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Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Bundesliga 19.09.2026 · 12:30 MHP Arena Referee: Robert Schröder, Germany
VfB Stuttgart emblem
VfB Stuttgart
L
W
W
L
W
vs
– : –
19 Sep · 12:30
Borussia Dortmund emblem
Borussia Dortmund
W
W
W
W
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
40%
VfB Stuttgart
26%
Draw
34%
Borussia Dortmund

Form Comparison

■ VfB Stuttgart ■ Borussia Dortmund
VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Dortmund
25%
Form
75%
43%
Att
57%
20%
Def
80%
63%
Poisson distribution
38%
71%
H2h
29%
61%
Goals
39%
47%
Total
53%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
04.04.2026
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund
0 — 2
22.11.2025
Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart
3 — 3
08.02.2025
Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart
1 — 2
22.09.2024
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund
5 — 1
06.04.2024
Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart
0 — 1
06.12.2023
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund
2 — 0
11.11.2023
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund
2 — 1
15.04.2023
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund
3 — 3
22.10.2022
Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart
5 — 0
08.04.2022
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund
0 — 2

Last Matches

VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Dortmund
12.09.2026
1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart
1 — 2
09.09.2026
VfB Stuttgart vs Viking
3 — 1
04.09.2026
VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln
4 — 1
28.08.2026
Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart
1 — 5
21.08.2026
Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart
4 — 0
W: 3 · D: 0 · L: 2

Injuries and Suspensions

VfB Stuttgart
A. Stiller, D. Seimen, D. Zagadou, J. Diehl, L. Assignon, L. Jaquez, M. Herwerth, N. Nartey, T. Tomas
Borussia Dortmund
E. Can, F. Mane, G. Konstantelias, J. Lerma, M. Kaba

VfB Stuttgart hosts Borussia Dortmund in a clash that sees the home team in 9th place facing a Dortmund side currently sitting 3rd in the Bundesliga standings. Stuttgart has been prolific at home, averaging three goals per match in their last five outings at the MHPArena. However, Borussia Dortmund has been strong on the road, securing four wins in their last five away matches with an average of 2.4 goals scored per game.

In terms of form and recent performances, Stuttgart has been inconsistent with three wins and two losses in their last five games. They have managed impressive victories such as a 4-1 triumph over 1. FC Köln but suffered a heavy 5-1 defeat against Bayern München. In contrast, Dortmund has won four of their last five matches, including a commanding 5-0 against HEBC, with their only setback being a 2-1 loss to Bayern München. When comparing both teams, Stuttgart's home invincibility in recent games contrasts with Dortmund's resilient away form, suggesting a competitive encounter on the cards.

Looking at the key numbers, Stuttgart's average of 2.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game underscores their attacking prowess and defensive vulnerabilities. Dortmund, meanwhile, has been more balanced with 2.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded on average. Head-to-head statistics reveal an interesting pattern: Stuttgart leads with three wins to Dortmund's one in their last five meetings, including a notable 5-1 win at home. Despite Stuttgart's edge in recent head-to-heads, Dortmund's current league position and recent form at least level the playing field.

As for the prediction, the data hints at a tightly contested match. Dortmund's superior league position and consistent form make them slight favorites, albeit Stuttgart's home strength cannot be overlooked. The most compelling betting angle is the "1X" market, recognizing Stuttgart's unbeaten home run. With both teams showing attacking flair, expect goals, but Dortmund's away success could tip the balance. Additional betting options include goals from both teams, given their scoring records, and a potential draw given Stuttgart's home advantage offsetting Dortmund's away form.

For the betting prediction, opting for "1X" as the main event is justified by Stuttgart's strong home form and resilient record against Dortmund in recent meetings. The confidence score for this prediction is 7, reflecting Stuttgart's potential to either win or draw based on current form and historical data. Complementary predictions include "Total:Over: 2.5" with a 75% probability, considering both teams' scoring ability, and "X" with a 45% probability, acknowledging the potential for a stalemate given the dynamics at play. Additional bets on "Total Team 1 Over: 1.5" and "Total Team 2 Over: 1.5" with probabilities of 60% and 65% respectively are also viable, given both teams' attacking trends.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
75%
X
45%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
60%
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet
Betano

Bundesliga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Bayern München logoBayern München
4 3 1 0 10
2
SC Freiburg logoSC Freiburg
3 3 0 0 9
3
Borussia Dortmund logoBorussia Dortmund ★
3 3 0 0 9
4
FC Augsburg logoFC Augsburg
3 2 1 0 7
5
RB Leipzig logoRB Leipzig
3 2 0 1 6
6
SV Elversberg logoSV Elversberg
3 2 0 1 6
7
Bayer Leverkusen logoBayer Leverkusen
3 1 1 1 4
8
FSV Mainz 05 logoFSV Mainz 05
3 1 1 1 4
9
Eintracht Frankfurt logoEintracht Frankfurt
3 1 1 1 4
10
Werder Bremen logoWerder Bremen
3 1 1 1 4
11
FC Schalke 04 logoFC Schalke 04
3 1 1 1 4
12
1. FC Köln logo1. FC Köln
3 1 1 1 4
13
1899 Hoffenheim logo1899 Hoffenheim
3 1 0 2 3
14
VfB Stuttgart logoVfB Stuttgart ★
3 1 0 2 3
15
SC Paderborn 07 logoSC Paderborn 07
3 0 1 2 1
16
Union Berlin logoUnion Berlin
4 0 1 3 1
17
Borussia Mönchengladbach logoBorussia Mönchengladbach
3 0 0 3 0
18
Hamburger SV logoHamburger SV
3 0 0 3 0
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