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UEFA Europa League

Sturm Graz vs Marseille Prediction

UEFA Europa League 22.10.2026 · 12:45 Merkur-Arena
Sturm Graz emblem
Sturm Graz
L
W
W
L
D
vs
– : –
22 Oct · 12:45
Marseille emblem
Marseille
L
W
L
L
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Sturm Graz
45%
Draw
10%
Marseille

Form Comparison

■ Sturm Graz ■ Marseille
Sturm Graz
Marseille
100%
Form
0%
0%
Att
100%
63%
Def
38%
0%
Poisson distribution
0%
0%
H2h
0%
0%
Goals
0%
63%
Total
38%

Last Matches

Sturm Graz
Marseille
15.10.2026
Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz
0 — 3
10.10.2026
Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz
2 — 0
02.10.2026
Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC
3 — 1
20.09.2026
Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz
0 — 3
16.09.2026
Sturm Graz vs Rennes
0 — 0
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

The UEFA Europa League clash between Sturm Graz and Marseille promises to be an intriguing encounter at the Merkur-Arena. Both teams will be looking to prove their mettle on the European stage, with Sturm Graz enjoying a solid domestic campaign while Marseille struggles to find form in Ligue 1.

Sturm Graz's Consistent Form

Sturm Graz enters this match with a commendable domestic record, sitting fourth in the Austrian Bundesliga after eight matches. Their recent performances have been promising, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches across all competitions. Notably, they secured an impressive 2-0 away victory against Austria Vienna and a 2-1 home win over Lask Linz, emphasizing their ability to perform both at home and on the road. Sturm Graz has shown resilience, especially at home, where they have remained unbeaten in their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.40 goals per game while conceding just 0.60. This defensive solidity could prove crucial against a Marseille side struggling to score.

Marseille's Struggles in Ligue 1

Marseille, on the other hand, finds themselves in a challenging position in Ligue 1, sitting 13th in the table with only six points from six games. Their recent form has been concerning, with four losses in their last five matches, including a 4-1 defeat to Beşiktaş in the Europa League. Defensive frailties have been their Achilles' heel, conceding an average of two goals per game in their last five outings. Despite these issues, Marseille has the potential to turn things around, but they will need to improve their defense significantly against a well-organized Sturm Graz team.

Prediction: Sturm Graz to Avoid Defeat

Considering the current form and league positions, the prediction for Sturm Graz vs Marseille points towards Sturm Graz avoiding defeat, with a "Double Chance: 1X" being the main pick. Sturm Graz's home form and defensive strength, coupled with Marseille's struggles, suggest that the Austrian side is well-positioned to secure at least a draw. Additionally, the following predictions are supported: "Total: Over 1.5," "Both Teams to Score: Yes," "Total Team 1: Over 0.5," and "Handicap 1: 0.5." Sturm Graz's consistent scoring at home and Marseille's defensive vulnerabilities provide the basis for these predictions.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
75%
Both Teams to Score: Yes
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
85%
Handicap 1: 0.5
80%
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