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Serie A

Sao Paulo vs Corinthians Prediction

Serie A 04.11.2026 · 19:30 Estadio Do MorumBIS Referee: R. Claus
Sao Paulo emblem
Sao Paulo
L
D
W
W
L
vs
– : –
04 Nov · 19:30
Corinthians emblem
Corinthians
W
L
D
L
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
41%
Sao Paulo
30%
Draw
29%
Corinthians

Form Comparison

■ Sao Paulo ■ Corinthians
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
64%
Form
36%
46%
Att
54%
59%
Def
41%
66%
Poisson distribution
34%
50%
H2h
50%
53%
Goals
47%
56%
Total
44%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
10.05.2026
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo
3 — 2
18.01.2026
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo
1 — 1
20.11.2025
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo
3 — 1
19.07.2025
Sao Paulo vs Corinthians
2 — 0
26.01.2025
Sao Paulo vs Corinthians
3 — 1
29.09.2024
Sao Paulo vs Corinthians
3 — 1
16.06.2024
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo
2 — 2
30.01.2024
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo
1 — 2
30.09.2023
Sao Paulo vs Corinthians
2 — 1
16.08.2023
Sao Paulo vs Corinthians
2 — 0

Last Matches

Sao Paulo
Corinthians
28.10.2026
Bahia vs Sao Paulo
2 — 3
24.10.2026
Mirassol vs Sao Paulo
1 — 1
17.10.2026
Sao Paulo vs Vasco DA Gama
1 — 0
10.10.2026
Sao Paulo vs Vitoria
2 — 1
07.10.2026
Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo
0 — 2
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

Injuries and Suspensions

Sao Paulo
Artur, Buta, D. Duarte, Ferreira, Marcos Antonio, N. Bosshardt, Sabino
Corinthians
Alex Santana, Gabriel Paulista, Kayke, M. Depay, Matheuzinho, Raniele, Z. Labyad

Sao Paulo hosts Corinthians in an intriguing Serie A clash at Estadio Do MorumBIS. With both teams having different objectives as the season nears its conclusion, this match promises to be a fascinating encounter.

Sao Paulo's Mid-Table Security

Sao Paulo currently sits in 9th place in the Serie A standings, aiming to secure a spot in the Copa Sudamericana. Their recent form has been mixed, with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five matches. At home, Sao Paulo has shown resilience, with three wins and a draw in their recent home fixtures, scoring an average of 1.20 goals per game while conceding 0.80. Their ability to perform well in front of their home crowd could be a crucial factor against a struggling Corinthians side.

Corinthians' Relegation Battle

Corinthians find themselves in a precarious position, languishing in 18th place and fighting to avoid relegation. Their recent form has been disappointing, with no wins in their last five matches, including four losses. Defensively, Corinthians have been vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.60 goals per game in their last five outings. Despite scoring 1.20 goals per game during this period, their defensive frailties have overshadowed their offensive efforts, making their task against Sao Paulo an uphill battle.

Prediction for a Competitive Clash

In this Sao Paulo vs Corinthians prediction, the home side is expected to capitalize on Corinthians' poor form and secure a win. Sao Paulo's stronger home performances and Corinthians' defensive struggles make Sao Paulo the likely victors. Our main pick is "Win: 1" due to Sao Paulo's home advantage and recent results. Additional predictions include "Both Teams to Score: Yes," as both teams have shown the capability to find the net, "Total: Over 1.5," given the scoring trends, "Total Team 1: Over 1," reflecting Sao Paulo's home scoring ability, and "Handicap 1: 0.5," emphasizing their expected edge over Corinthians.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Both Teams to Score: Yes
65%
Total:Over: 1.5
75%
Total Team 1 Over: 1
70%
Handicap 1: 0.5
80%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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William Hill
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BetVictor
Pinnacle
Betano

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Flamengo logoFlamengo
33 22 7 4 73
2
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
33 20 10 3 70
3
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
33 17 6 10 57
4
Fluminense logoFluminense
33 15 9 9 54
5
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
33 15 9 9 54
6
Bahia logoBahia
33 14 11 8 53
7
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
33 14 8 11 50
8
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
34 13 8 13 47
9
Santos logoSantos
34 12 11 11 47
10
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo ★
33 12 7 14 43
11
Coritiba logoCoritiba
33 11 9 13 42
12
Botafogo logoBotafogo
33 10 9 14 39
13
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
32 10 8 14 38
14
Vitoria logoVitoria
33 10 8 15 38
15
Gremio logoGremio
33 9 10 14 37
16
Mirassol logoMirassol
33 9 10 14 37
17
Corinthians logoCorinthians ★
33 9 9 15 36
18
Internacional logoInternacional
33 8 11 14 35
19
Remo logoRemo
33 6 11 16 29
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
32 4 9 19 21
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