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Canadian Premier League

Cavalry FC VS Forge: Final Score & Prediction

Canadian Premier League 19.09.2026 · 17:00 ATCO Field Referee: Roberto D'Alesio, Canada
Cavalry FC emblem
Cavalry FC
W
W
W
W
W
Full Time
1 – 1
HT 0:0
19 Sep · 17:00
Forge emblem
Forge
W
W
D
D
L

Match Stats

Cavalry FC 1:1 Forge
55%
Ball Possession
45%
13
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
5
5
Blocked Shots
3
8
Shots Inside Box
8
5
Shots Outside Box
4
5
Corners
5
2
Offsides
1
19
Fouls
13
2
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
365
Total Passes
278
305
Accurate Passes
222

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
Harrison PatonYellow Card
30'
36'
Hoce MassundaYellow Card
Sergio CamargoYellow Card
57'
⇆ Nathaniel EdwardsSubstitution · Goteh Ntignee
57'
⇆ Sergio CamargoSubstitution · Ali Musse
57'
62'
Manjrekar JamesYellow Card
Tobias WarschewskiYellow Card
68'
73'
Hoce MassundaSubstitution · Noah Jensen ⇆
73'
Manjrekar JamesSubstitution · Tristan Borges ⇆
73'
Ismael Oketokoun HassaneSubstitution · Lucas Cavallini ⇆
⇆ Caniggia ElvaSubstitution · Robert Owen Antoniuk
74'
79'
Aghilas Abdelmalek Sadek SadekSubstitution · Brian Wright ⇆
79'
M. BourgeoisSubstitution · Levonte Johnson ⇆
80'
Noah JensenGoal ⚽
⇆ B. KamdemSubstitution · Curtis Ofori
83'
⚽ Robert Owen AntoniukGoal · Amer Didic
90'
Tobias WarschewskiRed Card
90+2'
90+5'
Lucas CavalliniYellow Card

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
46%
Cavalry FC
30%
Draw
24%
Forge

Form Comparison

■ Cavalry FC ■ Forge
Cavalry FC
Forge
60%
Form
40%
53%
Att
47%
57%
Def
43%
64%
Poisson distribution
36%
62%
H2h
38%
57%
Goals
43%
59%
Total
41%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
15.08.2026
Cavalry FC vs Forge
2 — 1
31.05.2026
Forge vs Cavalry FC
1 — 0
18.04.2026
Forge vs Cavalry FC
0 — 0
02.11.2025
Forge vs Cavalry FC
0 — 1
10.10.2025
Cavalry FC vs Forge
1 — 1
30.08.2025
Cavalry FC vs Forge
4 — 1
31.05.2025
Forge vs Cavalry FC
1 — 1
05.04.2025
Forge vs Cavalry FC
1 — 0
09.11.2024
Cavalry FC vs Forge
2 — 1
27.10.2024
Forge vs Cavalry FC
0 — 1

Last Matches

Cavalry FC
Forge
13.09.2026
Pacific FC vs Cavalry FC
1 — 0
07.09.2026
HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC
3 — 1
29.08.2026
Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC
1 — 0
22.08.2026
Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa
3 — 1
15.08.2026
Cavalry FC vs Forge
2 — 1
W: 5 · D: 0 · L: 0

Cavalry FC enters this match against Forge with an impressive home record, having won all of their last five home fixtures. This formidable form at ATCO Field sees them scoring an average of 2.60 goals per game while conceding just 0.60. These stats underscore their dominance on home turf, a key factor as they face their closest league rivals, Forge, who sit just below them in second place.

Forge's recent form has been less consistent, with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five games. Notably, their away record shows vulnerabilities, with only one victory in their last five, alongside two draws and two defeats. Offensively, Forge averages 1.00 goal per game on the road, mirroring their goals conceded. This contrasts sharply with Cavalry’s robust home performance, suggesting Forge may face a challenging task.

Both teams have met five times recently, with Cavalry winning twice, Forge once, and two games ending in a draw. In their latest encounter, Cavalry secured a 2-1 win, reinforcing their superior form against Forge. These head-to-head statistics favor Cavalry, particularly given Forge's struggles away from home.

The numbers paint a clear picture of the offensive and defensive capabilities of both teams. Cavalry averages 2.00 goals per game in their last five matches, while Forge manages 1.40. Defensively, Cavalry concedes 0.80 goals on average, slightly better than Forge's 1.00. When playing at home, Cavalry's defensive and offensive strength further widens the gap between the two teams.

Forge's away performance is a concern, as they have struggled to consistently find the back of the net, compared to their home games. Their 1.00 average goals scored away from home is dwarfed by Cavalry's 2.60 home average. This disparity is crucial when considering the potential outcomes of this matchup.

Given the statistical trends, Cavalry FC is favored to maintain their unbeaten home streak. The prediction leans towards a result where Cavalry either wins or draws, given their impeccable home record and recent head-to-head advantage over Forge. Forge's away form further supports this prediction, as they have not shown the resilience needed to consistently overcome strong opposition on the road.

For bettors, the most likely event is a "1X" outcome, where Cavalry FC either wins or draws. This is supported by Cavalry's unbeaten home form and Forge's inconsistent away results. The confidence score for this prediction is 8, highlighting the statistical backing. Additional probable betting events include a potential Cavalry win, given their home prowess, with an estimated 60% probability. A draw also remains plausible at 30%, while the likelihood of Forge scoring remains moderate, given their average scoring rate.

Overall, the match is set to be competitive, but Cavalry's home advantage gives them the upper hand. Forge will need to overcome their away challenges to change the narrative, but the odds are stacked against them given the current form and historical data.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Win 1
60%
X
30%
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5
70%
Handicap 1: 0.5
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Canadian Premier League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Cavalry FC logoCavalry FC ★
26 16 6 4 54
2
Forge logoForge ★
26 16 6 4 54
3
Atlético Ottawa logoAtlético Ottawa
26 13 4 9 43
4
Vancouver FC logoVancouver FC
26 9 7 10 34
5
Supra du Quebec logoSupra du Quebec
26 9 5 12 32
6
HFX Wanderers FC logoHFX Wanderers FC
26 7 7 12 28
7
York United logoYork United
26 6 9 11 27
8
Pacific FC logoPacific FC
26 2 8 16 14
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