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Fluminense vs Bahia Prediction

Serie A 30.07.2026 · 00:30
Fluminense emblem
Fluminense
D
D
W
W
D
vs
– : –
30 Jul · 00:30
Bahia emblem
Bahia
D
D
W
L
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
52%
Fluminense
26%
Draw
22%
Bahia

Form Comparison

■ Fluminense ■ Bahia
Fluminense
Bahia
43%
Form
57%
43%
Att
57%
50%
Def
50%
58%
Poisson distribution
42%
71%
H2h
29%
78%
Goals
22%
57%
Total
43%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
12.07.2026
Fluminense vs Bahia
2 — 0
05.02.2026
Bahia vs Fluminense
1 — 1
07.12.2025
Fluminense vs Bahia
2 — 0
10.09.2025
Fluminense vs Bahia
2 — 0
28.08.2025
Bahia vs Fluminense
1 — 0
10.08.2025
Bahia vs Fluminense
3 — 3
04.08.2024
Fluminense vs Bahia
1 — 0
17.04.2024
Bahia vs Fluminense
2 — 1
31.10.2023
Bahia vs Fluminense
1 — 0
24.06.2023
Fluminense vs Bahia
2 — 1

Last Matches

Fluminense
Bahia
26.07.2026
Gremio vs Fluminense
1 — 1
17.07.2026
Fluminense vs RB Bragantino
1 — 1
12.07.2026
Fluminense vs Bahia
2 — 0
08.07.2026
Fluminense vs Nova Iguaçu
6 — 1
31.05.2026
Cruzeiro vs Fluminense
1 — 1
W: 2 · D: 3 · L: 0

Injuries and Suspensions

Fluminense
Guilherme Arana, J. Millan, Jemmes, K. Serna, Matheus Reis
Bahia
Caio Alexandre, David Duarte, Leo Vieira, M. Moreno, Ze Guilherme

As the Serie A season unfolds, an intriguing matchup is set to take place between Fluminense and Bahia. Scheduled for the early hours of July 30th, this clash will see two of the top six teams in the league face off. With Fluminense sitting comfortably in 3rd place and Bahia trailing not far behind in 6th, both teams will be eager to secure crucial points as they continue their pursuit of a higher league position.

Fluminense: A Dominant Force at Home

Fluminense has been nothing short of impressive this season, particularly when playing on their home turf. Undefeated in their last five home matches, the team has achieved four wins and a draw, showcasing their strong form. With an average of 2.80 goals scored and only 0.80 conceded per game at home, Fluminense's attacking prowess and solid defense have been key to their success. Notably, they come into this match with no injury or suspension concerns, allowing them to field their strongest lineup.

Bahia: Resilient but Challenged Away

Bahia, currently in 6th position, has demonstrated resilience in recent matches, but their away form has been less convincing. With no wins and three losses in their last five away fixtures, they have struggled to replicate their home success on the road. Despite this, Bahia has shown the ability to find the net, averaging 1.20 goals per away game. However, their defense has been leaky, conceding an average of 2.00 goals per match. Like Fluminense, Bahia has the advantage of a full squad available, with no players sidelined due to injuries or suspensions.

Prediction: Goals on the Horizon

Given both teams' recent performances and head-to-head statistics, this matchup promises to be an exciting encounter. Fluminense has had the upper hand in recent meetings, winning three of the last five encounters, including a 2-0 victory earlier this season. However, Bahia is not to be underestimated, having shown they can score against top teams. The most likely betting event for this match is "Total:Over: 2.5," considering Fluminense's high-scoring games at home and Bahia's defensive vulnerabilities away. With Fluminense's attacking form and Bahia's ability to score, a high-scoring game seems probable. The confidence score for this prediction is 8, reflecting the likelihood of multiple goals being scored.

Additionally, bettors might consider the "Win 1" market, given Fluminense's dominant home record, with an estimated probability of 65%. For those looking at goal-specific markets, "Total Team 1 Over: 1.5" appears probable at 70%, considering Fluminense's average home goals. Meanwhile, "Total Team 2 Over: 0.5," with a 60% probability, highlights Bahia's scoring potential. Lastly, "Total:Under: 3.0" might appeal to those expecting a slightly tighter game, with a probability set at 55%.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Win 1
65%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
60%
Total:Under: 3.0
55%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Fluminense vs Bahia
Pin-UP
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Unibet
Betfair
BetVictor
1xBet
Betano
Dafabet

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
19 13 5 1 44
2
Flamengo logoFlamengo
18 11 4 3 37
3
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
20 11 3 6 36
4
Fluminense logoFluminense ★
19 9 5 5 32
5
Bahia logoBahia ★
20 8 7 5 31
6
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
19 9 3 7 30
7
Botafogo logoBotafogo
20 8 5 7 29
8
Corinthians logoCorinthians
20 7 7 6 28
9
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
20 7 6 7 27
10
Coritiba logoCoritiba
19 7 5 7 26
11
Vitoria logoVitoria
19 7 5 7 26
12
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
19 7 4 8 25
13
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
19 7 4 8 25
14
Santos logoSantos
20 5 7 8 22
15
Internacional logoInternacional
20 5 6 9 21
16
Gremio logoGremio
19 5 6 8 21
17
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
20 5 6 9 21
18
Mirassol logoMirassol
19 5 5 9 20
19
Remo logoRemo
19 4 6 9 18
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
20 1 7 12 10
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