Home Today Tomorrow Weekend Week
All times in your local time UTC-4 Today Fri, 23 Oct 2026
Primeira Liga

Santa Clara vs Nacional Prediction

Primeira Liga 11.05.2026 · 15:15 Estádio de São Miguel Referee: Helder Filipe Claudio Carvalho, Portugal
Santa Clara emblem
Santa Clara
L
W
D
W
D
vs
– : –
11 May · 15:15
Nacional emblem
Nacional
W
L
L
W
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
41%
Santa Clara
30%
Draw
29%
Nacional

Form Comparison

■ Santa Clara ■ Nacional
Santa Clara
Nacional
36%
Form
64%
50%
Att
50%
31%
Def
69%
50%
Poisson distribution
50%
38%
H2h
62%
42%
Goals
58%
41%
Total
59%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
11.01.2026
Nacional vs Santa Clara
3 — 3
30.03.2025
Santa Clara vs Nacional
1 — 0
04.11.2024
Nacional vs Santa Clara
2 — 0
17.03.2024
Santa Clara vs Nacional
0 — 1
11.01.2024
Santa Clara vs Nacional
1 — 1
04.11.2023
Nacional vs Santa Clara
1 — 1
31.07.2022
Nacional vs Santa Clara
1 — 2
11.04.2021
Santa Clara vs Nacional
5 — 1
06.12.2020
Nacional vs Santa Clara
1 — 3

Last Matches

Santa Clara
Nacional
16.05.2026
FC Porto vs Santa Clara
0 — 1
11.05.2026
Santa Clara vs Nacional
2 — 0
02.05.2026
Arouca vs Santa Clara
2 — 2
26.04.2026
Santa Clara vs SC Braga
2 — 1
18.04.2026
Casa Pia vs Santa Clara
0 — 0
W: 2 · D: 2 · L: 1

Santa Clara enters this match with an impressive home form, having won four of their last five games at Estádio de São Miguel. In contrast, Nacional has struggled on the road, losing three out of their last five away fixtures. This discrepancy in home and away performances could play a critical role in the outcome of this encounter.

Santa Clara's recent form has been solid, with two wins, two draws, and a notable victory against SC Braga. They have averaged 1.20 goals per game while conceding 0.80 in their previous five matches. Nacional, meanwhile, mirrors Santa Clara with an identical scoring and conceding average in their last five outings. However, their inconsistency is more pronounced on the road, where they have managed just one win. The last meeting between these teams saw Santa Clara claim a comfortable 2-0 victory, potentially adding a psychological edge to the home side.

Both Santa Clara and Nacional have averaged 1.20 goals per match in their last five games. Santa Clara's home defense has been robust, conceding just 0.60 goals per game on average, compared to Nacional's 1.20 goals conceded away. This defensive solidity at home could be pivotal. Historically, their head-to-head encounters have been closely contested, with two wins each and one draw in the last five meetings. This balance suggests another competitive match, though Santa Clara's recent home win over Nacional could tilt confidence in their favor.

Given the data, a prediction that stands out is a draw (X). Santa Clara's strong home form clashes with Nacional's resilience, evidenced by their equal head-to-head record. Both teams have displayed similar scoring rates, and with no key players injured or suspended, a stalemate seems plausible. Confidence in this prediction is bolstered by Santa Clara's occasional struggles to break down resolute defenses, like Casa Pia, where they were held to a goalless draw. Therefore, the most likely outcome is a draw, with a Confidence Score of 7.

Four additional betting predictions include Santa Clara not losing (1X), with a 75% probability given their strong home form and Nacional's poor away record. The probability of Total:Under: 2.5 goals is 60%, as both teams have shown defensive resilience. The likelihood of Total Team 1 Over: 0.5 goals stands at 80%, considering Santa Clara's scoring consistency at home. Finally, the probability of Total Team 2 Under: 1 goals is estimated at 65%, given Nacional's average of 0.60 goals scored away.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
1X
75%
Total:Under: 2.5
60%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
80%
Total Team 2 Under: 1
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

We may earn a commission from links on this page. 18+ | Bet Responsibly.Santa Clara vs Nacional
Pin-UP

Primeira Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
FC Porto logoFC Porto
8 8 0 0 24
2
Benfica logoBenfica
8 6 1 1 19
3
Sporting CP logoSporting CP
8 5 3 0 18
4
Santa Clara logoSanta Clara ★
8 5 3 0 18
5
Arouca logoArouca
8 4 2 2 14
6
GIL Vicente logoGIL Vicente
8 4 2 2 14
7
Academico Viseu logoAcademico Viseu
8 4 2 2 14
8
Alverca logoAlverca
8 3 2 3 11
9
SC Braga logoSC Braga
8 3 2 3 11
10
Estrela logoEstrela
8 2 4 2 10
11
Maritimo logoMaritimo
8 2 2 4 8
12
Moreirense logoMoreirense
8 2 2 4 8
13
Famalicao logoFamalicao
8 1 4 3 7
14
Rio Ave logoRio Ave
8 2 1 5 7
15
Vitória SC logoVitória SC
8 1 2 5 5
16
Nacional logoNacional ★
8 1 1 6 4
17
Casa Pia logoCasa Pia
8 1 1 6 4
18
Estoril logoEstoril
8 0 2 6 2
Recommended Match Predictions
Get Today's Best Predictions
AI-powered analysis across 50+ leagues. Free forever.
Start Now