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Serie A

Sao Paulo vs Internacional Prediction

Serie A 19.09.2026 · 20:00 Estadio Do MorumBIS Referee: B. Arleu
Sao Paulo emblem
Sao Paulo
D
L
L
W
W
vs
– : –
19 Sep · 20:00
Internacional emblem
Internacional
W
L
L
L
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
49%
Sao Paulo
28%
Draw
23%
Internacional

Form Comparison

■ Sao Paulo ■ Internacional
Sao Paulo
Internacional
58%
Form
42%
42%
Att
58%
62%
Def
38%
67%
Poisson distribution
33%
62%
H2h
38%
58%
Goals
42%
58%
Total
42%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
01.04.2026
Internacional vs Sao Paulo
1 — 1
03.12.2025
Sao Paulo vs Internacional
3 — 0
03.08.2025
Internacional vs Sao Paulo
1 — 2
22.09.2024
Sao Paulo vs Internacional
1 — 3
13.06.2024
Internacional vs Sao Paulo
0 — 0
13.09.2023
Internacional vs Sao Paulo
2 — 1
07.05.2023
Sao Paulo vs Internacional
2 — 0
08.11.2022
Sao Paulo vs Internacional
0 — 1
20.07.2022
Internacional vs Sao Paulo
3 — 3
31.10.2021
Sao Paulo vs Internacional
1 — 0

Last Matches

Sao Paulo
Internacional
15.09.2026
Sao Paulo vs Boca Juniors
1 — 1
12.09.2026
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo
0 — 2
08.09.2026
Boca Juniors vs Sao Paulo
0 — 1
05.09.2026
Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG
2 — 0
29.08.2026
Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino
2 — 1
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

Injuries and Suspensions

Sao Paulo
D. Bobadilla, Lucas Moura, Lucca Marques, Pablo Maia
Luis Osorio
Internacional
B. Arhin, Calebe, Kayky, R. Villagra, S. Rochet

Sao Paulo enters this match with a strong home record, having secured three wins and two draws in their last five home games, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per match while conceding just 0.60. In stark contrast, Internacional is struggling on the road, losing four of their last five away matches, with a concerning average of 2.00 goals conceded per game.

Form and Context

Sao Paulo's recent form has been impressive, particularly at home, where they have been unbeaten in their last five fixtures. They achieved a notable victory over RB Bragantino with a 2:1 scoreline. In contrast, Internacional's form has been disappointing, with no wins in their last five matches and a particularly weak performance away from home. Internacional's recent 2:3 defeat to Santos highlights their defensive frailties, which Sao Paulo will look to exploit.

Key Numbers

Examining their scoring capabilities, Sao Paulo averages 1.40 goals per game over their last five matches, slightly higher than Internacional’s 1.00. Defensively, Sao Paulo has shown resilience, conceding only 0.80 goals on average, whereas Internacional has been more porous, with 1.80 goals conceded per game. In the head-to-head record, Sao Paulo has a slight edge with two wins compared to Internacional's one, alongside two draws. Notably, Sao Paulo's 3:0 victory in one of their recent encounters demonstrates their capability to dominate this fixture.

Prediction

Given the current dynamics, Sao Paulo is positioned to have a stronger chance of maintaining their unbeaten home streak. The likelihood of them winning or drawing this match against a struggling Internacional side is high. Therefore, the prediction leans towards Sao Paulo securing at least a point with a 1X outcome. This is based on their superior home form and Internacional’s defensive vulnerabilities on the road.

For additional betting opportunities, consider the Total Team 1 Over: 1.5 market, reflecting Sao Paulo's potential to score multiple goals given their recent attacking output. A draw is possible, with Internacional showing occasional resilience, reflected in two recent draws. However, a Sao Paulo win seems probable, given the statistics highlighting their home dominance and Internacional's away struggles.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
60%
X
30%
Win 1
55%
Total:Under: 3.0
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Sao Paulo vs Internacional
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet
Betano

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Flamengo logoFlamengo
27 17 6 4 57
2
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
27 16 8 3 56
3
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
27 13 7 7 46
4
Bahia logoBahia
27 12 10 5 46
5
Fluminense logoFluminense
27 12 9 6 45
6
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
27 12 6 9 42
7
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
26 11 6 9 39
8
Coritiba logoCoritiba
27 10 8 9 38
9
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
26 10 6 10 36
10
Santos logoSantos
26 9 8 9 35
11
Botafogo logoBotafogo
27 9 8 10 35
12
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo ★
26 9 6 11 33
13
Vitoria logoVitoria
27 9 6 12 33
14
Corinthians logoCorinthians
27 8 8 11 32
15
Mirassol logoMirassol
27 7 8 12 29
16
Gremio logoGremio
27 7 7 13 28
17
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
26 7 7 12 28
18
Internacional logoInternacional ★
27 6 10 11 28
19
Remo logoRemo
27 5 8 14 23
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
26 3 8 15 17
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