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Serie A

Fiorentina vs Genoa Prediction

Serie A 10.05.2026 · 13:00 Stadio Artemio Franchi Referee: L. Massimi
Fiorentina emblem
Fiorentina
L
D
D
W
W
vs
– : –
10 May · 13:00
Genoa emblem
Genoa
D
L
W
W
L
Our Prediction
Total:Under: 2.5
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
2.94

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Fiorentina
45%
Draw
10%
Genoa

Form Comparison

■ Fiorentina ■ Genoa
Fiorentina
Genoa
53%
Form
47%
43%
Att
57%
55%
Def
45%
52%
Poisson distribution
48%
85%
H2h
15%
67%
Goals
33%
59%
Total
41%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
09.11.2025
Genoa vs Fiorentina
2 — 2
02.02.2025
Fiorentina vs Genoa
2 — 1
31.10.2024
Genoa vs Fiorentina
0 — 1
15.04.2024
Fiorentina vs Genoa
1 — 1
19.08.2023
Genoa vs Fiorentina
1 — 4
17.01.2022
Fiorentina vs Genoa
6 — 0
18.09.2021
Genoa vs Fiorentina
1 — 2
03.04.2021
Genoa vs Fiorentina
1 — 1
07.12.2020
Fiorentina vs Genoa
1 — 1
25.01.2020
Fiorentina vs Genoa
0 — 0

Last Matches

Fiorentina
Genoa
04.05.2026
AS Roma vs Fiorentina
0 — 4
26.04.2026
Fiorentina vs Sassuolo
0 — 0
20.04.2026
Lecce vs Fiorentina
1 — 1
16.04.2026
Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace
2 — 1
13.04.2026
Fiorentina vs Lazio
1 — 0
W: 2 · D: 2 · L: 1

Injuries and Suspensions

Fiorentina
L. Balbo, M. Kean, N. Fortini, R. Piccoli, T. Lamptey
Genoa
B. Norton-Cuffy, Junior Messias, T. Baldanzi

As we approach the final stages of the Serie A season, Fiorentina hosts Genoa at the Stadio Artemio Franchi in a clash that could see both teams jostling for a higher position in the league standings. With just one point separating the two, this encounter promises to be a closely contested battle as both sides aim to finish the season on a high.

Fiorentina: A Strong Home Presence Fiorentina enters this match with a robust home form, remaining unbeaten in their last five home games, comprising three wins and two draws. Their recent 1-0 victory over Lazio at home underscored their defensive solidity, having conceded just 0.60 goals on average at the Franchi. This defensive rigidity has been a cornerstone of their strategy, although their attack has been less prolific, with an average of 1.20 goals per home game. With no injuries or suspensions, manager Vincenzo Italiano can field his strongest squad to capitalize on their home advantage.

Genoa: Searching for Consistency Genoa, sitting just above Fiorentina in the league, has shown flashes of brilliance interspersed with moments of vulnerability. Their recent away form includes two wins, one draw, and two losses, highlighting their inconsistency on the road. An average of 0.80 goals scored away from home points to a struggle in front of goal, although they've been relatively solid defensively, conceding an average of 1.00 goal per away match. Like Fiorentina, Genoa also has a clean bill of health with no suspensions, allowing them to deploy their best lineup as they look to secure a crucial away win.

Prediction: A Tactical Battle with Limited Goals Considering both teams' recent performances and their propensity for defensive play, this match could hinge on a single goal or remain goalless. The head-to-head record favors Fiorentina, who have not lost to Genoa in their last five encounters, winning three and drawing two. Given the statistical trends, a low-scoring affair seems probable, with both teams likely to prioritize defense. Therefore, the most likely betting event is "Total:Under: 2.5" goals, as neither team has demonstrated significant attacking prowess recently. Confidence in this prediction is bolstered by both teams' current form and defensive records.

For additional betting angles, consider "X" for a potential draw, given their closely matched standings and recent head-to-head draws. "All: Both Teams to Score: No" aligns with their average goals scored, while "Total Team 1 Over: 0.5" reflects Fiorentina's tendency to find the net at home. Lastly, "Handicap 1: 0.5" underscores Fiorentina's strong home form, suggesting they are unlikely to lose.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Under: 2.5

Both teams have struggled to score in recent matches, and Fiorentina's strong defensive home record suggests a low-scoring game.

2.94
Odds
X
40%
All: Both Teams to Score: No
60%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
70%
Handicap 1: 0.5
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Fiorentina vs Genoa
Pin-UP
W12.08
X3.30
W23.45
William Hill
W12.05
X3.25
W23.60
Bet365
W12.10
X3.40
W23.60
Marathonbet
W12.12
X3.35
W23.72
Unibet
W12.12
X3.20
W23.60
Betfair
W12.10
X3.30
W23.75
BetVictor
W12.05
X3.40
W23.60
Pinnacle
W12.12
X3.38
W23.76
SBO
W12.08
X3.02
W23.15
1xBet
W12.17
X3.42
W23.80
Betano
W12.10
X3.30
W23.70
888Sport
W12.05
X3.20
W23.50
Dafabet
W12.13
X3.40
W23.65

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Inter logoInter
36 27 4 5 85
2
Napoli logoNapoli
35 21 7 7 70
3
Juventus logoJuventus
36 19 11 6 68
4
AC Milan logoAC Milan
35 19 10 6 67
5
AS Roma logoAS Roma
35 20 4 11 64
6
Como logoComo
35 17 11 7 62
7
Atalanta logoAtalanta
35 14 13 8 55
8
Lazio logoLazio
36 13 12 11 51
9
Udinese logoUdinese
36 14 8 14 50
10
Bologna logoBologna
35 14 7 14 49
11
Sassuolo logoSassuolo
36 14 7 15 49
12
Torino logoTorino
36 12 8 16 44
13
Parma logoParma
35 10 12 13 42
14
Genoa logoGenoa ★
35 10 10 15 40
15
Cagliari logoCagliari
36 9 10 17 37
16
Fiorentina logoFiorentina ★
35 8 13 14 37
17
Lecce logoLecce
36 8 8 20 32
18
Cremonese logoCremonese
35 6 10 19 28
19
Hellas Verona logoHellas Verona
35 3 11 21 20
20
Pisa logoPisa
35 2 12 21 18
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