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Tondela vs AVS Prediction

Primeira Liga 21.03.2026 · 20:30 Estádio João Cardoso Referee: Luis Carlos Mateus Filipe, Portugal
Tondela emblem
Tondela
D
L
D
W
D
vs
– : –
21 Mar · 20:30
AVS emblem
AVS
L
D
D
L
W
Our Prediction
X: Draw
Pre-match analysis
7 / 10
Odds
3.08

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Tondela
45%
Draw
10%
AVS

Form Comparison

■ Tondela ■ AVS
Tondela
AVS
55%
Form
45%
70%
Att
30%
40%
Def
60%
65%
Poisson distribution
35%
80%
H2h
20%
60%
Goals
40%
62%
Total
38%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
02.11.2025
AVS vs Tondela
2 — 2
02.08.2025
AVS vs Tondela
19.05.2024
AVS vs Tondela
0 — 1
14.01.2024
Tondela vs AVS
3 — 2

Last Matches

Tondela
AVS
15.03.2026
Sporting CP vs Tondela
-
09.03.2026
Tondela vs Rio Ave
0 — 1
01.03.2026
Tondela vs Santa Clara
2 — 2
20.02.2026
Estrela vs Tondela
2 — 0
13.02.2026
Tondela vs Alverca
1 — 1
W: 1 · D: 2 · L: 1

Tondela VS AVS Prediction

As Tondela gears up to host AVS at Estádio João Cardoso, both teams find themselves in a precarious position at the bottom of the Primeira Liga table. With Tondela sitting in 17th place and AVS just below them in 18th, this match could prove pivotal in the battle for survival. Both teams will be eager to claim all three points in what promises to be a tightly contested encounter.

Tondela, despite their struggles this season, have shown glimpses of resilience, particularly in their ability to find the back of the net. Currently averaging 1.40 goals per game in their last five outings, they've managed to score in every match. However, their home form has been less inspiring, with no wins, three draws, and two losses in their recent fixtures. The Estádio João Cardoso has not been a fortress for Tondela, as they have scored only 0.60 goals per game on average while conceding 1.00. A lack of injured or suspended players might offer a semblance of stability, yet the challenge remains for Tondela to convert draws into victories.

AVS enter this match with the weight of a challenging season pressing down on them. Their recent performance has been inconsistent, with a single win, two draws, and two defeats in their last five matches. Scoring has been a particular issue, as they average only 0.80 goals per game over this period. Despite a solid 3-0 victory over Estoril, away games have been tough, with AVS failing to secure a single win in their last five on the road. They have conceded 2.40 goals per match on average away from home, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that Tondela will look to exploit. Like Tondela, AVS has a full squad available, with no injuries or suspensions to report.

The prediction for this clash hinges on both teams' tendencies to draw and their respective struggles to secure wins. Given Tondela's slightly better scoring form and AVS's defensive frailties, a draw seems the most probable outcome, particularly as both teams have played out two draws in their last four head-to-head encounters. This outcome would reflect their current form and offer a fair result given their similar league standings. The likelihood of both teams scoring is high, considering their recent goal-scoring records, despite the defensive issues each side faces. The most likely betting event is a draw, supported by both teams' recent performances and head-to-head history. With Tondela and AVS both desperate to avoid defeat, a cautious approach could lead to a shared spoils scenario.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
X: Draw

Both teams have similar form and league positions, with Tondela having drawn three of their last five home games and AVS having drawn two of their last five away games.

3.08
Odds
All: Both Teams to Score Yes
65%
Total:Under 2.5
60%
1X Tondela or Draw
70%
Total: Team 2 Under 1.5
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Tondela vs AVS
Pin-UP
W11.90
X3.45
W23.90
William Hill
W11.91
X3.30
W23.90
Marathonbet
W11.88
X3.44
W24.00
Unibet
W11.83
X3.45
W24.25
Betfair
W11.91
X3.50
W24.00
188Bet
W11.90
X3.45
W23.80
Pinnacle
W11.91
X3.44
W24.19
1xBet
W11.96
X3.58
W24.16
Betano
W11.93
X3.40
W24.20
888Sport
W11.91
X3.30
W23.90

Primeira Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
FC Porto logoFC Porto
26 22 3 1 69
2
Sporting CP logoSporting CP
25 19 5 1 62
3
Benfica logoBenfica
26 18 8 0 62
4
SC Braga logoSC Braga
25 13 7 5 46
5
GIL Vicente logoGIL Vicente
26 11 9 6 42
6
Famalicao logoFamalicao
26 12 6 8 42
7
Estoril logoEstoril
26 10 7 9 37
8
Moreirense logoMoreirense
26 10 5 11 35
9
Guimaraes logoGuimaraes
26 9 5 12 32
10
Alverca logoAlverca
26 7 8 11 29
11
Rio Ave logoRio Ave
26 6 9 11 27
12
Arouca logoArouca
26 7 5 14 26
13
Santa Clara logoSanta Clara
26 6 7 13 25
14
Estrela logoEstrela
26 5 10 11 25
15
Casa Pia logoCasa Pia
25 5 9 11 24
16
Nacional logoNacional
26 5 7 14 22
17
Tondela logoTondela ★
25 4 7 14 19
18
AVS logoAVS ★
26 1 7 18 10

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