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Serie A

AC Milan vs Atalanta Prediction

Serie A 10.05.2026 · 18:45 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza Referee: Daniele Doveri, Italy
AC Milan emblem
AC Milan
L
D
W
L
L
vs
– : –
10 May · 18:45
Atalanta emblem
Atalanta
D
L
D
D
L
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
3.00

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
AC Milan
45%
Draw
45%
Atalanta

Form Comparison

■ AC Milan ■ Atalanta
AC Milan
Atalanta
44%
Form
56%
14%
Att
86%
45%
Def
55%
50%
Poisson distribution
50%
15%
H2h
85%
36%
Goals
64%
34%
Total
66%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
28.10.2025
Atalanta vs AC Milan
1 — 1
20.04.2025
AC Milan vs Atalanta
0 — 1
06.12.2024
Atalanta vs AC Milan
2 — 1
25.02.2024
AC Milan vs Atalanta
1 — 1
10.01.2024
AC Milan vs Atalanta
1 — 2
09.12.2023
Atalanta vs AC Milan
3 — 2
26.02.2023
AC Milan vs Atalanta
2 — 0
21.08.2022
Atalanta vs AC Milan
1 — 1
15.05.2022
AC Milan vs Atalanta
2 — 0
03.10.2021
Atalanta vs AC Milan
2 — 3

Last Matches

AC Milan
Atalanta
03.05.2026
Sassuolo vs AC Milan
0 — 2
26.04.2026
AC Milan vs Juventus
0 — 0
19.04.2026
Hellas Verona vs AC Milan
1 — 0
11.04.2026
AC Milan vs Udinese
0 — 3
06.04.2026
Napoli vs AC Milan
0 — 1
W: 1 · D: 1 · L: 3

As the Serie A season approaches its climax, AC Milan and Atalanta face off at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in a match that promises to be a thrilling encounter. With AC Milan sitting in third place, they are keen to secure their position in the top four, while Atalanta, currently seventh, are battling for a spot in European competitions next season. Both teams are poised to give their all in what could be a defining moment in their respective campaigns.

AC Milan: Aiming to Solidify Their Top Four Position

AC Milan's recent form has been a mixed bag with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. Their most recent outing saw them manage a goalless draw against Juventus, emphasizing their defensive solidity. Despite this, their attack has struggled, averaging just 0.80 goals per match in their last five games. At home, Milan has had similar fortunes, with two wins, one draw, and two defeats, scoring an average of 0.80 goals while conceding 1.20. Encouragingly for Milan, they have no injury or suspension concerns, allowing them to field their strongest lineup. A victory here would not only strengthen their grip on a top-four finish but also boost morale after a somewhat inconsistent spell.

Atalanta: Eyeing European Qualification

Atalanta come into this match with a recent record of one win, two draws, and two losses. They secured a comprehensive 3-0 victory over Lecce in their last match, demonstrating their attacking prowess. Averaging 1.40 goals scored per game while conceding 1.20, Atalanta has shown they can find the back of the net, but their defense has been equally prone to lapses. On the road, Atalanta has recorded one win, two draws, and two losses, scoring 1.60 goals per match and conceding 1.80. With no injuries or suspensions, they are well-equipped to challenge Milan. Their recent head-to-head success against AC Milan, including three wins in their last five meetings, will undoubtedly give them confidence.

Prediction: A Competitive Encounter with Goals on Both Sides

Given both teams' recent performances and statistics, this match is likely to be closely contested. AC Milan and Atalanta have shown vulnerabilities in defense, with each conceding over a goal per game on average. Atalanta’s ability to score on the road combined with Milan's home advantage suggests a match where both teams find the net. Therefore, the most likely betting event is "All: Both Teams to Score: Yes," as both teams are capable of breaching each other's defenses. This prediction is bolstered by their respective scoring records and head-to-head history, with Atalanta often getting the better of Milan. A confidence score of 8 reflects the likelihood of this scenario unfolding, given the attacking qualities and defensive frailties on display.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Both teams have shown vulnerabilities in defense and have the capability to score, making it likely that both will find the net.

3.00
Odds
Total:Over: 2.5
65%
X
30%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
75%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

AC Milan vs Atalanta
Pin-UP
W12.00
X3.40
W23.60
William Hill
W12.00
X3.25
W23.50
Bet365
W12.05
X3.50
W23.70
Marathonbet
W12.07
X3.48
W23.72
Unibet
W12.04
X3.45
W23.55
Betfair
W12.00
X3.50
W23.40
BetVictor
W12.00
X3.50
W23.40
Pinnacle
W12.08
X3.40
W23.79
SBO
W12.04
X3.13
W23.12
1xBet
W12.12
X3.56
W23.80
Betano
W12.07
X3.30
W23.75
Dafabet
W12.06
X3.40
W23.55

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Inter logoInter
35 26 4 5 82
2
Napoli logoNapoli
35 21 7 7 70
3
AC Milan logoAC Milan ★
35 19 10 6 67
4
Juventus logoJuventus
35 18 11 6 65
5
Como logoComo
35 17 11 7 62
6
AS Roma logoAS Roma
34 19 4 11 61
7
Atalanta logoAtalanta ★
35 14 13 8 55
8
Bologna logoBologna
35 14 7 14 49
9
Sassuolo logoSassuolo
35 14 7 14 49
10
Lazio logoLazio
34 12 12 10 48
11
Udinese logoUdinese
35 13 8 14 47
12
Parma logoParma
35 10 12 13 42
13
Torino logoTorino
35 11 8 16 41
14
Genoa logoGenoa
35 10 10 15 40
15
Cagliari logoCagliari
35 9 10 16 37
16
Fiorentina logoFiorentina
34 8 13 13 37
17
Lecce logoLecce
35 8 8 19 32
18
Cremonese logoCremonese
34 6 10 18 28
19
Hellas Verona logoHellas Verona
35 3 11 21 20
20
Pisa logoPisa
35 2 12 21 18
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