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Serie A

Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction

Serie A 29.10.2026 · 20:30 Arena do Grêmio Referee: Savio Pereira Sampaio, Brazil
Gremio emblem
Gremio
L
D
D
D
L
vs
– : –
29 Oct · 20:30
Atletico Paranaense emblem
Atletico Paranaense
D
L
W
D
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
39%
Gremio
29%
Draw
32%
Atletico Paranaense

Form Comparison

■ Gremio ■ Atletico Paranaense
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
27%
Form
73%
35%
Att
65%
50%
Def
50%
47%
Poisson distribution
53%
71%
H2h
29%
70%
Goals
30%
50%
Total
50%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
02.05.2026
Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio
0 — 0
04.08.2024
Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio
0 — 2
17.04.2024
Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense
2 — 0
18.10.2023
Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense
1 — 2
27.05.2023
Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio
1 — 2
26.09.2021
Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio
4 — 2
13.06.2021
Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense
0 — 1
21.02.2021
Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense
1 — 0
25.10.2020
Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio
1 — 2
27.11.2019
Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio
2 — 0

Last Matches

Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
18.10.2026
Gremio vs Cruzeiro
2 — 4
11.10.2026
Gremio vs Internacional
1 — 1
07.10.2026
Remo vs Gremio
1 — 1
20.09.2026
Gremio vs Palmeiras
0 — 0
16.09.2026
Botafogo vs Gremio
2 — 3
W: 0 · D: 3 · L: 2

Gremio will host Atletico Paranaense at the Arena do Grêmio for a crucial Serie A match. While Gremio is battling relegation, Atletico Paranaense is striving for a top finish to secure a spot in the Copa Libertadores. This encounter promises to be significant for both sides considering their contrasting positions.

Gremio's Struggle for Survival

Gremio, currently positioned 18th in the Serie A table, finds itself in a precarious situation, deep in the relegation zone. With only 31 points from 31 matches, they have been struggling throughout the season. Their recent form has been concerning, with no wins in their last five matches, including two losses and three draws. Notably, they have managed to score an average of 1.20 goals per game but have conceded 1.80, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities. At home, Gremio's performance has been slightly better, with one win and two draws in their last five matches, scoring 1.40 goals per game. Despite their struggles, they have a decent head-to-head record against Atletico Paranaense, which might give them a slight psychological edge.

Atletico Paranaense's Quest for Glory

Atletico Paranaense is enjoying a strong season, sitting 3rd in the table with 53 points. Their recent form has been impressive, with two wins and two draws in their last five fixtures. They have been potent in attack, scoring 2.20 goals per game, though their defense has also been breached frequently, conceding 1.80 goals per game. On the road, they have been formidable, with three wins and a draw in their last five away matches, scoring 2.60 goals per game. This attacking prowess, combined with their current standing, makes Atletico Paranaense a formidable opponent as they aim to consolidate their position in the top tier of Brazilian football.

Prediction: Atletico Paranaense's Edge

In this Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense matchup, the prediction leans towards an "X2" outcome, given the away side's superior form and league position. Atletico Paranaense's consistent performance this season, especially away from home, suggests they are likely to avoid defeat. Additionally, considering Gremio's defensive struggles, the visitors have the edge in this encounter.

For additional predictions: Expect "Total: Over 2.5" as both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently. "Both Teams to Score: Yes" is likely given their defensive records. Gremio could score at least once, supporting "Total Team 1: Over 0.5". On the other hand, "Total Team 2: Over 1" aligns with Atletico Paranaense's attacking form.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score: Yes
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
75%
Total Team 2 Over: 1
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
32 20 9 3 69
2
Flamengo logoFlamengo
31 20 7 4 67
3
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
32 16 6 10 54
4
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense ★
32 15 9 8 54
5
Fluminense logoFluminense
32 14 9 9 51
6
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
31 14 8 9 50
7
Bahia logoBahia
32 13 11 8 50
8
Santos logoSantos
32 12 10 10 46
9
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
32 12 7 13 43
10
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
32 11 8 13 41
11
Botafogo logoBotafogo
32 10 9 13 39
12
Coritiba logoCoritiba
31 10 9 12 39
13
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
31 10 8 13 38
14
Vitoria logoVitoria
32 10 8 14 38
15
Mirassol logoMirassol
32 9 10 13 37
16
Internacional logoInternacional
32 8 11 13 35
17
Corinthians logoCorinthians
32 8 9 15 33
18
Gremio logoGremio ★
31 7 10 14 31
19
Remo logoRemo
32 5 11 16 26
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
31 4 9 18 21
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