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Canadian Premier League

HFX Wanderers FC vs York United Prediction

Canadian Premier League 20.09.2026 · 15:00 Wanderers Grounds Referee: Niko Jecanski, Canada
HFX Wanderers FC emblem
HFX Wanderers FC
W
L
L
W
L
vs
– : –
20 Sep · 15:00
York United emblem
York United
W
D
D
L
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
35%
HFX Wanderers FC
35%
Draw
30%
York United

Form Comparison

■ HFX Wanderers FC ■ York United
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
50%
Form
50%
53%
Att
47%
42%
Def
58%
63%
Poisson distribution
37%
25%
H2h
75%
45%
Goals
55%
46%
Total
54%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
16.08.2026
York United vs HFX Wanderers FC
4 — 3
23.05.2026
HFX Wanderers FC vs York United
1 — 1
11.04.2026
York United vs HFX Wanderers FC
2 — 2
22.10.2025
HFX Wanderers FC vs York United
2 — 2
04.10.2025
HFX Wanderers FC vs York United
1 — 1
01.09.2025
HFX Wanderers FC vs York United
4 — 0
31.05.2025
York United vs HFX Wanderers FC
2 — 0
13.04.2025
York United vs HFX Wanderers FC
1 — 2
19.10.2024
HFX Wanderers FC vs York United
2 — 1
02.09.2024
HFX Wanderers FC vs York United
2 — 1

Last Matches

HFX Wanderers FC
York United
12.09.2026
Supra du Quebec vs HFX Wanderers FC
2 — 0
07.09.2026
HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC
1 — 3
30.08.2026
Pacific FC vs HFX Wanderers FC
3 — 4
22.08.2026
HFX Wanderers FC vs Vancouver FC
1 — 0
16.08.2026
York United vs HFX Wanderers FC
3 — 4
W: 2 · D: 0 · L: 3

HFX Wanderers FC enter this encounter with a concerning defensive record, having conceded an average of 2.60 goals per game in their last five matches. This statistic underscores the challenge they face against York United, who have been prolific in attack with an average of 2.00 goals scored over the same period. Both teams have shown vulnerabilities, setting the stage for an intriguing match at Wanderers Grounds.

Form and Context

HFX Wanderers FC find themselves in sixth place, just one spot above York United, making this clash a crucial opportunity for both sides to climb the table. Despite a commendable 1-0 victory over Vancouver FC at home, HFX Wanderers have struggled in their recent outings, losing three of their last five matches. Their home form mirrors this inconsistency, with only one win in their last five attempts. Conversely, York United have not fared much better, sitting seventh in the league. Their recent form shows a propensity for draws, with three in their last five games. Notably, their last encounter against HFX Wanderers ended in a thrilling 4-3 win, highlighting their attacking potential but also their defensive frailties.

Key Numbers

The key numbers heading into this match are telling. HFX Wanderers have averaged 1.80 goals scored per match in their last five outings but have conceded 2.60, indicating defensive weaknesses. At home, their scoring drops to just 1.00 goal per game, while they concede 1.80, pointing to a need for more offensive firepower. York United, on the other hand, have been more efficient in front of goal with an average of 2.00 goals scored across their last five matches, yet their away form is less encouraging, scoring only 0.80 goals per game. Defensively, York United have conceded 2.00 goals on average, which could be exploited by HFX Wanderers. In their head-to-head history, York United have won twice, with three matches ending in draws, giving them a slight psychological edge.

Prediction

Considering the data and past performances, a draw seems a likely outcome for this fixture. Both teams have been evenly matched historically, with HFX Wanderers struggling to convert their home advantage into victories, and York United's away form leaving much to be desired. The most probable betting event is a draw (market: X), given the tendency of both sides to share points in recent encounters. With neither team showing a decisive edge, a stalemate appears plausible. Confidence in this prediction is bolstered by the fact that three of their last five head-to-head matches ended in draws. For additional betting angles, the likelihood of both teams scoring is high, given their leaky defenses and capable attacks.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
80%
1X
60%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
75%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
70%

Canadian Premier League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Cavalry FC logoCavalry FC
21 15 4 2 49
2
Forge logoForge
21 14 3 4 45
3
Atlético Ottawa logoAtlético Ottawa
22 10 4 8 34
4
Vancouver FC logoVancouver FC
22 9 3 10 30
5
HFX Wanderers FC logoHFX Wanderers FC ★
22 6 5 11 23
6
York United logoYork United ★
20 5 8 7 23
7
Supra du Quebec logoSupra du Quebec
21 6 4 11 22
8
Pacific FC logoPacific FC
21 1 7 13 10
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