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UEFA Nations League

Norway vs Wales Prediction

UEFA Nations League 14.11.2026 · 12:00 Ullevaal Stadion Referee: Oleksiy Derevinskiy
Norway emblem
Norway
L
L
L
W
L
vs
– : –
14 Nov · 12:00
Wales emblem
Wales
L
W
L
L
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
77%
Norway
14%
Draw
9%
Wales

Form Comparison

■ Norway ■ Wales
Norway
Wales
50%
Form
50%
75%
Att
25%
38%
Def
62%
100%
Poisson distribution
0%
0%
H2h
100%
33%
Goals
67%
49%
Total
51%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
01.10.2026
Wales vs Norway
2 — 1

Last Matches

Norway
Wales
04.10.2026
Portugal vs Norway
2 — 1
01.10.2026
Wales vs Norway
2 — 1
27.09.2026
Norway vs Portugal
1 — 2
24.09.2026
Norway vs Denmark
3 — 2
11.07.2026
Norway vs England
1 — 2
W: 1 · D: 0 · L: 4

As Norway prepares to face Wales in the UEFA Nations League, both teams are eager to improve upon their recent performances. The match, scheduled for November 14, 2026, will see Norway seeking redemption on home soil against a Welsh side that has had its own share of struggles.

Norway's Recent Form and Challenges

Norway comes into this fixture with a mixed bag of results from their last five matches. They have managed to secure one win against Denmark, but have suffered four losses, including a 2-1 defeat to Wales in their previous encounter. Norway's recent home form has seen them win twice but lose three times, with an average of 1.80 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. This suggests a vulnerability in defense, which they will need to address against Wales. Despite these challenges, Norway's offensive capabilities have not been entirely subdued, showcasing their potential to score.

Wales' Struggles and Opportunities

Wales, on the other hand, has had a tough run, losing four of their last five matches. Their only victory came against Norway, which could give them a psychological edge in this rematch. However, their recent away records are concerning, with three consecutive losses and only 0.33 goals scored on average per game. Defensively, Wales has conceded an average of 1.67 goals in these away matches, indicating potential weaknesses that Norway might exploit. Nevertheless, the previous win over Norway could motivate Wales to replicate their successful tactics.

Prediction: A Balanced Encounter

Given the recent form of both teams and their head-to-head record, the upcoming match between Norway and Wales is likely to be a closely contested affair. Our prediction for this encounter is a "Double Chance: 1X," suggesting Norway might avoid defeat at home. This pick is supported by Norway's slightly better scoring record at home compared to Wales' struggles on the road. Additionally, considering both teams' defensive vulnerabilities, we expect "Both Teams to Score: Yes" with significant likelihood. Furthermore, we predict "Total: Over 1.5" goals due to the attacking potential on display, and anticipate Norway scoring "Total Team 1: Over 0.5" goals. Lastly, a "Handicap 2: 1.5" reflects Wales' potential to keep the match competitive.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Both Teams to Score: Yes
65%
Total:Over: 1.5
80%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
85%
Handicap 2: 1.5
70%

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