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Canadian Premier League

Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC Prediction

Canadian Premier League 30.09.2026 · 19:00 TD Place Stadium Referee: Y. Rudolf
Atlético Ottawa emblem
Atlético Ottawa
L
L
D
W
L
vs
– : –
30 Sep · 19:00
Cavalry FC emblem
Cavalry FC
D
W
W
W
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
0%
Atlético Ottawa
50%
Draw
50%
Cavalry FC

Form Comparison

■ Atlético Ottawa ■ Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
24%
Form
76%
25%
Att
75%
25%
Def
75%
28%
Poisson distribution
72%
40%
H2h
60%
41%
Goals
59%
31%
Total
70%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
22.08.2026
Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa
3 — 1
04.07.2026
Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC
0 — 3
12.04.2026
Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa
3 — 1
09.11.2025
Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC
2 — 1
27.09.2025
Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC
3 — 0
23.08.2025
Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC
2 — 2
28.06.2025
Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa
0 — 2
26.04.2025
Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa
1 — 3
15.09.2024
Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa
2 — 2
03.08.2024
Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC
1 — 2

Last Matches

Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
20.09.2026
Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec
0 — 2
12.09.2026
Forge vs Atlético Ottawa
0 — 3
05.09.2026
Atlético Ottawa vs Pacific FC
0 — 0
28.08.2026
Atlético Ottawa vs York United
2 — 1
22.08.2026
Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa
1 — 3
W: 1 · D: 1 · L: 3

Cavalry FC enter this match as the league leaders, having lost none of their last five fixtures, while Atlético Ottawa have struggled, securing just one win in the same period. With a league-leading position and a recent record of three wins and two draws, Cavalry FC are in formidable form. In contrast, Atlético Ottawa's recent form includes two losses, two draws, and only one victory, highlighting a disparity in performance.

Atlético Ottawa's home form has seen them earn two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, with an average of 1.8 goals scored per game and 1.2 goals conceded. This contrasts with their away record, which has been less impressive, with only one win and four losses, scoring an average of 1.0 goals per game and conceding 2.6. Cavalry FC, on the other hand, have a balanced away record, winning two and drawing one of their last five, scoring 1.2 goals per game and conceding 1.4. At home, they are particularly strong, with four wins and a draw, scoring an average of 2.4 goals and conceding a mere 0.6. In their head-to-head encounters, Cavalry FC have been dominant, winning three of the last five meetings, including a recent 3-1 victory over Atlético Ottawa.

In terms of key numbers, Atlético Ottawa have managed to score an average of just 0.6 goals per game over their last five matches, while conceding an average of 1.8. Their recent struggles are evident, especially against a Cavalry side that has scored 1.8 and conceded only 0.6 on average in the same period. The head-to-head record leans heavily in favor of Cavalry FC, who have scored a combined nine goals in their last three victories against Atlético Ottawa. This suggests a trend that may continue, given Atlético Ottawa's recent defensive vulnerabilities.

The prediction for this match leans toward a Cavalry FC victory, given their superior recent form and head-to-head dominance. While Atlético Ottawa's home form is relatively solid, their inability to consistently find the net against stronger sides like Cavalry FC is concerning. The most likely betting event is Cavalry FC securing a win, driven by their consistent performance and Atlético Ottawa's defensive frailties. Cavalry's ability to score multiple goals in head-to-head encounters further supports this prediction. Additional betting events to consider include a match total over 1.5 goals, given both teams' recent scoring patterns, and a potential handicap win for Cavalry FC, reflecting their consistent dominance. A draw seems less likely, given the offensive capabilities Cavalry FC have demonstrated throughout the season.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
75%
X2
80%
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5
70%
Handicap 2: 0.5
65%

Canadian Premier League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Cavalry FC logoCavalry FC ★
22 15 5 2 50
2
Forge logoForge
22 14 4 4 46
3
Atlético Ottawa logoAtlético Ottawa ★
23 10 4 9 34
4
Vancouver FC logoVancouver FC
23 9 4 10 31
5
HFX Wanderers FC logoHFX Wanderers FC
23 7 5 11 26
6
Supra du Quebec logoSupra du Quebec
22 7 4 11 25
7
York United logoYork United
21 5 8 8 23
8
Pacific FC logoPacific FC
22 1 8 13 11
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