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UEFA Europa League

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Prediction

UEFA Europa League 07.05.2026 · 19:00 Villa Park Referee: J. Pinheiro
Aston Villa emblem
Aston Villa
L
L
L
W
W
vs
– : –
07 May · 19:00
Nottingham Forest emblem
Nottingham Forest
W
W
W
W
D
Our Prediction
Total:Over: 2.5
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
3.20

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Aston Villa
45%
Draw
10%
Nottingham Forest

Form Comparison

■ Aston Villa ■ Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
55%
Form
45%
63%
Att
38%
60%
Def
40%
67%
Poisson distribution
33%
50%
H2h
50%
54%
Goals
46%
58%
Total
42%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
30.04.2026
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa
1 — 0
12.04.2026
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa
1 — 1
03.01.2026
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest
3 — 1
05.04.2025
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest
2 — 1
14.12.2024
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa
2 — 1
24.02.2024
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest
4 — 2
05.11.2023
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa
2 — 0
08.04.2023
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest
2 — 0
10.10.2022
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa
1 — 1
28.07.2021
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest

Last Matches

Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
03.05.2026
Aston Villa vs Tottenham
1 — 2
30.04.2026
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa
0 — 1
25.04.2026
Fulham vs Aston Villa
0 — 1
19.04.2026
Aston Villa vs Sunderland
4 — 3
16.04.2026
Aston Villa vs Bologna
4 — 0
W: 2 · D: 0 · L: 3

As the UEFA Europa League enters its decisive stages, all eyes are on Villa Park where Aston Villa will host Nottingham Forest on the 7th of May. Both teams have demonstrated their prowess throughout the season with commendable performances, making this encounter a thrilling affair for fans and analysts alike. The previous meetings between these two sides have been full of drama, and with both teams in good form, this match promises to be no different.

Aston Villa's Home Strength and Recent Form

Aston Villa comes into this match with a strong home record, having won four out of their last five matches at Villa Park. The team has been particularly potent in front of goal, averaging 2.60 goals per game at home, while conceding an average of 1.40. Their recent form has been impressive, with a notable 4-0 victory over Bologna and a hard-fought 4-3 win against Sunderland. Although they suffered a narrow 1-0 defeat to Fulham in their last outing, their overall performance has been robust, maintaining a steady average of 2.40 goals scored across their last five fixtures. Importantly, Aston Villa will be fielding a full-strength squad as they have no injuries or suspensions to contend with.

Nottingham Forest's Impressive Away Record

Nottingham Forest has been on a remarkable run, especially when playing away from home. They remain unbeaten in their last five away games, securing three wins and two draws. Their attack has been formidable, with an average of 2.60 goals scored per game on the road, while their defense has been equally solid, conceding just 0.80 goals per game. Forest's recent performances include a dominant 5-0 victory against Sunderland and a 1-0 triumph over FC Porto. With no injury or suspension issues, Nottingham Forest will also be able to field their strongest lineup. Their resilience was evident in the previous encounter against Aston Villa, which ended in a 1-1 draw, showcasing their ability to compete with top-tier teams.

Prediction and Betting Insights

Given the attacking prowess of both teams and their recent defensive records, the most likely scenario is a match with plenty of goals. Both Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest have shown they can find the net multiple times in a match, evidenced by their average goals scored in recent outings. Therefore, the main prediction is for the match to see more than 2.5 goals scored. This is supported by the fact that Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest have collectively averaged over 4 goals per match in their last five encounters. The confidence score for this prediction is high, given both teams' attacking form and historical head-to-head results.

In addition to the main prediction, other potential betting events include the likelihood of both teams scoring, given their offensive capabilities. Aston Villa’s home advantage might see them scoring over 1.5 goals, while Nottingham Forest's solid away form suggests they could find the net at least once. The probability of a draw also remains plausible, considering their previous 1-1 stalemate and evenly matched statistics.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5

Both teams have high scoring averages and previous encounters have seen over 2.5 goals.

3.20
Odds
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
75%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
85%
X
45%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest
Pin-UP
W11.80
X3.60
W24.20
William Hill
W11.83
X3.50
W24.00
Bet365
W11.80
X3.40
W24.50
Marathonbet
W11.85
X3.78
W24.40
Unibet
W11.78
X3.50
W24.70
Betfair
W11.75
X3.60
W24.33
BetVictor
W11.75
X3.50
W24.20
Pinnacle
W11.82
X3.72
W24.27
SBO
W11.79
X3.21
W23.91
1xBet
W11.88
X3.84
W24.47
Betano
W11.83
X3.75
W24.25
Dafabet
W11.86
X3.70
W24.30

UEFA Europa League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Lyon logoLyon
8 7 0 1 21
2
Aston Villa logoAston Villa ★
8 7 0 1 21
3
FC Midtjylland logoFC Midtjylland
8 6 1 1 19
4
Real Betis logoReal Betis
8 5 2 1 17
5
FC Porto logoFC Porto
8 5 2 1 17
6
SC Braga logoSC Braga
8 5 2 1 17
7
SC Freiburg logoSC Freiburg
8 5 2 1 17
8
AS Roma logoAS Roma
8 5 1 2 16
9
Genk logoGenk
8 5 1 2 16
10
Bologna logoBologna
8 4 3 1 15
11
VfB Stuttgart logoVfB Stuttgart
8 5 0 3 15
12
Ferencvarosi TC logoFerencvarosi TC
8 4 3 1 15
13
Nottingham Forest logoNottingham Forest ★
8 4 2 2 14
14
Plzen logoPlzen
8 3 5 0 14
15
FK Crvena Zvezda logoFK Crvena Zvezda
8 4 2 2 14
16
Celta Vigo logoCelta Vigo
8 4 1 3 13
17
PAOK logoPAOK
8 3 3 2 12
18
Lille logoLille
8 4 0 4 12
19
Fenerbahçe logoFenerbahçe
8 3 3 2 12
20
Panathinaikos logoPanathinaikos
8 3 3 2 12
21
Celtic logoCeltic
8 3 2 3 11
22
Ludogorets logoLudogorets
8 3 1 4 10
23
Dinamo Zagreb logoDinamo Zagreb
8 3 1 4 10
24
Brann logoBrann
8 2 3 3 9
25
BSC Young Boys logoBSC Young Boys
8 3 0 5 9
26
Sturm Graz logoSturm Graz
8 2 1 5 7
27
FCSB logoFCSB
8 2 1 5 7
28
GO Ahead Eagles logoGO Ahead Eagles
8 2 1 5 7
29
Feyenoord logoFeyenoord
8 2 0 6 6
30
FC Basel 1893 logoFC Basel 1893
8 2 0 6 6
31
Red Bull Salzburg logoRed Bull Salzburg
8 2 0 6 6
32
Rangers logoRangers
8 1 1 6 4
33
Nice logoNice
8 1 0 7 3
34
Utrecht logoUtrecht
8 0 1 7 1
35
Malmo FF logoMalmo FF
8 0 1 7 1
36
Maccabi Tel Aviv logoMaccabi Tel Aviv
8 0 1 7 1
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