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Serie A

Lazio vs Genoa Prediction

Serie A 30.08.2026 · 14:45 Stadio Olimpico Referee: L. Zufferli
Lazio emblem
Lazio
W
L
W
W
W
vs
– : –
30 Aug · 14:45
Genoa emblem
Genoa
L
W
L
L
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
49%
Lazio
30%
Draw
21%
Genoa

Form Comparison

■ Lazio ■ Genoa
Lazio
Genoa
100%
Form
0%
100%
Att
0%
100%
Def
0%
0%
Poisson distribution
0%
100%
H2h
0%
86%
Goals
14%
86%
Total
14%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
30.01.2026
Lazio vs Genoa
3 — 2
29.09.2025
Genoa vs Lazio
0 — 3
23.04.2025
Genoa vs Lazio
0 — 2
27.10.2024
Lazio vs Genoa
3 — 0
19.04.2024
Genoa vs Lazio
0 — 1
05.12.2023
Lazio vs Genoa
1 — 0
27.08.2023
Lazio vs Genoa
0 — 1
27.07.2022
Genoa vs Lazio
4 — 1
10.04.2022
Genoa vs Lazio
1 — 4
17.12.2021
Lazio vs Genoa
3 — 1

Last Matches

Lazio
Genoa
24.08.2026
Bologna vs Lazio
1 — 0
16.08.2026
Lazio vs Mantova
0 — 2
09.08.2026
Frosinone vs Lazio
2 — 1
05.08.2026
Lazio vs Ostia Mare
4 — 0
02.08.2026
Ascoli vs Lazio
2 — 1
W: 4 · D: 0 · L: 1

Lazio's recent form showcases a striking offensive capability, having scored an average of 2.80 goals over their last five matches. This attacking prowess has been particularly dominant at the Stadio Olimpico, where they have averaged an impressive 4.00 goals per game. Contrastingly, Genoa has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2.80 goals over the same period. This disparity in both teams' recent performances sets the tone for their upcoming clash.

Form and Context

Lazio comes into this encounter riding a wave of solid form, particularly in recent home fixtures, where they have secured three wins out of the last four. Their attacking unit seems to have hit top gear, as evidenced by their 6-3 dismantling of Avellino. On the other side, Genoa has had a mixed bag of results. While they managed a solid 4-1 victory over Ascoli, their traveling woes were laid bare in a crushing 10-1 defeat at Bournemouth. Lazio's home form and Genoa's away struggles suggest a potential advantage for the hosts. However, Genoa's league standing at 7th, compared to Lazio's 10th, indicates a competitive edge that should not be underestimated.

Key Numbers

A closer look at the numbers reveals that Lazio's offensive machine has been relentless, with a home average of 4.00 goals per game, while conceding 1.25. In contrast, Genoa's away form has been marred by defensive frailties, conceding an alarming 5.00 goals on average per away game. The head-to-head history between these two sides further tilts the balance in favor of Lazio, who have won all the last five encounters, scoring a total of 12 goals and conceding just two. Genoa's ability to score, albeit less frequently, remains a threat, particularly given their higher league position.

Prediction

The prediction for this encounter leans towards a high-scoring affair, given both teams' recent goal statistics. However, the most compelling betting event is for Lazio to win with a handicap of 1: 0.5. Their dominant head-to-head record against Genoa, coupled with their formidable home scoring rate, strengthens this prediction. The likelihood of Lazio maintaining their goal-scoring form while capitalizing on Genoa's defensive vulnerabilities makes this a plausible outcome. Additional betting events to consider include "Total: Over: 3.0", given the teams' recent scoring patterns, and "Total Team 1 Over: 1.5", reflecting Lazio's home goal average. The high probability of both teams scoring suggests markets like "Total Team 2 Over: 0.5", while the potential for a draw at halftime, "X", provides another angle. The match promises dynamic action, with Lazio's attacking momentum and Genoa's unpredictable form setting the stage for an intriguing contest.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 3.0
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
75%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
65%
X
50%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Lazio vs Genoa
Pin-UP
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Unibet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet
Betano
Dafabet

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
AS Roma logoAS Roma
1 1 0 0 3
2
Inter logoInter
1 1 0 0 3
3
Napoli logoNapoli
1 1 0 0 3
4
Lecce logoLecce
1 1 0 0 3
5
AC Milan logoAC Milan
1 1 0 0 3
6
Atalanta logoAtalanta
1 1 0 0 3
7
Cagliari logoCagliari
1 1 0 0 3
8
Juventus logoJuventus
1 1 0 0 3
9
Lazio logoLazio ★
1 1 0 0 3
10
Como logoComo
1 0 1 0 1
11
Udinese logoUdinese
1 0 1 0 1
12
Sassuolo logoSassuolo
1 0 0 1 0
13
Torino logoTorino
1 0 0 1 0
14
Frosinone logoFrosinone
1 0 0 1 0
15
Parma logoParma
1 0 0 1 0
16
Bologna logoBologna
1 0 0 1 0
17
Genoa logoGenoa ★
1 0 0 1 0
18
Venezia logoVenezia
1 0 0 1 0
19
Monza logoMonza
1 0 0 1 0
20
Fiorentina logoFiorentina
1 0 0 1 0
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