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Moreirense vs Arouca Prediction

Primeira Liga 21.03.2026 · 15:30 Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas Referee: Pedro Ramalho, Portugal
Moreirense emblem
Moreirense
L
D
D
L
W
vs
– : –
21 Mar · 15:30
Arouca emblem
Arouca
L
L
L
W
L
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
2.85

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Moreirense
45%
Draw
10%
Arouca

Form Comparison

■ Moreirense ■ Arouca
Moreirense
Arouca
63%
Form
38%
36%
Att
64%
50%
Def
50%
61%
Poisson distribution
39%
80%
H2h
20%
78%
Goals
22%
61%
Total
39%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
02.11.2025
Arouca vs Moreirense
0 — 2
24.01.2025
Arouca vs Moreirense
1 — 0
18.08.2024
Moreirense vs Arouca
3 — 1
17.03.2024
Moreirense vs Arouca
1 — 0
27.10.2023
Arouca vs Moreirense
0 — 1
03.08.2023
Arouca vs Moreirense
0 — 0
22.12.2022
Moreirense vs Arouca
1 — 2
26.02.2022
Arouca vs Moreirense
1 — 1
25.09.2021
Moreirense vs Arouca
2 — 1
30.04.2017
Arouca vs Moreirense
2 — 2

Last Matches

Moreirense
Arouca
15.03.2026
FC Porto vs Moreirense
0 — 3
07.03.2026
Moreirense vs Nacional
1 — 1
01.03.2026
Casa Pia vs Moreirense
1 — 1
21.02.2026
Moreirense vs Sporting CP
0 — 3
16.02.2026
Rio Ave vs Moreirense
2 — 1
W: 1 · D: 2 · L: 2

Moreirense VS Arouca Prediction

As the Primeira Liga enters another thrilling weekend, Moreirense is set to host Arouca in what promises to be an engaging clash at Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas. Moreirense, currently 7th in the league, will be looking to capitalize on their home advantage against an Arouca side positioned 11th, eager to climb up the standings.

Moreirense: Seeking Stability at Home

Moreirense's recent form has been somewhat inconsistent, with their last five matches yielding one win, two draws, and two losses. At home, they've managed to secure two wins, but also suffered two defeats, which paints a picture of unpredictability. Averaging 0.80 goals per game at home while conceding 1.20, Moreirense's defense could be a concern against an Arouca side that has shown attacking prowess. However, they will take confidence from their head-to-head record, having won four of the last five encounters against Arouca. With no injuries or suspensions, the squad is at full strength to face this challenge.

Arouca: Inconsistent but Dangerous

Arouca comes into this match with a mixed bag of results. Their attacking force has been evident, scoring an average of 1.80 goals per match over the last five games. However, defensive frailties are apparent, with the same average of 1.80 goals conceded per game. Away from home, Arouca's form has been less than stellar, with three losses in their last five outings. Although they secured two wins, their vulnerability on the road is something Moreirense will look to exploit. Like their opponents, Arouca has no injury or suspension concerns, allowing them to field their strongest lineup.

Prediction: A Balanced Encounter

This matchup between Moreirense and Arouca is set to be a closely contested affair. While Moreirense holds a psychological edge with their superior head-to-head record, Arouca's ability to score goals cannot be underestimated. Both teams have shown a tendency to find the back of the net, suggesting that goals might be on the menu. The most likely scenario appears to be both teams scoring, considering their recent offensive stats and defensive lapses. This prediction is supported by Moreirense's average of conceding 1.20 goals at home and Arouca's 1.40 goals scored away from home. The betting market for "Both Teams to Score" holds significant appeal, with a Confidence Score of 8 due to the attacking form both teams have displayed in recent matches. Additional betting options to consider include a draw, given the balanced nature of both sides, and Arouca's potential to score at least once.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Both teams have shown the ability to score, with Moreirense conceding 1.20 goals at home and Arouca scoring 1.40 goals away.

2.85
Odds
X X
30%
Total:Over 2.5
60%
Total: Team 2 Over 0.5
70%
1X 1X
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Moreirense vs Arouca
Pin-UP
W12.38
X3.25
W22.92
William Hill
W12.40
X3.10
W22.90
Marathonbet
W12.40
X3.14
W22.97
Unibet
W12.23
X3.25
W23.20
Betfair
W12.40
X3.30
W22.88
188Bet
W12.33
X3.35
W22.85
Pinnacle
W12.45
X3.23
W23.01
1xBet
W12.50
X3.26
W23.08
Betano
W12.45
X3.25
W23.00
888Sport
W12.40
X3.10
W22.90

Primeira Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
FC Porto logoFC Porto
26 22 3 1 69
2
Sporting CP logoSporting CP
25 19 5 1 62
3
Benfica logoBenfica
26 18 8 0 62
4
SC Braga logoSC Braga
25 13 7 5 46
5
GIL Vicente logoGIL Vicente
26 11 9 6 42
6
Famalicao logoFamalicao
26 12 6 8 42
7
Estoril logoEstoril
26 10 7 9 37
8
Moreirense logoMoreirense ★
26 10 5 11 35
9
Guimaraes logoGuimaraes
26 9 5 12 32
10
Alverca logoAlverca
26 7 8 11 29
11
Rio Ave logoRio Ave
26 6 9 11 27
12
Arouca logoArouca ★
26 7 5 14 26
13
Santa Clara logoSanta Clara
26 6 7 13 25
14
Estrela logoEstrela
26 5 10 11 25
15
Casa Pia logoCasa Pia
25 5 9 11 24
16
Nacional logoNacional
26 5 7 14 22
17
Tondela logoTondela
25 4 7 14 19
18
AVS logoAVS
26 1 7 18 10

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