0 — 7
08.08.2026
Maritimo vs Casa Pia
0 — 1
W: 0 · D: 1 · L: 4

FC Porto boasts an impressive defensive record, having conceded zero goals in their last five matches, a testament to their top position in the league. In stark contrast, Casa Pia has struggled significantly, conceding an average of 3.40 goals per game over the same period and sitting at the bottom of the table. This performance disparity sets the stage for the upcoming clash between these two sides.

Casa Pia enters the match on a worrying note, with five consecutive losses and an inability to score at home, having failed to find the net in their last two home fixtures. Their average goals conceded at home stands at a concerning 4.00, highlighting defensive frailties. Meanwhile, FC Porto has been in commanding form, winning all their last five fixtures, including two decisive away victories where they conceded only 0.33 goals on average. Head-to-head, FC Porto has a dominant record, winning four of their last five encounters against Casa Pia. The only blemish in FC Porto's recent travels was a single away loss, but their overall form and league position suggest a strong capability to handle Casa Pia's challenge.

Casa Pia's home struggles are mirrored by their overall attacking inefficiency, scoring only 0.40 goals per game in their last five outings. FC Porto, on the other hand, has averaged 2.00 goals per match in their recent run, illustrating a significant imbalance in firepower. The head-to-head record further underscores Porto's superiority, as they have outscored Casa Pia in four of their last five meetings. Notably, the last encounter in which Casa Pia emerged victorious was a narrow 2:1 win, an anomaly in an otherwise Porto-dominated series. With no injuries or suspensions affecting either side, both teams will field their strongest possible lineups, but Casa Pia's lack of form and attacking output remains a critical weakness.

Given the current form and statistical trends, the prediction for this match is centered around FC Porto's likely continued defensive solidity. The main prediction is for Casa Pia to score under 0.5 goals. This outcome is supported by Casa Pia's inability to score in recent home matches and Porto's excellent defensive record. Confidence in this prediction is high, given Porto's recent performances and Casa Pia's struggles. Additional predictions include a Total:Under: 2.5, considering Casa Pia's low scoring rate and Porto's defensive strength, with a probability of 70%. A Total Team 2 Over: 1.5 prediction is also viable, as Porto has consistently managed to score at least two goals in recent matches, with a probability of 65%. Given Casa Pia's defensive issues, a Handicap 2: 1 is plausible, expecting Porto to win by more than one goal, with a probability of 60%. Lastly, a prediction of Total Team 1 Under: 0.5, aligning with the main prediction, has a probability of 80%.

Prediction and Betting Tips

9/10 Confidence
Total:Under: 2.5
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5
65%
Handicap 2: 1
60%
Total Team 1 Under: 0.5
80%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Casa Pia vs FC Porto
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
BetVictor
Pinnacle
1xBet

Primeira Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
FC Porto logoFC Porto ★
5 5 0 0 15
2
Benfica logoBenfica
5 4 1 0 13
3
Sporting CP logoSporting CP
5 4 1 0 13
4
Santa Clara logoSanta Clara
5 3 2 0 11
5
Arouca logoArouca
5 3 1 1 10
6
Estrela logoEstrela
5 2 3 0 9
7
GIL Vicente logoGIL Vicente
4 2 1 1 7
8
SC Braga logoSC Braga
4 2 1 1 7
9
Maritimo logoMaritimo
5 2 1 2 7
10
Academico Viseu logoAcademico Viseu
5 1 2 2 5
11
Vitória SC logoVitória SC
5 1 1 3 4
12
Nacional logoNacional
5 1 1 3 4
13
Moreirense logoMoreirense
5 1 1 3 4
14
Famalicao logoFamalicao
5 0 3 2 3
15
Rio Ave logoRio Ave
5 1 0 4 3
16
Estoril logoEstoril
5 0 2 3 2
17
Alverca logoAlverca
5 0 2 3 2
18
Casa Pia logoCasa Pia ★
5 0 1 4 1
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