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Serie A

Genoa vs Fiorentina Prediction

Serie A 10.10.2026 · 09:00 Luigi Ferraris Referee: Fabio Maresca
Genoa emblem
Genoa
L
L
W
D
L
vs
– : –
10 Oct · 09:00
Fiorentina emblem
Fiorentina
D
W
W
L
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
31%
Genoa
29%
Draw
40%
Fiorentina

Form Comparison

■ Genoa ■ Fiorentina
Genoa
Fiorentina
20%
Form
80%
33%
Att
67%
55%
Def
45%
29%
Poisson distribution
71%
25%
H2h
75%
40%
Goals
60%
34%
Total
66%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
10.05.2026
Fiorentina vs Genoa
0 — 0
09.11.2025
Genoa vs Fiorentina
2 — 2
02.02.2025
Fiorentina vs Genoa
2 — 1
31.10.2024
Genoa vs Fiorentina
0 — 1
15.04.2024
Fiorentina vs Genoa
1 — 1
19.08.2023
Genoa vs Fiorentina
1 — 4
17.01.2022
Fiorentina vs Genoa
6 — 0
18.09.2021
Genoa vs Fiorentina
1 — 2
03.04.2021
Genoa vs Fiorentina
1 — 1
07.12.2020
Fiorentina vs Genoa
1 — 1

Last Matches

Genoa
Fiorentina
02.10.2026
Rapid vs Genoa
0 — 2
20.09.2026
Parma vs Genoa
1 — 2
15.09.2026
Genoa vs Sudtirol
1 — 0
12.09.2026
Genoa vs Frosinone
1 — 1
04.09.2026
Genoa vs Como
1 — 4
W: 1 · D: 1 · L: 3

Injuries and Suspensions

Genoa
Amorim, D. Sow, E. Havel, F. Meichtry, L. Colombo, L. Venturino
Fiorentina
A. Atta, F. Parisi, R. Sottil

On October 10, Genoa will face Fiorentina at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris in a match that could have significant implications for both teams' positions in Serie A. With both sides struggling near the bottom of the table, this encounter presents an opportunity for either side to gain some much-needed points.

Genoa's Struggles in Serie A

Genoa has had a challenging start to the 2026 Serie A season, currently sitting in the relegation zone at 19th place with just one point from five games. Their recent form underscores these struggles, with only one win in their last five matches—a narrow 1-0 victory over lower-league Sudtirol in the Coppa Italia. In league play, Genoa's defense has been particularly vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.60 goals per game. Their offensive output has also been lacking, with only 0.80 goals scored on average per match. Despite playing at home, where they have a slightly better scoring record of 1.40 goals per game, their defensive frailties remain a concern.

Fiorentina Looking to Improve

Fiorentina, sitting at 17th with four points, have shown glimpses of potential despite their lowly league position. Their offensive capabilities have been more promising than Genoa's, scoring an average of 1.80 goals in their last five games, highlighted by a 4-2 victory against Venezia. However, Fiorentina's defense has also been suspect, conceding 1.60 goals per game. On the road, Fiorentina has managed to secure two wins in their last five away matches, suggesting they may have the edge in this encounter. Fiorentina's recent head-to-head record against Genoa is also favorable, with two wins in their last five meetings.

Prediction: A High-Scoring Encounter

Considering both teams' defensive vulnerabilities and Fiorentina's slightly superior attacking record, the main prediction for this match is "Over 2.5" goals. The rationale is supported by both teams' recent tendencies to be involved in high-scoring games, particularly Fiorentina's away fixtures. Additionally, Genoa's home matches have seen over 2.5 goals scored in several instances, indicating a likelihood for a similar outcome.

In addition to the main prediction, four additional predictions are:

1. "Both Teams to Score: Yes" - Given both teams' defensive struggles, it is probable that both will concede. 2. "Total Team 2: Over 1.5" - Fiorentina's attacking form suggests they can score multiple times. 3. "Total Team 1: Over 0.5" - Genoa should manage at least one goal at home. 4. "Double Chance: X2" - Fiorentina's better form and head-to-head record make them likely to avoid defeat.

This match between Genoa and Fiorentina promises action and goals, with both teams eager to improve their standing in Serie A.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Both Teams to Score: Yes
65%
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5
60%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
70%
X2
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Inter logoInter
7 6 1 0 19
2
Lazio logoLazio
7 6 1 0 19
3
AS Roma logoAS Roma
7 5 2 0 17
4
AC Milan logoAC Milan
7 4 3 0 15
5
Como logoComo
7 4 2 1 14
6
Frosinone logoFrosinone
7 4 1 2 13
7
Cagliari logoCagliari
7 4 1 2 13
8
Juventus logoJuventus
7 3 2 2 11
9
Napoli logoNapoli
7 3 1 3 10
10
Torino logoTorino
7 3 1 3 10
11
Atalanta logoAtalanta
7 3 0 4 9
12
Lecce logoLecce
7 3 0 4 9
13
Sassuolo logoSassuolo
7 2 2 3 8
14
Monza logoMonza
7 2 1 4 7
15
Bologna logoBologna
7 1 2 4 5
16
Udinese logoUdinese
7 1 1 5 4
17
Genoa logoGenoa ★
7 1 1 5 4
18
Fiorentina logoFiorentina ★
7 1 1 5 4
19
Parma logoParma
7 1 1 5 4
20
Venezia logoVenezia
7 1 0 6 3
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