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Ligi kuu Bara

Coastal Union vs Pamba Jiji Prediction

Ligi kuu Bara 30.06.2026 · 09:00 Mkwakwani Stadium
Coastal Union emblem
Coastal Union
L
D
W
D
W
vs
– : –
30 Jun · 09:00
Pamba Jiji emblem
Pamba Jiji
L
L
W
L
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Coastal Union
45%
Draw
10%
Pamba Jiji

Form Comparison

■ Coastal Union ■ Pamba Jiji
Coastal Union
Pamba Jiji
73%
Form
27%
43%
Att
57%
64%
Def
36%
68%
Poisson distribution
32%
33%
H2h
67%
29%
Goals
71%
52%
Total
48%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
06.02.2026
Pamba Jiji vs Coastal Union
3 — 0
15.02.2025
Pamba Jiji vs Coastal Union
2 — 0
28.09.2024
Coastal Union vs Pamba Jiji
2 — 0

Last Matches

Coastal Union
Pamba Jiji
27.06.2026
Coastal Union vs Azam
0 — 2
24.06.2026
Tabora United vs Coastal Union
1 — 1
15.06.2026
KMC vs Coastal Union
3 — 1
12.06.2026
Coastal Union vs Namungo
1 — 1
24.05.2026
Coastal Union vs Mashujaa
1 — 0
W: 2 · D: 2 · L: 1

Coastal Union comes into this match with a league position of 8th, having recently secured a 2-1 victory over Pamba Jiji. Both teams have an average of 1.40 goals scored per match in their last five games, indicating a closely matched contest. However, Coastal Union's ability to score consistently at home, with an average of 1.00 goals, coupled with their slightly better home record, gives them a slight edge over Pamba Jiji, who have struggled away with an average of 0.80 goals scored per match.

Form and Context

Coastal Union's recent performances have been a mixed bag, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five outings. Notably, they have managed to score in four of these five matches, showcasing their offensive capabilities. Their last home game resulted in a 1-1 draw against Namungo, which reflects their tendency to find the net but also highlights defensive vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 1.20 goals at home.

Pamba Jiji, currently 7th in the league, have shown inconsistency, particularly in their away games where they have won just once in their last five attempts. Their away form is a concern, with four losses and an average of 1.80 goals conceded per match. This defensive frailty away from home could be a decisive factor in their upcoming match against Coastal Union. Both teams, however, have no injuries or suspensions, ensuring they can field their strongest line-ups.

Key Numbers

Head-to-head statistics between these two teams show a balanced rivalry, with both Coastal Union and Pamba Jiji securing two wins each in their recent encounters. The last match between the two ended in a 2-1 victory for Coastal Union, suggesting they might have a slight psychological advantage. Moreover, Coastal Union's overall goal-scoring rate of 1.40 goals per match is matched by Pamba Jiji, though the latter concedes more frequently with an average of 1.60 goals per match. This could play into the hands of Coastal Union, especially given their propensity to exploit defensive lapses as seen in previous games.

Prediction

In terms of predicting the outcome, the likelihood of Coastal Union scoring at home seems high, given their recent form and Pamba Jiji's defensive struggles on the road. A bet on "Total Team 1 Over: 0.5" appears promising, with a high confidence score based on Coastal Union's consistent goal-scoring at home and Pamba Jiji's poor away defense. Additionally, the odds of both teams scoring are bolstered by their similar scoring averages, making "Total: Over 1.5" a reasonable secondary prediction. Considering these factors, a draw also seems possible given the competitive balance, suggesting a prediction of "X" with a moderate probability.

Coastal Union's slightly better home form and recent victory against Pamba Jiji suggest they might edge this contest, but Pamba Jiji's potential to surprise, as evidenced by their 4-0 win against Mtibwa Sugar, cannot be discounted. Overall, the dynamics of this match point towards a closely fought encounter with goals on both sides.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
70%
X
50%
1X
65%
Total Team 1 Under: 2
60%

Ligi kuu Bara Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Young Africans logoYoung Africans
30 23 6 1 75
2
Simba logoSimba
30 22 7 1 73
3
Azam logoAzam
30 18 10 2 64
4
Singida Black Stars logoSingida Black Stars
30 15 5 10 50
5
Tabora United logoTabora United
30 11 10 9 43
6
JKT Tanzania logoJKT Tanzania
30 10 12 8 42
7
Pamba Jiji logoPamba Jiji ★
30 9 9 12 36
8
Coastal Union logoCoastal Union ★
30 9 9 12 36
9
Dodoma Jiji logoDodoma Jiji
30 8 11 11 35
10
Namungo logoNamungo
30 7 13 10 34
11
Mashujaa logoMashujaa
30 7 12 11 33
12
Fountain Gate logoFountain Gate
30 9 6 15 33
13
Tanzania Prisons logoTanzania Prisons
30 9 5 16 32
14
Mbeya City logoMbeya City
30 7 9 14 30
15
Mtibwa Sugar logoMtibwa Sugar
30 6 9 15 27
16
KMC logoKMC
30 2 3 25 9
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