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Bundesliga

Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 Prediction

Bundesliga 11.09.2026 · 14:30 Referee: T. Reichel
Union Berlin emblem
Union Berlin
L
D
W
L
W
vs
– : –
11 Sep · 14:30
FC Schalke 04 emblem
FC Schalke 04
D
L
W
L
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
40%
Union Berlin
27%
Draw
33%
FC Schalke 04

Form Comparison

■ Union Berlin ■ FC Schalke 04
Union Berlin
FC Schalke 04
50%
Form
50%
100%
Att
0%
30%
Def
70%
100%
Poisson distribution
0%
64%
H2h
36%
73%
Goals
27%
54%
Total
46%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
19.02.2023
Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04
0 — 0
27.08.2022
FC Schalke 04 vs Union Berlin
1 — 6
13.02.2021
Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04
0 — 0
18.10.2020
FC Schalke 04 vs Union Berlin
1 — 1
07.06.2020
Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04
1 — 1
29.11.2019
FC Schalke 04 vs Union Berlin
2 — 1

Last Matches

Union Berlin
FC Schalke 04
05.09.2026
Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin
0 — 4
29.08.2026
Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt
3 — 3
23.08.2026
Eintracht Braunschweig vs Union Berlin
4 — 2
15.08.2026
Union Berlin vs Ipswich
2 — 4
09.08.2026
Union Berlin vs Aris
3 — 2
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

Injuries and Suspensions

Union Berlin
A. Ilic, A. Markgraf, K. Imeri, M. Friedrich, O. Burke, S. Nsoki
FC Schalke 04
T. Kalas
R. Schallenberg

Union Berlin has shown a knack for goal-scoring consistency, averaging 2.80 goals per match over their last five outings. Their upcoming clash with FC Schalke 04 presents an intriguing narrative, as Schalke has struggled defensively, conceding 2.20 goals on average in their recent fixtures.

Form and Context

Both teams enter this match with contrasting fortunes. Union Berlin sits in ninth place in the Bundesliga, while FC Schalke 04 is languishing in 17th. Union's recent form is somewhat balanced, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. Schalke, meanwhile, has experienced a mixed bag, with two emphatic victories and three heavy defeats.

Union Berlin's home performance has been less than stellar, with only one win in their last five home games. Their defense has been particularly porous, conceding an average of 2.75 goals at home. Schalke, conversely, has enjoyed better success on the road, winning four of their last five away matches and scoring an impressive 3.20 goals on average. This contrast suggests a potentially open and high-scoring encounter.

Key Numbers

Union Berlin has scored freely but has also been vulnerable at the back, conceding 2.60 goals per game recently. Schalke's defense has been similarly leaky, but their away goal-scoring prowess cannot be underestimated. The head-to-head record between these teams leans slightly in Union's favor, with one win and four draws in their last five meetings. Notably, Schalke has yet to secure a victory against Union in recent encounters.

Despite Schalke's lower league standing, their ability to score multiple goals away from home could challenge Union's defense. However, Union's attacking efficiency at home, where they average 2.50 goals, could exploit Schalke's defensive frailties.

Prediction

Based on the statistical trends and recent performances, the prediction for this match leans toward a high-scoring affair with both teams finding the net. Given Schalke's propensity for scoring on the road and Union's defensive struggles at home, a bet on "Both Teams to Score" appears prudent and carries a Confidence Score of 7. This event is supported by both teams' recent goal-scoring form and defensive vulnerabilities.

Additional betting options could include "Total:Over: 2.5" due to the likelihood of multiple goals, given the attacking strengths on display. The probability of Schalke scoring "Total Team 2 Over: 1.5" is another viable option, as they have consistently scored more than once in recent away games. Lastly, considering the head-to-head record, a draw remains a possibility, with "X" offering a balanced risk-reward scenario.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
75%
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5
65%
1X
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 1
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
BetVictor
Pinnacle
1xBet

Bundesliga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
FC Augsburg logoFC Augsburg
2 2 0 0 6
2
SC Freiburg logoSC Freiburg
2 2 0 0 6
3
Borussia Dortmund logoBorussia Dortmund
2 2 0 0 6
4
SV Elversberg logoSV Elversberg
2 2 0 0 6
5
FSV Mainz 05 logoFSV Mainz 05
2 1 1 0 4
6
Bayern München logoBayern München
2 1 1 0 4
7
Bayer Leverkusen logoBayer Leverkusen
2 1 0 1 3
8
RB Leipzig logoRB Leipzig
2 1 0 1 3
9
VfB Stuttgart logoVfB Stuttgart
2 1 0 1 3
10
Werder Bremen logoWerder Bremen
2 1 0 1 3
11
1. FC Köln logo1. FC Köln
2 1 0 1 3
12
SC Paderborn 07 logoSC Paderborn 07
2 0 1 1 1
13
Eintracht Frankfurt logoEintracht Frankfurt
2 0 1 1 1
14
FC Schalke 04 logoFC Schalke 04 ★
2 0 1 1 1
15
Union Berlin logoUnion Berlin ★
2 0 1 1 1
16
1899 Hoffenheim logo1899 Hoffenheim
2 0 0 2 0
17
Borussia Mönchengladbach logoBorussia Mönchengladbach
2 0 0 2 0
18
Hamburger SV logoHamburger SV
2 0 0 2 0
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