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Serie A

Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction

Serie A 04.11.2026 · 17:30 Arena da Baixada Referee: R. Abatti
Atletico Paranaense emblem
Atletico Paranaense
L
D
L
W
D
vs
– : –
04 Nov · 17:30
Vasco DA Gama emblem
Vasco DA Gama
L
L
W
L
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
44%
Atletico Paranaense
28%
Draw
28%
Vasco DA Gama

Form Comparison

■ Atletico Paranaense ■ Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
Vasco DA Gama
42%
Form
58%
54%
Att
46%
50%
Def
50%
69%
Poisson distribution
31%
40%
H2h
60%
45%
Goals
55%
50%
Total
50%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
10.05.2026
Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico Paranaense
1 — 0
11.09.2024
Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama
2 — 1
29.08.2024
Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico Paranaense
2 — 1
26.08.2024
Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico Paranaense
2 — 1
05.05.2024
Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama
1 — 0
25.11.2023
Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama
0 — 0
23.07.2023
Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico Paranaense
0 — 2
27.12.2020
Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama
3 — 0
06.09.2020
Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico Paranaense
1 — 0
22.09.2019
Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico Paranaense
1 — 1

Last Matches

Atletico Paranaense
Vasco DA Gama
29.10.2026
Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense
0 — 2
24.10.2026
Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense
1 — 1
17.10.2026
Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras
0 — 2
12.10.2026
Chapecoense-sc vs Atletico Paranaense
4 — 1
08.10.2026
Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG
2 — 2
W: 1 · D: 2 · L: 2

Injuries and Suspensions

Atletico Paranaense
C. Teran, Claudinho
Vasco DA Gama
A. Gomez, C. Cuesta, Cauan Barros, Mateus Carvalho

Atletico Paranaense is set to host Vasco DA Gama in a crucial Serie A encounter at the Arena da Baixada. With both teams showing fluctuating forms, this match promises to be a captivating contest as Atletico Paranaense looks to secure a top-four finish while Vasco DA Gama aims to climb the table.

Atletico Paranaense's Strong Home Form

Atletico Paranaense enters this match sitting comfortably in the top four of the Brazilian Serie A table. Their recent form has been mixed, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. The team has displayed an impressive scoring rate, averaging 1.80 goals per game, while conceding 1.40. However, their home form has seen them score 1.60 goals per game, indicating a slight dip in performance at the Arena da Baixada. Despite this, they remain a formidable force at home, having suffered just one defeat in their last five home fixtures. Atletico Paranaense's ability to bounce back from last season's promotion from Serie B has been remarkable, and they are determined to solidify their spot in the Copa Libertadores group stage.

Vasco DA Gama's Mid-Table Battle

Vasco DA Gama, currently positioned 13th in the league, has had a season of ups and downs. Their recent victories against Corinthians and Boca Juniors highlight their potential, yet inconsistency has been an issue, as seen in their loss to Sao Paulo and draw against struggling Remo. With an average of 1.00 goals scored per game and conceding 1.20, Vasco DA Gama's attacking prowess seems limited. However, their away form has been relatively solid, with three wins in their last five games on the road. Vasco DA Gama will be eager to improve their head-to-head record against Atletico Paranaense, having won four of their last five encounters.

Prediction: Goals on Both Sides

The prediction for the Atletico Paranaense versus Vasco DA Gama match leans towards an engaging contest with both teams likely getting on the scoresheet. Atletico Paranaense's strong home performance and Vasco DA Gama's decent away form suggest a competitive match. Despite Atletico's slightly better position in the league, Vasco's recent head-to-head advantage cannot be overlooked.

Main Prediction: Both Teams to Score: Yes. Atletico Paranaense's solid home scoring record combined with Vasco DA Gama's ability to perform away from home supports this prediction.

Additional Predictions: 1. Double Chance: 1X with a probability of 75%, considering Atletico Paranaense's strong home results. 2. Total Team 1: Over 1.5 with a probability of 70%, given Atletico's attacking efficiency at home. 3. Total Team 2: Over 0.5 with a probability of 65%, reflecting Vasco's capability to score away. 4. Handicap 2: 1 with a probability of 60%, considering the competitive nature of recent head-to-head matches.

With both teams eager to make their mark, this match promises to be a thrilling affair with plenty of action on both ends of the pitch.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
1X
75%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
65%
Handicap 2: 1
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Flamengo logoFlamengo
33 22 7 4 73
2
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
33 20 10 3 70
3
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
33 17 6 10 57
4
Fluminense logoFluminense
33 15 9 9 54
5
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense ★
33 15 9 9 54
6
Bahia logoBahia
33 14 11 8 53
7
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
33 14 8 11 50
8
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
34 13 8 13 47
9
Santos logoSantos
34 12 11 11 47
10
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
33 12 7 14 43
11
Coritiba logoCoritiba
33 11 9 13 42
12
Botafogo logoBotafogo
33 10 9 14 39
13
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama ★
32 10 8 14 38
14
Vitoria logoVitoria
33 10 8 15 38
15
Gremio logoGremio
33 9 10 14 37
16
Mirassol logoMirassol
33 9 10 14 37
17
Corinthians logoCorinthians
33 9 9 15 36
18
Internacional logoInternacional
33 8 11 14 35
19
Remo logoRemo
33 6 11 16 29
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
32 4 9 19 21
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