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Canadian Premier League

Vancouver FC vs Forge Prediction

Canadian Premier League 26.09.2026 · 19:00 Willoughby Community Park Stadium Referee: R. Villanueva
Vancouver FC emblem
Vancouver FC
L
W
L
L
L
vs
– : –
26 Sep · 19:00
Forge emblem
Forge
W
W
D
D
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
Vancouver FC
45%
Draw
45%
Forge

Form Comparison

■ Vancouver FC ■ Forge
Vancouver FC
Forge
23%
Form
77%
31%
Att
69%
27%
Def
73%
42%
Poisson distribution
58%
29%
H2h
71%
40%
Goals
60%
32%
Total
68%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
07.08.2026
Forge vs Vancouver FC
0 — 1
01.07.2026
Forge vs Vancouver FC
3 — 2
12.04.2026
Vancouver FC vs Forge
0 — 1
04.10.2025
Forge vs Vancouver FC
1 — 1
22.08.2025
Vancouver FC vs Forge
0 — 1
05.07.2025
Forge vs Vancouver FC
2 — 1
15.06.2025
Vancouver FC vs Forge
0 — 2
21.09.2024
Vancouver FC vs Forge
1 — 3
18.08.2024
Vancouver FC vs Forge
1 — 2
05.07.2024
Forge vs Vancouver FC
3 — 3

Last Matches

Vancouver FC
Forge
13.09.2026
York United vs Vancouver FC
1 — 3
06.09.2026
Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec
3 — 2
29.08.2026
Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC
0 — 1
22.08.2026
HFX Wanderers FC vs Vancouver FC
0 — 1
19.08.2026
Atlético Ottawa vs Vancouver FC
0 — 4
W: 1 · D: 0 · L: 4

Vancouver FC enters this matchup against Forge with a concerning average of 2.20 goals conceded per game over their last five outings. Despite this defensive frailty, Vancouver maintains a commendable home record, boasting three wins from their last five matches at Willoughby Community Park Stadium. In contrast, Forge occupies the second spot in the league standings and has managed to secure a more balanced performance, particularly in their away games where they average one goal scored per match and concede the same number. This clash will test Vancouver's ability to capitalize on their home advantage against a Forge team that has demonstrated resilience.

The form of both teams shows a stark contrast in their recent performances. Vancouver FC has struggled on the road, with their last five away matches resulting in four losses and just one win, scoring a meager 0.40 goals per game. However, their home form is significantly better, as they have scored an average of 1.80 goals per match, showcasing their potential when playing in familiar surroundings. Forge, meanwhile, has shown consistency, if not dominance, in their recent encounters. Their last five matches show a mix of results, yet their ability to maintain a strong defense is evident from the mere 0.60 goals conceded per game. Away from home, Forge's form is less impressive, but their capacity to hold opponents to a single goal per game suggests a disciplined approach.

Key numbers highlight differing capabilities in scoring and defending between these two sides. Vancouver FC's home prowess is evident from their 1.80 average goals scored, yet their overall conceding rate of 2.20 goals per game could be a vulnerability. Forge, on the other hand, has averaged 1.20 goals scored recently, which is bolstered by their defensive strength, particularly at home. Previous head-to-head encounters show Forge has the upper hand, with three wins out of the last five meetings against Vancouver. This historical edge may provide Forge with a psychological advantage heading into this match.

Prediction indicates that a tight contest is likely, given the statistical trends. Vancouver FC's ability to score at home suggests they will look to take the game to Forge. However, Forge's robust defense and superior league position imply they are well-equipped to handle such pressure. The data supports a prediction of "Total:Over: 2.0" as the main betting event, considering both teams' scoring abilities and defensive lapses. With Vancouver's home scoring rate and Forge's balanced attack, there is a reasonable expectation of multiple goals in this encounter. Additional predictions include "Total:Over: 2.5" due to the likelihood of an open game, and "Total Team 1 Over: 1" reflecting Vancouver's home scoring trend. "Total Team 2 Over: 1" is plausible given Forge's scoring consistency, and "Total:Under: 3.0" is supported by Forge's strong defensive record.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
60%
Total Team 1 Over: 1
65%
Total Team 2 Over: 1
55%
Total:Under: 3.0
70%

Canadian Premier League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Cavalry FC logoCavalry FC
21 15 4 2 49
2
Forge logoForge ★
21 14 3 4 45
3
Atlético Ottawa logoAtlético Ottawa
22 10 4 8 34
4
Vancouver FC logoVancouver FC ★
22 9 3 10 30
5
HFX Wanderers FC logoHFX Wanderers FC
22 6 5 11 23
6
York United logoYork United
20 5 8 7 23
7
Supra du Quebec logoSupra du Quebec
21 6 4 11 22
8
Pacific FC logoPacific FC
21 1 7 13 10
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