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Bundesliga

Bayern München vs Union Berlin Prediction

Bundesliga 18.09.2026 · 14:30 Allianz Arena Referee: Patrick Ittrich, Germany
Bayern München emblem
Bayern München
W
D
W
W
W
vs
– : –
18 Sep · 14:30
Union Berlin emblem
Union Berlin
L
D
W
L
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
84%
Bayern München
10%
Draw
6%
Union Berlin

Form Comparison

■ Bayern München ■ Union Berlin
Bayern München
Union Berlin
80%
Form
20%
63%
Att
38%
88%
Def
13%
100%
Poisson distribution
0%
85%
H2h
15%
72%
Goals
28%
78%
Total
23%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
21.03.2026
Bayern München vs Union Berlin
4 — 0
03.12.2025
Union Berlin vs Bayern München
2 — 3
08.11.2025
Union Berlin vs Bayern München
2 — 2
15.03.2025
Union Berlin vs Bayern München
1 — 1
02.11.2024
Bayern München vs Union Berlin
3 — 0
20.04.2024
Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich
1 — 5
24.01.2024
Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin
1 — 0
26.02.2023
Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin
3 — 0
03.09.2022
Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich
1 — 1
19.03.2022
Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin
4 — 0

Last Matches

Bayern München
Union Berlin
10.09.2026
Bayern München vs Bodo/Glimt
5 — 0
05.09.2026
FC Schalke 04 vs Bayern München
0 — 0
02.09.2026
VfL Osnabrück vs Bayern München
4 — 1
28.08.2026
Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart
5 — 1
22.08.2026
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München
2 — 1
W: 4 · D: 1 · L: 0

Bayern München enters this encounter with an impressive average of 3.00 goals scored per match over their last five games. Union Berlin, on the other hand, has conceded an average of 3.00 goals per game in the same period. This stark contrast highlights a potential area of vulnerability for the visitors when they face the attacking prowess of Bayern at the Allianz Arena.

Form and Context

Bayern München is in strong form, unbeaten in their last five matches, with a record of four wins and one draw. Their recent performances include a dominant 5-1 home victory over VfB Stuttgart and a 4-1 away triumph against VfL Osnabrück. Bayern's home form has been particularly formidable, with an average of 3.33 goals scored per game. Union Berlin, positioned at 15th in the league, has had mixed results. While they managed a 4-2 win against Eintracht Braunschweig, they suffered a heavy 4-0 defeat at Bayer Leverkusen. Union's away form has been less convincing, with three losses in their last five outings, highlighting their struggles on the road.

Key Numbers

Bayern München's consistent goal-scoring ability is evident, with 15 goals scored in their last five matches, while conceding only five. Union Berlin, by contrast, has scored 12 goals but conceded 15 in the same span. Head-to-head statistics further favor Bayern, who have won three of the last five encounters against Union, with two matches ending in draws. The most recent clash saw Bayern secure a commanding 4-0 victory. Union Berlin's away defense, allowing an average of 2.20 goals per game, will have to contend with Bayern's offensive firepower, which has proven effective both at home and away.

Prediction

Given the current form and statistical trends, Bayern München is well-positioned to exploit Union Berlin's defensive frailties. The prediction for this match focuses on Bayern München's ability to maintain their scoring momentum. A likely betting event is for Bayern to win with a handicap, considering their superior goal difference and home advantage. A dominating performance by Bayern is anticipated, and although Union Berlin has shown resilience in scoring, their defensive record suggests they will struggle to contain Bayern's attacks.

Additional probable betting events include Bayern scoring over 2.5 team goals, given their recent average, and Union Berlin to score, as they have managed to find the net frequently despite their defensive issues. The history of goals in these encounters points to a high-scoring affair, further reinforcing these predictions.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total Team 1 Over: 2.5
75%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
65%
Total:Over: 2.5
70%
Win 1
80%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Bayern München vs Union Berlin
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Pinnacle
1xBet

Bundesliga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
FC Augsburg logoFC Augsburg
2 2 0 0 6
2
SC Freiburg logoSC Freiburg
2 2 0 0 6
3
Borussia Dortmund logoBorussia Dortmund
2 2 0 0 6
4
SV Elversberg logoSV Elversberg
2 2 0 0 6
5
FSV Mainz 05 logoFSV Mainz 05
2 1 1 0 4
6
Bayern München logoBayern München ★
2 1 1 0 4
7
Bayer Leverkusen logoBayer Leverkusen
2 1 0 1 3
8
RB Leipzig logoRB Leipzig
2 1 0 1 3
9
VfB Stuttgart logoVfB Stuttgart
2 1 0 1 3
10
Werder Bremen logoWerder Bremen
2 1 0 1 3
11
1. FC Köln logo1. FC Köln
2 1 0 1 3
12
SC Paderborn 07 logoSC Paderborn 07
2 0 1 1 1
13
Eintracht Frankfurt logoEintracht Frankfurt
2 0 1 1 1
14
FC Schalke 04 logoFC Schalke 04
2 0 1 1 1
15
Union Berlin logoUnion Berlin ★
2 0 1 1 1
16
1899 Hoffenheim logo1899 Hoffenheim
2 0 0 2 0
17
Borussia Mönchengladbach logoBorussia Mönchengladbach
2 0 0 2 0
18
Hamburger SV logoHamburger SV
2 0 0 2 0
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