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Serie A

Napoli vs Bologna Prediction

Serie A 11.05.2026 · 18:45 Stadio Diego Armando Maradona Referee: Andrea Colombo, Italy
Napoli emblem
Napoli
D
W
L
D
W
vs
– : –
11 May · 18:45
Bologna emblem
Bologna
D
L
L
L
W
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
7 / 10
Odds
3.89

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Napoli
45%
Draw
10%
Bologna

Form Comparison

■ Napoli ■ Bologna
Napoli
Bologna
53%
Form
47%
60%
Att
40%
63%
Def
38%
58%
Poisson distribution
42%
50%
H2h
50%
55%
Goals
45%
57%
Total
44%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
22.12.2025
Napoli vs Bologna
2 — 0
09.11.2025
Bologna vs Napoli
2 — 0
07.04.2025
Bologna vs Napoli
1 — 1
25.08.2024
Napoli vs Bologna
3 — 0
11.05.2024
Napoli vs Bologna
0 — 2
24.09.2023
Bologna vs Napoli
0 — 0
28.05.2023
Bologna vs Napoli
2 — 2
16.10.2022
Napoli vs Bologna
3 — 2
17.01.2022
Bologna vs Napoli
0 — 2
28.10.2021
Napoli vs Bologna
3 — 0

Last Matches

Napoli
Bologna
02.05.2026
Como vs Napoli
0 — 0
24.04.2026
Napoli vs Cremonese
4 — 0
18.04.2026
Napoli vs Lazio
0 — 2
12.04.2026
Parma vs Napoli
1 — 1
06.04.2026
Napoli vs AC Milan
1 — 0
W: 2 · D: 2 · L: 1

As the Serie A season draws to a close, Napoli hosts Bologna at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. With both teams eyeing a strong finish, this fixture promises to be an intriguing clash. Napoli is aiming to maintain their position near the top of the table, while Bologna looks to secure a respectable finish in the top half.

Napoli's Home Fortress

Napoli, currently sitting second in the league standings, has shown impressive form at home with four wins in their last five outings. Despite a recent stumble against Lazio, their home performances have been solid, averaging 1.80 goals scored per game while conceding just 0.80. With a well-rounded squad free from injuries or suspensions, Napoli will look to capitalize on their home advantage. The team's recent 1-0 victory over AC Milan highlights their ability to grind out results when needed, showcasing both resilience and tactical discipline.

Bologna's Rollercoaster Season

Bologna, positioned ninth on the table, has experienced a mixed bag of results recently. Their last five games have seen them struggle against high-caliber opponents like AS Roma and Juventus, conceding an average of 2.20 goals per match. However, their attacking prowess has been more evident on the road, where they average 1.40 goals per game, suggesting they could pose a threat to the Napoli defense. With no injury or suspension concerns, Bologna will aim to exploit any gaps left by Napoli's attacking forays.

Prediction and Tactical Insights

Considering the current form and statistics, the prediction leans towards an engaging contest with goals likely from both sides. Napoli's home form suggests they are favorites, yet Bologna's ability to score away from home cannot be overlooked. The primary betting event identified is "All: Both Teams to Score: Yes," given Bologna's away goal-scoring record and Napoli's defensive solidity at home being occasionally tested. This event is supported by a confidence score of 7, as both teams have shown the potential to find the net in recent encounters.

Additional betting events include a "Total:Over: 2.0" prediction with a 65% probability, reflecting the likelihood of a few goals given both teams' recent scoring patterns. "Napoli 1X" with a 70% probability seems a safe bet due to their strong home record. "Total Team 1 Over: 1.5" at 60% probability aligns with Napoli's average home scoring rate. Lastly, "Handicap 2: 1" with a 55% probability considers Bologna's ability to keep the game competitive, particularly in away fixtures.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Both teams have shown potential to score, with Napoli being strong at home and Bologna scoring well away.

3.89
Odds
Total:Over: 2.0
65%
1X
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
60%
Handicap 2: 1
55%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Napoli vs Bologna
Pin-UP
W11.53
X3.95
W26.20
William Hill
W11.55
X3.90
W25.50
Bet365
W11.53
X3.90
W26.25
Marathonbet
W11.57
X4.20
W26.10
Unibet
W11.53
X4.00
W26.25
Betfair
W11.53
X4.00
W25.50
BetVictor
W11.53
X3.90
W26.00
Pinnacle
W11.56
X4.24
W25.98
SBO
W11.50
X3.68
W25.22
1xBet
W11.61
X4.30
W26.24
Betano
W11.57
X4.10
W26.00
Dafabet
W11.55
X4.10
W26.00

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Inter logoInter
35 26 4 5 82
2
Napoli logoNapoli ★
35 21 7 7 70
3
AC Milan logoAC Milan
35 19 10 6 67
4
Juventus logoJuventus
35 18 11 6 65
5
Como logoComo
35 17 11 7 62
6
AS Roma logoAS Roma
34 19 4 11 61
7
Atalanta logoAtalanta
35 14 13 8 55
8
Bologna logoBologna ★
35 14 7 14 49
9
Sassuolo logoSassuolo
35 14 7 14 49
10
Lazio logoLazio
34 12 12 10 48
11
Udinese logoUdinese
35 13 8 14 47
12
Parma logoParma
35 10 12 13 42
13
Torino logoTorino
35 11 8 16 41
14
Genoa logoGenoa
35 10 10 15 40
15
Cagliari logoCagliari
35 9 10 16 37
16
Fiorentina logoFiorentina
34 8 13 13 37
17
Lecce logoLecce
35 8 8 19 32
18
Cremonese logoCremonese
34 6 10 18 28
19
Hellas Verona logoHellas Verona
35 3 11 21 20
20
Pisa logoPisa
35 2 12 21 18
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