Home Today Tomorrow Weekend Week
All times in your local time UTC-4 Today Sun, 25 Oct 2026
Serie A

Bahia vs Sao Paulo Prediction

Serie A 28.10.2026 · 20:30 Arena Fonte Nova Referee: Davi de Oliveira Lacerda, Brazil
Bahia emblem
Bahia
D
L
W
L
L
vs
– : –
28 Oct · 20:30
Sao Paulo emblem
Sao Paulo
D
W
W
L
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
46%
Bahia
28%
Draw
26%
Sao Paulo

Form Comparison

■ Bahia ■ Sao Paulo
Bahia
Sao Paulo
36%
Form
64%
38%
Att
63%
46%
Def
54%
66%
Poisson distribution
34%
29%
H2h
71%
31%
Goals
69%
41%
Total
59%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
03.05.2026
Sao Paulo vs Bahia
2 — 2
25.10.2025
Sao Paulo vs Bahia
2 — 0
31.05.2025
Bahia vs Sao Paulo
2 — 1
05.11.2024
Bahia vs Sao Paulo
0 — 3
30.06.2024
Sao Paulo vs Bahia
3 — 1
29.11.2023
Bahia vs Sao Paulo
0 — 1
30.07.2023
Sao Paulo vs Bahia
0 — 0
07.11.2021
Bahia vs Sao Paulo
1 — 0
10.07.2021
Sao Paulo vs Bahia
1 — 0
28.11.2020
Bahia vs Sao Paulo
1 — 3

Last Matches

Bahia
Sao Paulo
24.10.2026
Santos vs Bahia
1 — 1
18.10.2026
Bahia vs Flamengo
0 — 3
11.10.2026
Bahia vs Mirassol
1 — 0
08.10.2026
Palmeiras vs Bahia
0 — 1
20.09.2026
Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia
1 — 2
W: 1 · D: 1 · L: 3

As Bahia prepares to host Sao Paulo at the Arena Fonte Nova, both teams are focused on securing a higher position in the Serie A standings. Bahia currently sits 7th with 49 points, while Sao Paulo is in 9th place with 42 points. Both teams are aiming for a spot in the Copa Sudamericana, making this encounter crucial for their campaign ambitions.

Bahia's Home Resilience

Bahia has demonstrated a mixed but generally positive form at home, winning three of their last five matches at the Arena Fonte Nova. Despite recent setbacks against top teams like Flamengo and Palmeiras, they managed to secure victories against lower-ranked teams such as Mirassol and Remo. Bahia's ability to perform well at home, scoring 1.2 goals per game and conceding the same, reflects their resilience. However, facing a formidable opponent like Sao Paulo will test their defensive capabilities.

Sao Paulo's Struggles on the Road

Sao Paulo has faced challenges away from home, with their recent away form showing four losses and one draw. They have struggled to find the net, scoring just 0.2 goals per game while conceding 1.4. Despite these difficulties, Sao Paulo has shown they can compete with Bahia, having a favorable head-to-head record with three wins in their last five encounters. Sao Paulo's recent victories against Vasco DA Gama and Vitoria at home indicate their potential, but translating this form to away matches remains a challenge.

Match Prediction with Tactical Insight

The prediction for the Bahia vs Sao Paulo match leans towards a competitive encounter, with Bahia's home advantage playing a significant role. Given Bahia's strong home performance and Sao Paulo's struggles on the road, a Double Chance: 1X is the main prediction. This pick is supported by Bahia's consistent home form and Sao Paulo's inability to secure away wins recently.

Additional predictions include Total: Over 1.5, reflecting both teams' ability to score goals, albeit inconsistently. Both Teams to Score: Yes is another viable prediction, considering the scoring capacities of both sides. Considering Bahia's home form, Total Team 1: Over 0.5 is a reasonable expectation. Lastly, given Sao Paulo's difficulty in scoring away, Total Team 2: Under 1.5 is anticipated.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
70%
Both Teams to Score: Yes
60%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
85%
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

We may earn a commission from links on this page. 18+ | Bet Responsibly.Bahia vs Sao Paulo
Pin-UP
Bet365
Betfair

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
32 20 9 3 69
2
Flamengo logoFlamengo
31 20 7 4 67
3
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
32 16 6 10 54
4
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
32 15 9 8 54
5
Fluminense logoFluminense
32 14 9 9 51
6
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
31 14 8 9 50
7
Bahia logoBahia ★
32 13 11 8 50
8
Santos logoSantos
32 12 10 10 46
9
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo ★
32 12 7 13 43
10
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
32 11 8 13 41
11
Botafogo logoBotafogo
32 10 9 13 39
12
Coritiba logoCoritiba
31 10 9 12 39
13
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
31 10 8 13 38
14
Vitoria logoVitoria
32 10 8 14 38
15
Mirassol logoMirassol
32 9 10 13 37
16
Internacional logoInternacional
32 8 11 13 35
17
Corinthians logoCorinthians
32 8 9 15 33
18
Gremio logoGremio
31 7 10 14 31
19
Remo logoRemo
32 5 11 16 26
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
31 4 9 18 21
Recommended Match Predictions
Get Today's Best Predictions
AI-powered analysis across 50+ leagues. Free forever.
Start Now