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Serie A

Sao Paulo vs Santos Prediction

Serie A 29.07.2026 · 20:00 Estadio Do MorumBIS Referee: A. Daronco
Sao Paulo emblem
Sao Paulo
L
L
W
D
D
vs
– : –
29 Jul · 20:00
Santos emblem
Santos
D
W
L
D
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
46%
Sao Paulo
28%
Draw
26%
Santos

Form Comparison

■ Sao Paulo ■ Santos
Sao Paulo
Santos
20%
Form
80%
38%
Att
62%
55%
Def
45%
68%
Poisson distribution
32%
50%
H2h
50%
50%
Goals
50%
47%
Total
53%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
04.02.2026
Santos vs Sao Paulo
1 — 1
31.01.2026
Sao Paulo vs Santos
2 — 0
21.09.2025
Santos vs Sao Paulo
1 — 0
20.04.2025
Sao Paulo vs Santos
2 — 1
01.02.2025
Santos vs Sao Paulo
3 — 1
14.02.2024
Sao Paulo vs Santos
0 — 1
12.11.2023
Santos vs Sao Paulo
0 — 0
16.07.2023
Sao Paulo vs Santos
4 — 1
12.02.2023
Sao Paulo vs Santos
3 — 1
21.08.2022
Santos vs Sao Paulo
1 — 0

Last Matches

Sao Paulo
Santos
23.07.2026
Sao Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense
1 — 2
31.05.2026
Remo vs Sao Paulo
0 — 1
26.05.2026
Sao Paulo vs Boston River
2 — 0
23.05.2026
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo
1 — 1
20.05.2026
Sao Paulo vs Millonarios
1 — 1
W: 1 · D: 2 · L: 2

As Sao Paulo prepares to host Santos at the Estadio Do MorumBIS on July 29, 2026, anticipation is building for this intriguing Serie A encounter. The two teams have had contrasting fortunes in recent matches, which sets the stage for what promises to be a captivating clash. Both sides will be eager to secure vital points to improve their league standings and solidify their respective positions.

Sao Paulo's Home Resilience

Sao Paulo currently sits at 8th in the league and boasts an unbeaten home record in their last five outings. Their recent form, however, has been a mix of results, with a solitary win against Boston River and a couple of hard-fought draws against Botafogo and Millonarios. Despite their struggle to find consistent scoring, averaging just 1 goal per game over the last five matches, they have shown resilience, especially at home where they have scored an average of 1.4 goals while conceding only 0.8. There are no injury or suspension concerns for the team, giving them a full-strength squad to select from against Santos.

Santos' Scoring Prowess

In contrast, Santos, positioned 15th, comes into this fixture with an impressive goal-scoring record. They have netted an average of 2 goals per match in their last five games. Their recent performances have seen them secure convincing victories against teams like União São João and Deportivo Cuenca with a solid defensive display, conceding just 0.6 goals per game. While their away form is less convincing, with only one win in their last five on the road, their ability to find the back of the net remains a threat. Like Sao Paulo, Santos faces no suspension or injury issues, allowing them to field their strongest lineup.

Prediction: A Tactical Battle

Given the recent form of both teams, this match is likely to be a tactical battle. Sao Paulo's solid home performance and Santos' scoring prowess suggest a closely contested affair. The prediction for this encounter leans towards a draw with both teams potentially finding the net. The head-to-head record also reflects a balanced rivalry, with both teams having won two matches each in their last five meetings. Considering the statistical trends and current form, a draw seems the most likely outcome.

For betting enthusiasts, the main prediction revolves around "Total:Over: 2.0" goals in the match. This prediction is supported by Santos' offensive capability and Sao Paulo's home stability. Additional betting markets to consider include "X" due to the balanced nature of their encounters, "Total Team 1 Over: 0.5" given Sao Paulo's home scoring rate, "Total Team 2 Over: 0.5" considering Santos' attacking form, and "1X" as Sao Paulo has remained unbeaten at home recently.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
X
40%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
65%
1X
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Sao Paulo vs Santos
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
1xBet
Betano
Dafabet

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
19 13 5 1 44
2
Flamengo logoFlamengo
18 11 4 3 37
3
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
19 10 3 6 33
4
Fluminense logoFluminense
19 9 5 5 32
5
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
19 9 3 7 30
6
Bahia logoBahia
19 8 6 5 30
7
Corinthians logoCorinthians
19 7 6 6 27
8
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
19 7 6 6 27
9
Botafogo logoBotafogo
19 7 5 7 26
10
Coritiba logoCoritiba
19 7 5 7 26
11
Vitoria logoVitoria
19 7 5 7 26
12
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo ★
19 7 4 8 25
13
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
19 7 4 8 25
14
Internacional logoInternacional
19 5 6 8 21
15
Santos logoSantos ★
19 5 6 8 21
16
Gremio logoGremio
19 5 6 8 21
17
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
19 5 5 9 20
18
Mirassol logoMirassol
18 5 4 9 19
19
Remo logoRemo
19 4 6 9 18
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
19 1 6 12 9
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