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Ligi kuu Bara

Mbeya City vs Kagera Sugar Prediction

Ligi kuu Bara 09.10.2026 · 09:15 Sokoine Stadium
Mbeya City emblem
Mbeya City
L
D
W
W
W
vs
– : –
09 Oct · 09:15
Kagera Sugar emblem
Kagera Sugar
D
L
L
L
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
50%
Mbeya City
28%
Draw
22%
Kagera Sugar

Form Comparison

■ Mbeya City ■ Kagera Sugar
Mbeya City
Kagera Sugar
83%
Form
17%
55%
Att
45%
80%
Def
20%
77%
Poisson distribution
23%
25%
H2h
75%
33%
Goals
67%
59%
Total
41%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
23.04.2023
Kagera Sugar vs Mbeya City
1 — 0
17.11.2022
Mbeya City vs Kagera Sugar
2 — 2
12.03.2022
Mbeya City vs Kagera Sugar
0 — 1
16.10.2021
Kagera Sugar vs Mbeya City
0 — 0
08.04.2021
Mbeya City vs Kagera Sugar
0 — 0
24.10.2020
Kagera Sugar vs Mbeya City
1 — 2
04.03.2020
Kagera Sugar vs Mbeya City
2 — 3
24.10.2019
Mbeya City vs Kagera Sugar
1 — 4
06.05.2018
Kagera Sugar vs Mbeya City
0 — 0
02.01.2018
Mbeya City vs Kagera Sugar
0 — 0

Last Matches

Mbeya City
Kagera Sugar
12.09.2026
Polisi Tanzania vs Mbeya City
0 — 2
04.09.2026
Tabora United vs Mbeya City
0 — 0
28.08.2026
Fountain Gate vs Mbeya City
2 — 0
23.08.2026
Mbeya City vs Mashujaa
2 — 1
19.08.2026
Mbeya City vs Dodoma Jiji
2 — 0
W: 3 · D: 1 · L: 1

In the upcoming Ligi kuu Bara clash, Mbeya City will host Kagera Sugar at the Sokoine Stadium. Both teams have had contrasting starts to the season, with Mbeya City sitting comfortably in the middle of the table, while Kagera Sugar is struggling in the relegation zone.

Mbeya City's Solid Start

Mbeya City has started the 2026 season on a positive note, currently occupying the 6th position in the Ligi kuu Bara table with 10 points from six matches. This is a significant improvement from their 14th-place finish last season. Their recent form is commendable, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five outings. Notably, Mbeya City has shown resilience at home, winning two of their last three matches there, including a 2-1 victory against Mashujaa and a 2-0 win over Dodoma Jiji. Their ability to score consistently, averaging 1.20 goals per game in recent matches, while maintaining a strong defense, makes them a formidable opponent.

Kagera Sugar's Struggles

In stark contrast, Kagera Sugar finds themselves in a precarious position, sitting 15th in the league standings with just two points. Their recent form has been troubling, with no wins in their last five matches, including heavy defeats against Geita Gold and Azam. Kagera Sugar's defense has been particularly porous, conceding an average of 2.40 goals per game, while their attack has struggled to find the back of the net consistently. Their away form is also a concern, having lost both of their last two away matches. With no injuries or suspensions reported, Kagera Sugar will need to put up a much-improved performance to stand a chance against a well-organized Mbeya City side.

Prediction and Analysis

Considering the current form and table positions, the prediction for the Mbeya City vs Kagera Sugar match favors the home side. The main prediction is "Mbeya City Handicap 1: -0.5," reflecting Mbeya City's stronger form and home advantage. Mbeya City’s recent victories and Kagera Sugar's defensive vulnerabilities support this pick.

Additional predictions include "Mbeya City to Win," "Total: Over 1.5," "Both Teams to Score: No," and "Total Team 1: Over 0.5." These are based on Mbeya City's ability to maintain solid defensive records at home and Kagera Sugar's recent struggles in scoring and defending. The expectation is for Mbeya City to capitalize on their momentum and secure a win against the visitors.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Win 1
75%
Total:Over: 1.5
70%
Both Teams to Score: No
65%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
85%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Ligi kuu Bara Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Simba logoSimba
8 8 0 0 24
2
Young Africans logoYoung Africans
7 6 0 1 18
3
Azam logoAzam
8 5 2 1 17
4
Dodoma Jiji logoDodoma Jiji
8 4 2 2 14
5
JKT Tanzania logoJKT Tanzania
8 4 1 3 13
6
Mashujaa logoMashujaa
8 4 0 4 12
7
Singida Black Stars logoSingida Black Stars
8 3 2 3 11
8
Polisi Tanzania logoPolisi Tanzania
8 3 2 3 11
9
Mbeya City logoMbeya City ★
8 3 1 4 10
10
Coastal Union logoCoastal Union
8 3 1 4 10
11
Namungo logoNamungo
8 3 0 5 9
12
Geita Gold logoGeita Gold
8 2 1 5 7
13
Tabora United logoTabora United
7 1 3 3 6
14
Kagera Sugar logoKagera Sugar ★
8 1 3 4 6
15
Pamba Jiji logoPamba Jiji
8 1 2 5 5
16
Fountain Gate logoFountain Gate
8 1 2 5 5
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