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Canadian Premier League

Cavalry FC vs Forge Prediction

Canadian Premier League 19.09.2026 · 17:00 ATCO Field Referee: Roberto D'Alesio, Canada
Cavalry FC emblem
Cavalry FC
W
W
W
W
W
vs
– : –
19 Sep · 17:00
Forge emblem
Forge
W
W
D
D
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
43%
Cavalry FC
30%
Draw
27%
Forge

Form Comparison

■ Cavalry FC ■ Forge
Cavalry FC
Forge
60%
Form
40%
53%
Att
47%
57%
Def
43%
64%
Poisson distribution
36%
62%
H2h
38%
57%
Goals
43%
59%
Total
41%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
15.08.2026
Cavalry FC vs Forge
2 — 1
31.05.2026
Forge vs Cavalry FC
1 — 0
18.04.2026
Forge vs Cavalry FC
0 — 0
02.11.2025
Forge vs Cavalry FC
0 — 1
10.10.2025
Cavalry FC vs Forge
1 — 1
30.08.2025
Cavalry FC vs Forge
4 — 1
31.05.2025
Forge vs Cavalry FC
1 — 1
05.04.2025
Forge vs Cavalry FC
1 — 0
09.11.2024
Cavalry FC vs Forge
2 — 1
27.10.2024
Forge vs Cavalry FC
0 — 1

Last Matches

Cavalry FC
Forge
13.09.2026
Pacific FC vs Cavalry FC
1 — 0
07.09.2026
HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC
3 — 1
29.08.2026
Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC
1 — 0
22.08.2026
Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa
3 — 1
15.08.2026
Cavalry FC vs Forge
2 — 1
W: 5 · D: 0 · L: 0

Cavalry FC enters this match against Forge with an impressive home record, having won all of their last five home fixtures. This formidable form at ATCO Field sees them scoring an average of 2.60 goals per game while conceding just 0.60. These stats underscore their dominance on home turf, a key factor as they face their closest league rivals, Forge, who sit just below them in second place.

Forge's recent form has been less consistent, with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five games. Notably, their away record shows vulnerabilities, with only one victory in their last five, alongside two draws and two defeats. Offensively, Forge averages 1.00 goal per game on the road, mirroring their goals conceded. This contrasts sharply with Cavalry’s robust home performance, suggesting Forge may face a challenging task.

Both teams have met five times recently, with Cavalry winning twice, Forge once, and two games ending in a draw. In their latest encounter, Cavalry secured a 2-1 win, reinforcing their superior form against Forge. These head-to-head statistics favor Cavalry, particularly given Forge's struggles away from home.

The numbers paint a clear picture of the offensive and defensive capabilities of both teams. Cavalry averages 2.00 goals per game in their last five matches, while Forge manages 1.40. Defensively, Cavalry concedes 0.80 goals on average, slightly better than Forge's 1.00. When playing at home, Cavalry's defensive and offensive strength further widens the gap between the two teams.

Forge's away performance is a concern, as they have struggled to consistently find the back of the net, compared to their home games. Their 1.00 average goals scored away from home is dwarfed by Cavalry's 2.60 home average. This disparity is crucial when considering the potential outcomes of this matchup.

Given the statistical trends, Cavalry FC is favored to maintain their unbeaten home streak. The prediction leans towards a result where Cavalry either wins or draws, given their impeccable home record and recent head-to-head advantage over Forge. Forge's away form further supports this prediction, as they have not shown the resilience needed to consistently overcome strong opposition on the road.

For bettors, the most likely event is a "1X" outcome, where Cavalry FC either wins or draws. This is supported by Cavalry's unbeaten home form and Forge's inconsistent away results. The confidence score for this prediction is 8, highlighting the statistical backing. Additional probable betting events include a potential Cavalry win, given their home prowess, with an estimated 60% probability. A draw also remains plausible at 30%, while the likelihood of Forge scoring remains moderate, given their average scoring rate.

Overall, the match is set to be competitive, but Cavalry's home advantage gives them the upper hand. Forge will need to overcome their away challenges to change the narrative, but the odds are stacked against them given the current form and historical data.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Win 1
60%
X
30%
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5
70%
Handicap 1: 0.5
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Cavalry FC vs Forge
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
1xBet
Betano

Canadian Premier League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Cavalry FC logoCavalry FC ★
21 15 4 2 49
2
Forge logoForge ★
21 14 3 4 45
3
Atlético Ottawa logoAtlético Ottawa
22 10 4 8 34
4
Vancouver FC logoVancouver FC
22 9 3 10 30
5
HFX Wanderers FC logoHFX Wanderers FC
22 6 5 11 23
6
York United logoYork United
20 5 8 7 23
7
Supra du Quebec logoSupra du Quebec
21 6 4 11 22
8
Pacific FC logoPacific FC
21 1 7 13 10
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