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Bundesliga

RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV Prediction

Bundesliga 13.09.2026 · 09:30 Red Bull Arena Referee: Bastian Dankert, Germany
RB Leipzig emblem
RB Leipzig
L
L
W
W
L
vs
– : –
13 Sep · 09:30
Hamburger SV emblem
Hamburger SV
L
L
W
W
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
69%
RB Leipzig
19%
Draw
12%
Hamburger SV

Form Comparison

■ RB Leipzig ■ Hamburger SV
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
100%
Form
0%
100%
Att
0%
70%
Def
30%
100%
Poisson distribution
0%
93%
H2h
7%
75%
Goals
25%
79%
Total
21%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
01.03.2026
Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig
1 — 2
18.10.2025
RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV
2 — 1
18.10.2022
RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV
4 — 0
23.04.2019
Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig
1 — 3
27.01.2018
RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV
1 — 1
08.09.2017
Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig
0 — 2
11.02.2017
RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV
0 — 3
17.09.2016
Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig
0 — 4

Last Matches

RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
10.09.2026
Como vs RB Leipzig
1 — 4
05.09.2026
Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig
1 — 3
29.08.2026
RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
3 — 0
22.08.2026
Eintracht Trier vs RB Leipzig
6 — 0
15.08.2026
Bayern München vs RB Leipzig
1 — 3
W: 2 · D: 0 · L: 3

Injuries and Suspensions

RB Leipzig
C. Baumgartner, R. Reitz
Hamburger SV
A. Rossing-Lelesiit, A. S. Lokonga, M. Muheim, S. Bornauw

RB Leipzig heads into their clash against Hamburger SV with a commanding head-to-head advantage, having won four of their last five meetings. Both teams will look to capitalize on their recent form, with Leipzig sitting comfortably in fourth place and Hamburger SV striving to climb from 14th in the Bundesliga standings.

RB Leipzig's recent performances have been a testament to their attacking prowess, averaging 2.80 goals per match across their last five encounters. They have demonstrated remarkable dominance at home, securing three consecutive wins without conceding a single goal. Their offensive efficiency is matched by a solid defense, particularly at the Red Bull Arena, where they have yet to allow a goal in their last three home fixtures. On the road, however, Leipzig's form has been less consistent, with two wins and three losses, indicating some vulnerability away from home.

Hamburger SV, meanwhile, has shown signs of resilience with three away victories in their last five matches. Their ability to score away from home mirrors Leipzig's, with an average of 2.00 goals per game. However, defensive frailties remain an issue, as evidenced by the 1.40 goals conceded per match. Despite these challenges, Hamburg's recent away form suggests they are capable of troubling Leipzig, particularly if they can exploit any lapses in the host's defense.

When examining key statistics, Leipzig's home advantage is clear. They average 2.67 goals per game at the Red Bull Arena while maintaining a perfect defensive record. In contrast, Hamburger SV has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2.00 goals in their last five home games. While their away defense is marginally better, allowing 1.40 goals per match, it remains a potential area of concern against Leipzig's potent attack.

Head-to-head results further underscore Leipzig's dominance, with four wins and a draw in their last five encounters against Hamburg. The last meeting ended 2-1 in Leipzig's favor, reinforcing their historical superiority. Nonetheless, Hamburg's recent uptick in away form could make this fixture more competitive than past meetings suggest.

In terms of a match prediction, RB Leipzig appears well-positioned to continue their home success against Hamburger SV. Given the current form and statistical trends, a bet on Leipzig to win with a handicap of 1:0 seems prudent. This prediction is backed by Leipzig's formidable home performances and their superior head-to-head record against Hamburg. While Hamburg is capable of scoring, Leipzig's defensive solidity at home could prove decisive.

For additional betting opportunities, consider Leipzig as likely to score over 1.5 goals, given their strong offensive form. Similarly, Hamburg's ability to score on the road suggests they might find the net, making a bet on both teams to score plausible. A draw in the first half is another possibility, reflecting Hamburg's potential to hold Leipzig at bay initially. Lastly, with Leipzig's tendency to dominate at home, a bet on them winning both halves could offer value to punters.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
75%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
60%
X
45%
1X
85%

Bookmakers Odds Online

RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
BetVictor
Pinnacle
1xBet

Bundesliga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
FC Augsburg logoFC Augsburg
2 2 0 0 6
2
SC Freiburg logoSC Freiburg
2 2 0 0 6
3
Borussia Dortmund logoBorussia Dortmund
2 2 0 0 6
4
SV Elversberg logoSV Elversberg
2 2 0 0 6
5
FSV Mainz 05 logoFSV Mainz 05
2 1 1 0 4
6
Bayern München logoBayern München
2 1 1 0 4
7
Bayer Leverkusen logoBayer Leverkusen
2 1 0 1 3
8
RB Leipzig logoRB Leipzig ★
2 1 0 1 3
9
VfB Stuttgart logoVfB Stuttgart
2 1 0 1 3
10
Werder Bremen logoWerder Bremen
2 1 0 1 3
11
1. FC Köln logo1. FC Köln
2 1 0 1 3
12
SC Paderborn 07 logoSC Paderborn 07
2 0 1 1 1
13
Eintracht Frankfurt logoEintracht Frankfurt
2 0 1 1 1
14
FC Schalke 04 logoFC Schalke 04
2 0 1 1 1
15
Union Berlin logoUnion Berlin
2 0 1 1 1
16
1899 Hoffenheim logo1899 Hoffenheim
2 0 0 2 0
17
Borussia Mönchengladbach logoBorussia Mönchengladbach
2 0 0 2 0
18
Hamburger SV logoHamburger SV ★
2 0 0 2 0
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