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Primeira Liga

Famalicao vs Nacional Prediction

Primeira Liga 21.03.2026 · 15:30 Estadio Municipal de Famalicao Referee: Claudio Filipe Ruivo Pereira, Portugal
Famalicao emblem
Famalicao
W
W
D
W
L
vs
– : –
21 Mar · 15:30
Nacional emblem
Nacional
L
D
L
L
L
Our Prediction
Total:Under: 2.5
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
3.28

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Famalicao
45%
Draw
10%
Nacional

Form Comparison

■ Famalicao ■ Nacional
Famalicao
Nacional
91%
Form
9%
71%
Att
29%
80%
Def
20%
74%
Poisson distribution
26%
50%
H2h
50%
60%
Goals
40%
71%
Total
29%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
01.11.2025
Nacional vs Famalicao
0 — 1
01.03.2025
Nacional vs Famalicao
2 — 1
29.09.2024
Famalicao vs Nacional
0 — 0
16.05.2021
Famalicao vs Nacional
3 — 0
30.01.2021
Nacional vs Famalicao
2 — 1
04.02.2018
Famalicao vs Nacional
3 — 2
23.08.2017
Nacional vs Famalicao
3 — 0

Last Matches

Famalicao
Nacional
14.03.2026
Guimaraes vs Famalicao
2 — 1
06.03.2026
Famalicao vs Arouca
1 — 0
01.03.2026
Rio Ave vs Famalicao
0 — 0
23.02.2026
Famalicao vs Casa Pia
2 — 0
15.02.2026
Sporting CP vs Famalicao
0 — 1
W: 3 · D: 1 · L: 1

Famalicao VS Nacional Prediction

As the Primeira Liga season approaches its climax, Famalicao prepares to host Nacional at the Estadio Municipal de Famalicao on March 21st. With both teams eager to secure crucial points for differing reasons, this match promises to be a captivating encounter showcasing the contrasting fortunes of these two sides. Famalicao aims to solidify their position in the upper echelons of the league, while Nacional is desperate to pull away from the relegation zone.

Famalicao's Recent Performance: Steady and Strong

Famalicao enters this match in sixth place, enjoying a solid run of form that has seen them win four of their last five home games. Their recent performances have been marked by a robust defense, conceding only 0.40 goals on average in their last five matches, while they have managed to score 1.20 goals per game over the same period. At home, their attacking prowess is even more evident, with an impressive average of 2.20 goals scored per match. With no players injured or suspended, Famalicao will look to capitalize on their full-strength squad to maintain their formidable home record.

Nacional's Struggle for Survival

Nacional finds themselves in a perilous position, sitting 15th in the league and struggling to find form. Their recent matches have been challenging, with only one win in their last five games. The team has averaged a mere 0.40 goals scored per game and conceded an average of 1.40 goals. Away from home, Nacional's struggles are even more pronounced, as they have not secured a win in their last five away matches, managing just one draw. Despite having no injury or suspension concerns, Nacional will need to deliver a resilient performance to upset a strong Famalicao side.

Prediction: A Tactical Encounter with Few Surprises

Given the current form and statistics of both teams, a low-scoring encounter appears to be the most probable outcome. Famalicao's solid defensive displays, combined with Nacional's lack of attacking threat, suggest that goals will be at a premium. The head-to-head record between these teams shows a balanced rivalry, with two wins each and one draw in their last five meetings. However, with Famalicao's current run of form and home advantage, they are likely to edge this contest. A draw at halftime, with Famalicao pulling ahead in the second half, seems a plausible scenario. Our prediction focuses on Famalicao's defensive solidity and Nacional's scoring struggles, making "Total:Under" the main betting recommendation.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Under: 2.5

Famalicao's strong defense and Nacional's weak attack suggest a low-scoring match, with Famalicao's average goals conceded being only 0.40 in recent matches.

3.28
Odds
1X 1X
75%
Total: Team 1 Over 1.5
60%
X X
40%
Handicap 1 -0.5
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Famalicao vs Nacional
Pin-UP
W11.74
X3.75
W24.35
William Hill
W11.75
X3.60
W24.20
Marathonbet
W11.75
X3.74
W24.30
Unibet
W11.73
X3.75
W24.50
Betfair
W11.75
X3.80
W24.33
188Bet
W11.80
X3.70
W23.95
Pinnacle
W11.78
X3.83
W24.36
1xBet
W11.82
X3.88
W24.46
Betano
W11.80
X3.80
W24.40
888Sport
W11.75
X3.60
W24.20

Primeira Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
FC Porto logoFC Porto
26 22 3 1 69
2
Sporting CP logoSporting CP
25 19 5 1 62
3
Benfica logoBenfica
26 18 8 0 62
4
SC Braga logoSC Braga
25 13 7 5 46
5
GIL Vicente logoGIL Vicente
26 11 9 6 42
6
Famalicao logoFamalicao ★
26 12 6 8 42
7
Estoril logoEstoril
26 10 7 9 37
8
Moreirense logoMoreirense
26 10 5 11 35
9
Guimaraes logoGuimaraes
26 9 5 12 32
10
Alverca logoAlverca
26 7 8 11 29
11
Rio Ave logoRio Ave
26 6 9 11 27
12
Arouca logoArouca
26 7 5 14 26
13
Santa Clara logoSanta Clara
26 6 7 13 25
14
Estrela logoEstrela
26 5 10 11 25
15
Casa Pia logoCasa Pia
25 5 9 11 24
16
Nacional logoNacional ★
26 5 7 14 22
17
Tondela logoTondela
25 4 7 14 19
18
AVS logoAVS
26 1 7 18 10

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