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UEFA Europa League

Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia Prediction

UEFA Europa League 15.10.2026 · 15:00 Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku Referee: Anastasios Papapetrou
Jagiellonia emblem
Jagiellonia
L
L
W
L
L
vs
– : –
15 Oct · 15:00
Ararat-Armenia emblem
Ararat-Armenia
D
W
W
L
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
66%
Jagiellonia
20%
Draw
14%
Ararat-Armenia

Form Comparison

■ Jagiellonia ■ Ararat-Armenia
Jagiellonia
Ararat-Armenia
71%
Form
29%
77%
Att
23%
50%
Def
50%
79%
Poisson distribution
21%
0%
H2h
0%
0%
Goals
0%
69%
Total
31%

Last Matches

Jagiellonia
Ararat-Armenia
10.10.2026
Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze
1 — 3
03.10.2026
Jagiellonia vs Polonia Warszawa
1 — 2
29.09.2026
Jagiellonia vs Suduva Marijampole
5 — 0
20.09.2026
Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa
1 — 3
16.09.2026
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia
1 — 2
W: 1 · D: 0 · L: 4

Injuries and Suspensions

Jagiellonia
C. Polak, D. Drachal, D. Rallis, N. Wojtuszek, Z. Zalewski
Ararat-Armenia
P. Ayongo

Jagiellonia Białystok and Ararat-Armenia are set to face off in an intriguing UEFA Europa League encounter at the Chorten Arena. Both teams come into this match with different domestic forms, but with the same objective of securing vital points in the group stage.

Jagiellonia's Recent Struggles

Jagiellonia has faced a challenging start to their domestic season in the Polish Ekstraklasa, currently sitting 10th out of 18 teams. The team has managed to gather only 12 points from eight matches, placing them in the bottom 50% of the league. Their recent form isn't promising either, with the team losing four out of their last five matches across all competitions. Although they managed a convincing 5-0 win against Suduva Marijampole in a friendly, they struggled in more competitive fixtures against teams like Legia Warszawa and Olympiakos Piraeus. At home, Jagiellonia's performance has been somewhat better, scoring an average of 2.60 goals per game in their last five matches at the Chorten Arena.

Ararat-Armenia's Strong Form

In contrast, Ararat-Armenia has had a strong start to their domestic campaign in the Armenian Premier League, sitting second with 19 points from eight matches. The Armenian side boasts a top 17% percentile and is on a promotion path to the Conference League qualification. Ararat-Armenia has been impressive in recent outings, winning four of their last five games. They have shown resilience and efficiency, especially in their away matches, where they have scored an average of 2.00 goals per game while conceding only 0.80. Their recent 1-4 loss to Sparta Praha in the Europa League is overshadowed by their domestic success and a solid away performance against Shirak and Ararat.

Prediction for a Competitive Match

With Jagiellonia's recent struggles and Ararat-Armenia's robust form, the prediction for this match leans towards Ararat-Armenia securing a positive result. The main prediction is for Ararat-Armenia to win with a Double Chance: X2, supported by their superior form and Jagiellonia's defensive vulnerabilities. Ararat-Armenia's attack has been prolific, and their ability to perform well away from home provides them with an edge.

Additional predictions include: Total: Over 1.5, as both teams have shown the ability to score; Both Teams to Score: Yes, given their respective scoring records; Total Team 1: Over 0.5, as Jagiellonia is likely to score at home; and Handicap 2: 0.5, reflecting Ararat-Armenia's capability to keep the match close or win outright.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
70%
Both Teams to Score: Yes
65%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
75%
Handicap 2: 0.5
60%

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