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Serie A

Atletico-MG VS Gremio: Final Score & Prediction

Serie A 16.08.2026 · 15:00 MRV Arena Referee: B. Arleu
Atletico-MG emblem
Atletico-MG
W
D
W
D
D
Full Time
3 – 0
HT 1:0
16 Aug · 15:00
Gremio emblem
Gremio
W
W
D
L
D

Match Stats

Atletico-MG 3:0 Gremio
49%
Ball Possession
51%
2.47
Expected Goals (xG)
0.41
14
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
1
5
Shots off Target
4
4
Blocked Shots
4
14
Shots Inside Box
6
0
Shots Outside Box
3
8
Corners
6
0
Offsides
2
14
Fouls
11
3
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
417
Total Passes
443
373
Accurate Passes
402
89%
Pass Accuracy
91%

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
Vitor HugoGoal · Igor Gomes
19'
Igor GomesSubstitution · Bernard
31'
39'
C. PavonYellow Card
A. PreciadoYellow Card
42'
M. CisseYellow Card
45+2'
46'
Gustavo MartinsSubstitution · Walter Kannemann
46'
C. PavonSubstitution · Tete
46'
J. NardoniSubstitution · F. Krovinovic
R. LodiYellow Card
57'
61'
Walter KannemannYellow Card
A. FrancoSubstitution · Maycon
61'
M. CisseSubstitution · K. Castano
61'
CuelloGoal · R. Lodi
62'
63'
DodiSubstitution · Gabriel Mec
CuelloGoal
66'
69'
Pedro GabrielYellow Card
76'
Pedro GabrielSubstitution · Caio Paulista
CuelloSubstitution · Dudu
81'
Victor HugoSubstitution · A. Minda
81'

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
53%
Atletico-MG
26%
Draw
21%
Gremio

Form Comparison

■ Atletico-MG ■ Gremio
Atletico-MG
Gremio
53%
Form
47%
43%
Att
57%
64%
Def
36%
65%
Poisson distribution
35%
40%
H2h
60%
44%
Goals
56%
52%
Total
49%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
25.02.2026
Gremio vs Atletico-MG
2 — 1
17.08.2025
Atletico-MG vs Gremio
1 — 3
29.03.2025
Gremio vs Atletico-MG
2 — 1
09.10.2024
Atletico-MG vs Gremio
2 — 1
01.09.2024
Gremio vs Atletico-MG
2 — 3
26.11.2023
Atletico-MG vs Gremio
3 — 0
22.07.2023
Gremio vs Atletico-MG
1 — 0
09.12.2021
Gremio vs Atletico-MG
4 — 3
03.11.2021
Atletico-MG vs Gremio
2 — 1
20.01.2021
Gremio vs Atletico-MG
1 — 1

Last Matches

Atletico-MG
Gremio
12.08.2026
RB Bragantino vs Atletico-MG
1 — 0
08.08.2026
Remo vs Atletico-MG
2 — 2
04.08.2026
Juventude vs Atletico-MG
1 — 0
01.08.2026
Atletico-MG vs Juventude
0 — 0
29.07.2026
Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino
-
W: 2 · D: 2 · L: 0

Injuries and Suspensions

Atletico-MG
Gustavo Scarpa, Indio, L. Duarte, Lyanco, Patrick Silva
Gremio
Joao Pedro, Tete, Willian

Atletico-MG enters the clash against Gremio with a solid defensive record, conceding just 0.40 goals per game in their last five matches. This defensive stability has helped them secure a 10th place in the league standings. Gremio, however, finds themselves struggling in 17th place, having averaged only 0.60 goals per match over the same period. Despite their lower position, Gremio remains a challenging opponent, historically having a favorable head-to-head record against Atletico-MG with three wins in their last five encounters.

Recent form suggests a contrast in fortunes for the two sides. Atletico-MG has shown resilience, particularly at home, with an unbeaten record in their last five matches at the MRV Arena. They have managed two wins and three draws, scoring an average of 0.80 goals and conceding a mere 0.20 goals per game at home. On the other hand, Gremio's away form has been less consistent, with only one win in their last five away games. They have managed an average of 1.20 goals but have conceded 1.40 goals per game on the road.

Both teams have displayed similar attacking capabilities, with Atletico-MG scoring an average of 0.80 goals and Gremio slightly trailing with 0.60 goals per game in their last five matches. Atletico-MG's defensive strength has been their hallmark, conceding only 0.40 goals against Gremio's 0.60. However, the head-to-head statistics tell a different story. Gremio has won three of the last five encounters, scoring two or more goals in these victories. This suggests that Gremio may have an attacking edge against Atletico-MG, despite their current league struggles.

The prediction for this match leans towards a low-scoring affair, given Atletico-MG's strong defensive record and Gremio's inconsistent attack. However, Gremio's tendency to perform well against Atletico-MG cannot be ignored. A draw seems a plausible outcome, given Atletico-MG's unbeaten home record and Gremio's ability to challenge them historically. The main betting event is a draw, with a balanced prediction of both teams cancelling each other out. Additional predictions include a low total of goals given both teams' recent scoring trends and Atletico-MG's strong home defense.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Under: 2.0
70%
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5
75%
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5
80%
1X
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Atletico-MG vs Gremio
Pin-UP
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Unibet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet
Betano
888Sport
Dafabet

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
24 15 6 3 51
2
Flamengo logoFlamengo
23 13 6 4 45
3
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
24 13 5 6 44
4
Fluminense logoFluminense
24 11 8 5 41
5
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
24 11 6 7 39
6
Bahia logoBahia
24 9 10 5 37
7
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
23 10 5 8 35
8
Coritiba logoCoritiba
24 9 7 8 34
9
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG ★
23 9 6 8 33
10
Corinthians logoCorinthians
24 8 8 8 32
11
Botafogo logoBotafogo
23 8 6 9 30
12
Vitoria logoVitoria
24 8 5 11 29
13
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
23 7 6 10 27
14
Santos logoSantos
23 6 8 9 26
15
Gremio logoGremio ★
23 6 7 10 25
16
Internacional logoInternacional
24 5 10 9 25
17
Mirassol logoMirassol
23 6 6 11 24
18
Remo logoRemo
24 5 8 11 23
19
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
23 5 7 11 22
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
23 2 8 13 14
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