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UEFA Europa League

AC Milan vs Benfica Prediction

UEFA Europa League 16.09.2026 · 15:00 Referee: S. Stoica
AC Milan emblem
AC Milan
D
W
W
W
L
vs
– : –
16 Sep · 15:00
Benfica emblem
Benfica
W
W
W
W
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
44%
AC Milan
27%
Draw
29%
Benfica

Form Comparison

■ AC Milan ■ Benfica
AC Milan
Benfica
0%
Form
100%
0%
Att
100%
100%
Def
0%
0%
Poisson distribution
0%
0%
H2h
100%
0%
Goals
100%
0%
Total
0%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
28.07.2019
AC Milan vs Benfica
0 — 1

Last Matches

AC Milan
Benfica
06.09.2026
Juventus vs AC Milan
1 — 1
28.08.2026
AC Milan vs Venezia
2 — 0
23.08.2026
Torino vs AC Milan
2 — 1
15.08.2026
Manchester United vs AC Milan
4 — 2
08.08.2026
Chelsea vs AC Milan
0 — 3
W: 3 · D: 1 · L: 1

Benfica enters this UEFA Europa League clash boasting a remarkable average of 3.60 goals scored per match over their last five outings, a testament to their attacking prowess. This offensive efficiency will be crucial as they face an AC Milan side whose recent form has seen them score an average of 1.80 goals per game. With both teams showcasing strong offensive capabilities, this encounter promises to be an intriguing contest between attack-minded teams.

Form and Context

AC Milan's recent performances have been a mixed bag. They have secured notable victories, such as a 4-2 win over Manchester United and a 2-0 triumph against Venezia. However, their form has been inconsistent, evidenced by a heavy 3-0 defeat to Chelsea. Despite this, their home form remains solid with one win and one draw in their last two home fixtures, scoring 1.50 goals per match on average.

Conversely, Benfica is riding a wave of excellent form, currently sitting fourth in their domestic league. They are undefeated in their last five matches, including a remarkable 7-0 away win against Casa Pia. Their impressive away form, characterized by an average of 3.00 goals scored per match, highlights their capability to secure results on the road. Their only blemish in recent outings was a draw, with no losses recorded.

Key Numbers

The statistical outlook paints a compelling picture of both teams. AC Milan has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.40 goals in their last five matches. However, at home, they have been more resilient, allowing just 0.50 goals per match. Benfica, on the other hand, has been defensively solid, conceding only 0.60 goals per match over the same period. Their attacking numbers are equally impressive, scoring an average of 3.60 goals per game.

Head-to-head statistics favor Benfica, who won their previous meeting 1-0 against AC Milan. This historical edge, combined with their current scoring form, gives Benfica a psychological advantage heading into this match.

Prediction

Given the current form and statistical data, a close match is anticipated. However, the prediction leans towards Benfica maintaining their unbeaten streak. The key betting event to watch is the "X2" market, where Benfica is favored not to lose. Their strong goal-scoring record and recent form suggest they have the tools to at least secure a draw or a win against AC Milan.

Additional betting events to consider include "Total Team 2 Over: 1", as Benfica's scoring consistency makes them likely to score at least once. Similarly, "Total:Over: 1.5" is a promising market, given both teams' offensive capabilities. Despite AC Milan's strong home defense, "Total Team 2 Over: 0.5" is a safe bet, given Benfica's recent attacking form. Lastly, "1X" is a viable option, considering AC Milan's resilience at home.

The confidence in Benfica's ability to secure a favorable result stems from their superior recent form and goal-scoring prowess. While AC Milan's home advantage cannot be ignored, Benfica's current trajectory suggests they will be difficult to beat.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total Team 2 Over: 1
75%
Total:Over: 1.5
80%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
85%
1X
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

AC Milan vs Benfica
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
BetVictor
Pinnacle
1xBet
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