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Primeira Liga

Rio Ave vs Nacional Prediction

Primeira Liga 11.10.2026 · 10:30 Estádio dos Arcos Referee: Carlos Macedo
Rio Ave emblem
Rio Ave
L
D
L
L
W
vs
– : –
11 Oct · 10:30
Nacional emblem
Nacional
L
L
L
L
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
41%
Rio Ave
29%
Draw
30%
Nacional

Form Comparison

■ Rio Ave ■ Nacional
Rio Ave
Nacional
100%
Form
0%
63%
Att
38%
52%
Def
48%
48%
Poisson distribution
52%
50%
H2h
50%
41%
Goals
59%
51%
Total
49%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
25.01.2026
Nacional vs Rio Ave
4 — 0
17.08.2025
Rio Ave vs Nacional
1 — 1
10.05.2025
Nacional vs Rio Ave
3 — 3
29.12.2024
Rio Ave vs Nacional
2 — 1
31.07.2024
Rio Ave vs Nacional
1 — 1
10.04.2022
Nacional vs Rio Ave
2 — 0
28.11.2021
Rio Ave vs Nacional
1 — 0
19.05.2021
Nacional vs Rio Ave
1 — 2
05.02.2021
Rio Ave vs Nacional
0 — 0
17.03.2019
Nacional vs Rio Ave
0 — 1

Last Matches

Rio Ave
Nacional
19.09.2026
Alverca vs Rio Ave
0 — 1
14.09.2026
Rio Ave vs Estrela
3 — 3
06.09.2026
Santa Clara vs Rio Ave
0 — 4
28.08.2026
Rio Ave vs Sporting CP
0 — 4
22.08.2026
Estoril vs Rio Ave
2 — 0
W: 1 · D: 1 · L: 3

Rio Ave and Nacional are set to clash in an intriguing Primeira Liga encounter. Both teams find themselves in the lower half of the table, with Rio Ave currently in 16th place and Nacional in 15th. Each team will be eager to secure a much-needed victory to improve their standings.

Rio Ave's Recent Struggles

Rio Ave has had a challenging start to the season, securing only one win in their last five matches. Their recent form includes a heavy 4-0 defeat to Sporting CP and a narrow 1-0 loss to Alverca. However, a 2-0 victory over Estoril provides a glimpse of hope. Despite these struggles, Rio Ave has shown resilience at home, managing to secure a draw against mid-table Estrela. With no reported injuries or suspensions, they will aim to capitalize on their home advantage to turn their season around.

Nacional's Defensive Woes

Nacional, like their opponents, are experiencing a difficult run with five consecutive losses. Their defense has been porous, conceding 13 goals in these matches, with notable defeats against Famalicao and Sporting CP. A draw in their last head-to-head with Rio Ave might offer some encouragement, but Nacional's away form has been particularly concerning, failing to win any of their last five away fixtures. They will need to tighten their defense if they hope to leave with a positive result.

Prediction: Goals on the Horizon

Given both teams' recent defensive vulnerabilities and their current league positions, a match with goals seems likely. Therefore, the main prediction for this match is "Over 2.5" goals. Both teams have shown the capacity to concede multiple goals, and their head-to-head history suggests an open game.

Additional predictions include "Both Teams to Score: Yes," considering both teams' recent scoring records. "Total Team 1: Over 1" suggests Rio Ave might find the net at least once, especially given their home advantage. "Total Team 2: Over 0.5" reflects Nacional's ability to score even in defeat, and "Under 3.0" accounts for the possibility of a tighter contest than anticipated.

In summary, while both Rio Ave and Nacional aim to rise from the lower reaches of the table, this matchup is poised to deliver an exciting and potentially high-scoring affair.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Both Teams to Score: Yes
65%
Total Team 1 Over: 1
60%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
55%
Total:Under: 3.0
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Pin-UP
Bet365
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Betfair
BetVictor

Primeira Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
FC Porto logoFC Porto
8 8 0 0 24
2
Benfica logoBenfica
8 6 1 1 19
3
Sporting CP logoSporting CP
8 5 3 0 18
4
Santa Clara logoSanta Clara
8 5 3 0 18
5
Arouca logoArouca
8 4 2 2 14
6
GIL Vicente logoGIL Vicente
8 4 2 2 14
7
Academico Viseu logoAcademico Viseu
8 4 2 2 14
8
Alverca logoAlverca
8 3 2 3 11
9
SC Braga logoSC Braga
8 3 2 3 11
10
Estrela logoEstrela
8 2 4 2 10
11
Maritimo logoMaritimo
8 2 2 4 8
12
Moreirense logoMoreirense
8 2 2 4 8
13
Famalicao logoFamalicao
8 1 4 3 7
14
Rio Ave logoRio Ave ★
8 2 1 5 7
15
Vitória SC logoVitória SC
8 1 2 5 5
16
Nacional logoNacional ★
8 1 1 6 4
17
Casa Pia logoCasa Pia
8 1 1 6 4
18
Estoril logoEstoril
8 0 2 6 2
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