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Serie A

AS Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction

Serie A 04.05.2026 · 18:45 Stadio Olimpico Referee: L. Zufferli
AS Roma emblem
AS Roma
W
D
W
L
W
vs
– : –
04 May · 18:45
Fiorentina emblem
Fiorentina
D
D
W
W
L
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
7 / 10
Odds
3.74

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
AS Roma
45%
Draw
10%
Fiorentina

Form Comparison

■ AS Roma ■ Fiorentina
AS Roma
Fiorentina
53%
Form
47%
69%
Att
31%
25%
Def
75%
77%
Poisson distribution
23%
62%
H2h
38%
44%
Goals
56%
55%
Total
45%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
05.10.2025
Fiorentina vs AS Roma
1 — 2
04.05.2025
AS Roma vs Fiorentina
1 — 0
27.10.2024
Fiorentina vs AS Roma
5 — 1
10.03.2024
Fiorentina vs AS Roma
2 — 2
10.12.2023
AS Roma vs Fiorentina
1 — 1
27.05.2023
Fiorentina vs AS Roma
2 — 1
15.01.2023
AS Roma vs Fiorentina
2 — 0
09.05.2022
Fiorentina vs AS Roma
2 — 0
22.08.2021
AS Roma vs Fiorentina
3 — 1
03.03.2021
Fiorentina vs AS Roma
1 — 2

Last Matches

AS Roma
Fiorentina
25.04.2026
Bologna vs AS Roma
2 — 0
18.04.2026
AS Roma vs Atalanta
1 — 1
10.04.2026
AS Roma vs Pisa
3 — 0
05.04.2026
Inter vs AS Roma
2 — 5
22.03.2026
AS Roma vs Lecce
1 — 0
W: 3 · D: 1 · L: 1

Injuries and Suspensions

AS Roma
A. Dovbyk, E. Ferguson, L. Pellegrini, N. El Aynaoui
Fiorentina
L. Balbo, M. Kean, N. Fortini, R. Piccoli, T. Lamptey

As the Serie A season approaches its climax, AS Roma is set to host Fiorentina at the Stadio Olimpico on May 4th. Both teams are looking to finish the season strongly, with Roma battling for a higher league position and Fiorentina striving to pull away from the lower reaches of the table. This clash promises to be a compelling encounter, with each side eager to exploit the other's weaknesses while showcasing their own strengths.

AS Roma has had a mixed bag of results recently, as seen in their last five matches. With two wins, two draws, and a single loss, they have shown resilience but also vulnerability at times. Their recent 2-0 away win against Bologna and the commanding 3-0 victory over Pisa at home highlight their potential, while the heavy 5-2 defeat to Inter underscores the defensive lapses they need to address. At home, Roma has been relatively solid, scoring an average of 2.20 goals per game and conceding 1.60. However, they will miss the services of E. Bove due to injury. Their head-to-head record against Fiorentina is fairly balanced, but Roma will draw confidence from their recent 1-0 victory at the Olimpico.

Fiorentina comes into this match sitting in 15th place, eager to climb the standings. Their recent form is cautiously optimistic, with three wins and a draw from their last five outings, including a commendable 1-0 victory away to Hellas Verona. While their 3-0 loss to Crystal Palace in European competition was a setback, they have managed an average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in their away fixtures, showcasing their capability to perform on the road. With no injuries or suspensions, Fiorentina will have a full squad available, aiming to leverage their strong away form to trouble Roma.

In the context of this matchup, the prediction leans towards a tightly contested affair. Given Roma's superior league position and their offensive capabilities at home, they are slightly favored. However, Fiorentina's recent away performances and their ability to score on the counter cannot be overlooked. With both teams having defensive vulnerabilities, the most likely scenario is that both will find the back of the net at some stage. The previous encounters also suggest a tendency for both teams to score, as seen in their last two draws and Roma's 2-1 win in Florence. Therefore, the prediction is for both teams to score, given the attacking threats and defensive uncertainties of each side.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities and possess attacking threats, with recent head-to-head encounters often featuring goals from both sides.

3.74
Odds
Total:Over: 2.5
65%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
75%
1X
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

AS Roma vs Fiorentina
Pin-UP
W11.57
X3.85
W25.80
William Hill
W11.57
X3.90
W25.50
Bet365
W11.57
X4.20
W25.50
Marathonbet
W11.59
X4.20
W26.05
Unibet
W11.54
X4.10
W25.75
Betfair
W11.57
X4.00
W26.00
BetVictor
W11.57
X4.00
W25.75
Pinnacle
W11.61
X4.11
W25.74
SBO
W11.58
X3.63
W25.13
1xBet
W11.62
X4.27
W26.15
Betano
W11.65
X4.10
W25.80
888Sport
W11.57
X3.90
W25.50
Dafabet
W11.63
X4.20
W25.40

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Inter logoInter
35 26 4 5 82
2
Napoli logoNapoli
35 21 7 7 70
3
AC Milan logoAC Milan
35 19 10 6 67
4
Juventus logoJuventus
35 18 11 6 65
5
Como logoComo
35 17 11 7 62
6
AS Roma logoAS Roma ★
34 19 4 11 61
7
Atalanta logoAtalanta
35 14 13 8 55
8
Bologna logoBologna
35 14 7 14 49
9
Sassuolo logoSassuolo
35 14 7 14 49
10
Lazio logoLazio
34 12 12 10 48
11
Udinese logoUdinese
35 13 8 14 47
12
Parma logoParma
35 10 12 13 42
13
Torino logoTorino
35 11 8 16 41
14
Genoa logoGenoa
35 10 10 15 40
15
Cagliari logoCagliari
35 9 10 16 37
16
Fiorentina logoFiorentina ★
34 8 13 13 37
17
Lecce logoLecce
35 8 8 19 32
18
Cremonese logoCremonese
34 6 10 18 28
19
Hellas Verona logoHellas Verona
35 3 11 21 20
20
Pisa logoPisa
35 2 12 21 18
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