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Serie A

Bahia vs Corinthians Prediction

Serie A 26.07.2026 · 19:00 Arena Fonte Nova Referee: R. Abatti
Bahia emblem
Bahia
D
W
L
W
W
vs
– : –
26 Jul · 19:00
Corinthians emblem
Corinthians
W
D
D
W
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
44%
Bahia
28%
Draw
28%
Corinthians

Form Comparison

■ Bahia ■ Corinthians
Bahia
Corinthians
40%
Form
60%
42%
Att
58%
50%
Def
50%
59%
Poisson distribution
41%
50%
H2h
50%
42%
Goals
58%
47%
Total
53%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
28.01.2026
Corinthians vs Bahia
1 — 2
17.08.2025
Corinthians vs Bahia
1 — 2
30.03.2025
Bahia vs Corinthians
1 — 1
03.12.2024
Corinthians vs Bahia
3 — 0
21.07.2024
Bahia vs Corinthians
0 — 1
25.11.2023
Corinthians vs Bahia
1 — 5
22.07.2023
Bahia vs Corinthians
0 — 0
06.10.2021
Corinthians vs Bahia
3 — 1
20.06.2021
Bahia vs Corinthians
0 — 0
28.01.2021
Bahia vs Corinthians
2 — 1

Last Matches

Bahia
Corinthians
21.07.2026
Atletico-MG vs Bahia
1 — 1
17.07.2026
Bahia vs Chapecoense-sc
2 — 0
12.07.2026
Fluminense vs Bahia
0 — 2
04.07.2026
Bahia vs Atletico Torque
4 — 1
30.05.2026
Bahia vs Botafogo
2 — 1
W: 3 · D: 1 · L: 1

Injuries and Suspensions

Bahia
Leo Vieira, M. Moreno
Corinthians
Kayke, M. Depay, Vitinho

In what promises to be an intriguing clash in the Serie A, Bahia is set to host Corinthians at Arena Fonte Nova on July 26, 2026. This match pits two teams who are navigating through different paths in their current campaigns. Bahia, buoyed by their home advantage, will be keen to secure all three points, while Corinthians are looking to establish consistency and climb up the league table.

Bahia has been in impressive form at home, which has been reflected in their recent performances. In their last five outings at Arena Fonte Nova, they have managed to secure three wins, a draw, and suffered just one defeat. Their attack has been prolific, scoring an average of 2.00 goals per match, while defensively they have conceded 1.00 on average. This robust home form has been pivotal to their current 6th place standing in the league. Importantly, Bahia will have a fully fit squad at their disposal, with no players sidelined due to injury or suspension, allowing them to field their strongest eleven.

Corinthians, on the other hand, have had a mixed bag of results in recent fixtures. Despite a commendable 3:1 away victory against Gremio, they have struggled for consistency, evidenced by their 12th place position. Their recent away form has been somewhat steady, with one win, three draws, and a single loss from their last five away matches. They have averaged 1.40 goals scored and the same number conceded per match on the road. Like Bahia, Corinthians have no injury or suspension concerns and will look to deliver a balanced performance.

The prediction for this encounter leans towards a closely contested match, with both teams possessing the capability to find the back of the net. Given Bahia's strong home form and Corinthians' ability to grind out results on the road, this match could see goals from both sides. The head-to-head record between these two teams is evenly matched, each securing two wins in their last five meetings, with one draw. The most probable betting event is that both teams will score, considering their attacking prowess and recent goal-scoring records. The confidence in this prediction is bolstered by the attacking statistics from both teams and their historical encounters.

With these dynamics in mind, the main prediction is for both teams to score, with a confidence score of 8. Additional probable betting events include a total of over 2.5 goals, given their scoring averages; a Bahia win, leveraging their home form; a handicap of 1: 0.5 for Bahia, reflecting their slight edge at home; and a total team 2 over 0.5, aligning with Corinthians' capacity to score on the road. These events collectively capture the competitive nature expected in this matchup.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Win 1
55%
Handicap 1: 0.5
60%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
65%
Total:Over: 2.0
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Bahia vs Corinthians
Pin-UP
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Unibet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet
Betano
Superbet
Dafabet

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
19 13 5 1 44
2
Flamengo logoFlamengo
18 11 4 3 37
3
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
19 10 3 6 33
4
Fluminense logoFluminense
19 9 5 5 32
5
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
19 9 3 7 30
6
Bahia logoBahia ★
19 8 6 5 30
7
Corinthians logoCorinthians ★
19 7 6 6 27
8
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
19 7 6 6 27
9
Botafogo logoBotafogo
19 7 5 7 26
10
Coritiba logoCoritiba
19 7 5 7 26
11
Vitoria logoVitoria
19 7 5 7 26
12
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
19 7 4 8 25
13
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
19 7 4 8 25
14
Internacional logoInternacional
19 5 6 8 21
15
Santos logoSantos
19 5 6 8 21
16
Gremio logoGremio
19 5 6 8 21
17
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
19 5 5 9 20
18
Mirassol logoMirassol
18 5 4 9 19
19
Remo logoRemo
19 4 6 9 18
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
19 1 6 12 9
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