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Serie A

Santos vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction

Serie A 09.08.2026 · 17:30 Vila Belmiro Referee: R. Abatti
Santos emblem
Santos
W
D
D
W
D
vs
– : –
09 Aug · 17:30
Atletico Paranaense emblem
Atletico Paranaense
L
W
D
W
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
46%
Santos
29%
Draw
25%
Atletico Paranaense

Form Comparison

■ Santos ■ Atletico Paranaense
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
24%
Form
76%
53%
Att
47%
15%
Def
85%
57%
Poisson distribution
43%
38%
H2h
62%
43%
Goals
57%
38%
Total
62%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
12.02.2026
Atletico Paranaense vs Santos
2 — 1
03.12.2023
Atletico Paranaense vs Santos
3 — 0
05.08.2023
Santos vs Atletico Paranaense
1 — 1
27.09.2022
Santos vs Atletico Paranaense
2 — 0
04.06.2022
Atletico Paranaense vs Santos
2 — 2
30.10.2021
Atletico Paranaense vs Santos
0 — 1
14.09.2021
Santos vs Atletico Paranaense
0 — 1
25.08.2021
Atletico Paranaense vs Santos
1 — 0
06.07.2021
Santos vs Atletico Paranaense
2 — 1
21.11.2020
Atletico Paranaense vs Santos
1 — 0

Last Matches

Santos
Atletico Paranaense
04.08.2026
Remo vs Santos
1 — 0
01.08.2026
Santos vs Remo
0 — 0
29.07.2026
Sao Paulo vs Santos
-
28.07.2026
Santos vs UCV
4 — 2
25.07.2026
Santos vs Chapecoense-sc
2 — 2
W: 2 · D: 2 · L: 0

Injuries and Suspensions

Santos
Gustavo Henrique, Igor Vinicius, Lucas Verissimo, Moises, Neymar, Vinicius Lira
Atletico Paranaense
C. Teran, Claudinho, J. Portilla, L. Esquivel, Santos

Santos have maintained an unbeaten home streak in their last five matches, displaying solid form with three wins and two draws. This resilience at Vila Belmiro contrasts with Atletico Paranaense's recent away performance, which includes two victories, a draw, and two losses. Both teams come into this match with a lot at stake, as Santos fight to climb from their 15th position in the Serie A standings, while Atletico Paranaense aim to solidify their hold on the third spot.

Santos' ability to score an average of 2.40 goals per match at home could be crucial against Atletico Paranaense, who have conceded an average of 1.00 goals in their recent away games. Despite having a slightly lower scoring rate of 1.40 goals per match in their last five, Atletico has shown defensive strength, conceding only 0.60 goals on average. This defensive solidity might be tested against a Santos side that has managed to score against all their recent opponents. Notably, the head-to-head history reveals a balanced contest with Atletico winning twice, Santos once, and two draws in their last five encounters.

Santos and Atletico Paranaense are both free from injuries and suspensions, allowing each team to field their strongest lineup. With Santos' strong home form and Atletico's solid away record this season, the match promises to be a tightly contested affair. Santos' home advantage has been evident, as they have scored more goals at Vila Belmiro than Atletico has managed away from home.

The prediction for this encounter hinges on the contrasting styles of play. Santos' attacking prowess at home, where they average over two goals per match, meets Atletico Paranaense's defensive rigidity. However, given Santos' recent run of form and the slight edge they possess at home, they may well push Atletico Paranaense to their limits. The most likely outcome is a draw, considering the balance evident in both teams' performances and their head-to-head history. Despite this, Santos' home form suggests they might edge slightly closer to victory, while Atletico's position in the league and recent defensive record make them formidable opponents.

For bettors, the main prediction is "1X" (Santos win or draw), supported by their unbeaten home record and the odds of Atletico's away form stumbling. Confidence in this event is rated at 7 out of 10. Additional betting events to consider include "Total:Over: 1.5" with a 70% probability, considering both teams' scoring records. "Total Team 1 Over: 0.5" is also probable at 75%, reflecting Santos' consistent goal-scoring at home. "X" (draw) with a 50% probability and "Total Team 2 Over: 0.5" at 65% probability are logical alternatives, given the match dynamics and recent performances.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
75%
X
50%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Santos vs Atletico Paranaense
Pin-UP
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Unibet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet
Betano
Superbet
888Sport
Dafabet

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
21 14 5 2 47
2
Flamengo logoFlamengo
20 11 6 3 39
3
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense ★
21 11 4 6 37
4
Fluminense logoFluminense
21 9 7 5 34
5
Bahia logoBahia
21 8 8 5 32
6
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
20 9 4 7 31
7
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
21 8 6 7 30
8
Botafogo logoBotafogo
20 8 5 7 29
9
Corinthians logoCorinthians
21 7 8 6 29
10
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
20 8 4 8 28
11
Coritiba logoCoritiba
21 7 6 8 27
12
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
20 7 5 8 26
13
Vitoria logoVitoria
21 7 5 9 26
14
Mirassol logoMirassol
20 6 5 9 23
15
Santos logoSantos ★
20 5 7 8 22
16
Internacional logoInternacional
21 5 7 9 22
17
Gremio logoGremio
20 5 7 8 22
18
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
20 5 6 9 21
19
Remo logoRemo
21 5 6 10 21
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
20 1 7 12 10
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