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Serie A

Gremio vs Palmeiras Prediction

Serie A 20.09.2026 · 10:00 Arena do Grêmio Referee: P. Zanovelli
Gremio emblem
Gremio
L
L
L
W
W
vs
– : –
20 Sep · 10:00
Palmeiras emblem
Palmeiras
L
W
W
D
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
24%
Gremio
27%
Draw
49%
Palmeiras

Form Comparison

■ Gremio ■ Palmeiras
Gremio
Palmeiras
27%
Form
73%
40%
Att
60%
38%
Def
62%
34%
Poisson distribution
66%
29%
H2h
71%
43%
Goals
57%
35%
Total
65%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
02.04.2026
Palmeiras vs Gremio
2 — 1
25.11.2025
Gremio vs Palmeiras
3 — 2
26.07.2025
Palmeiras vs Gremio
1 — 0
08.11.2024
Palmeiras vs Gremio
1 — 0
04.07.2024
Gremio vs Palmeiras
2 — 2
21.09.2023
Gremio vs Palmeiras
1 — 0
10.05.2023
Palmeiras vs Gremio
4 — 1
31.10.2021
Gremio vs Palmeiras
1 — 3
07.07.2021
Palmeiras vs Gremio
2 — 0
07.03.2021
Palmeiras vs Gremio
2 — 0

Last Matches

Gremio
Palmeiras
16.09.2026
Botafogo vs Gremio
2 — 3
12.09.2026
Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama
1 — 2
07.09.2026
Vitoria vs Gremio
0 — 1
03.09.2026
Gremio vs Internacional
3 — 1
30.08.2026
Gremio vs Chapecoense-sc
3 — 1
W: 2 · D: 0 · L: 3

Injuries and Suspensions

Gremio
Dodi, F. Amuzu, Marlon
Palmeiras
Jefte, Murilo, Paulinho

Gremio enters this contest positioned at 15th place in Serie A, contrasting sharply with Palmeiras, who currently occupy 2nd place. In their past five encounters, Gremio has experienced a mixed bag of results with two wins, one draw, and two losses, averaging 1.20 goals scored and conceding 0.80 per match. On the other hand, Palmeiras has been more resilient, boasting two victories and three draws, while maintaining a tighter defense that has conceded only 0.20 goals per game on average. Despite their differing league standings, both teams bring unique strengths into this match.

Gremio's home form has been formidable, with four wins out of the last five matches, scoring 1.80 goals per game, and conceding 0.80. Their performance at home starkly contrasts with their away form, where they have struggled, failing to secure a win and scoring a mere 0.20 goals per game. Palmeiras, conversely, has been consistent both home and away. While their away form shows one win, three draws, and one loss, they have managed to maintain an average of 0.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per away game. This encounter will be a test of Gremio's home strength against Palmeiras’s overall consistency.

In terms of key numbers, Gremio has been more prolific in front of goal at home, netting 1.80 per match, while Palmeiras's defense has been robust, allowing just 0.80 goals away. Head-to-head history shows Palmeiras with a slight edge, having won three of the last five encounters against Gremio. The most recent meeting ended in a 2-2 draw, indicating a competitive rivalry. Gremio's defense will be vital in this match, as Palmeiras has managed to score in four out of the last five head-to-heads. Both teams have shown defensive solidity recently, with Gremio conceding under a goal per game in their last five matches.

Moving to the prediction, the most likely scenario is a closely contested match with limited chances. Given Gremio's strong home performances and Palmeiras's solid defensive record, a draw seems to be a probable outcome. The betting market of "X" is appealing here, with both teams having a history of tight matches. Additionally, considering Gremio’s home goal-scoring trend and Palmeiras's defensive form, a bet on "Total:Over: 1.5" could also hold value. Other potential betting events include "Total Team 2 Under: 1", reflecting Palmeiras's limited goal-scoring away from home, and "X2", given Palmeiras's ability to avoid defeat. The confidence in a draw stems from both teams’ tendency to be involved in low-scoring affairs, making this a match where defenses might just edge out over attacking prowess.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
65%
Total Team 2 Under: 1
70%
X2
75%
Handicap 1: 0.5
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Gremio vs Palmeiras
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
1xBet
Betano

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Flamengo logoFlamengo
27 17 6 4 57
2
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras ★
27 16 8 3 56
3
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
27 13 7 7 46
4
Bahia logoBahia
27 12 10 5 46
5
Fluminense logoFluminense
27 12 9 6 45
6
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
27 12 6 9 42
7
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
26 11 6 9 39
8
Coritiba logoCoritiba
27 10 8 9 38
9
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
26 10 6 10 36
10
Santos logoSantos
26 9 8 9 35
11
Botafogo logoBotafogo
27 9 8 10 35
12
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
26 9 6 11 33
13
Vitoria logoVitoria
27 9 6 12 33
14
Corinthians logoCorinthians
27 8 8 11 32
15
Mirassol logoMirassol
27 7 8 12 29
16
Gremio logoGremio ★
27 7 7 13 28
17
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
26 7 7 12 28
18
Internacional logoInternacional
27 6 10 11 28
19
Remo logoRemo
27 5 8 14 23
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
26 3 8 15 17
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