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Eredivisie

Ajax vs Willem II Prediction

Eredivisie 15.09.2026 · 14:00 Johan Cruijff Arena Referee: M. Nagtegaal
Ajax emblem
Ajax
L
W
W
W
D
vs
– : –
15 Sep · 14:00
Willem II emblem
Willem II
L
D
L
L
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
78%
Ajax
14%
Draw
8%
Willem II

Form Comparison

■ Ajax ■ Willem II
Ajax
Willem II
88%
Form
13%
69%
Att
31%
72%
Def
28%
77%
Poisson distribution
23%
100%
H2h
0%
86%
Goals
14%
78%
Total
22%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
13.04.2025
Willem II vs Ajax
1 — 2
27.10.2024
Ajax vs Willem II
1 — 0
19.02.2022
Willem II vs Ajax
0 — 1
02.12.2021
Ajax vs Willem II
5 — 0
28.01.2021
Ajax vs Willem II
3 — 1
23.12.2020
Willem II vs Ajax
1 — 1
25.04.2020
Willem II vs Ajax
06.12.2019
Ajax vs Willem II
0 — 2
05.05.2019
Willem II vs Ajax
0 — 4
06.04.2019
Willem II vs Ajax
1 — 4

Last Matches

Ajax
Willem II
05.09.2026
Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven
1 — 3
30.08.2026
Telstar vs Ajax
4 — 0
27.08.2026
Ajax vs FC Sion
5 — 3
20.08.2026
FC Sion vs Ajax
4 — 2
16.08.2026
Ajax vs Heerenveen
2 — 2
W: 3 · D: 1 · L: 1

Ajax enters this match with a striking statistic: they have won all five of their recent encounters against Willem II, scoring 13 goals in the process while conceding just two. This level of dominance in head-to-head results sets an imposing backdrop for the upcoming Eredivisie clash at the Johan Cruijff Arena.

Ajax's recent form has been solid, with three wins and a draw in their last five matches. They exhibit a potent offensive front, averaging 3.20 goals per game, although their defense has been somewhat leaky, conceding an average of 2.00 goals per match. Their home form mirrors this pattern, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in the last five fixtures, underpinned by an average of 3.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded at home.

Conversely, Willem II has struggled, sitting in 16th place in the league. They have just one win in their last five matches, paired with a significantly poorer defensive record, conceding 2.80 goals per game. Their away form is particularly concerning, with a solitary loss in their sole away game where they conceded four goals. A comparative analysis of both teams underscores Ajax's superior attacking prowess and defensive stability, despite their vulnerabilities.

Ajax's offensive dynamism is evident in their goal-scoring statistics, as they consistently notch up an average of 3.00 goals both at home and away. However, their defense remains a concern, conceding an average of 2.00 goals per match at home. Willem II, on the other hand, has struggled to find the back of the net, averaging just 1.20 goals per game, while their defense has been porous, allowing 2.80 goals on average.

The head-to-head record further amplifies the disparity. Ajax has won all five recent encounters against Willem II, dominating with a mix of offensive efficiency and defensive solidity. Willem II’s inability to secure a win in these matchups highlights their struggles against stronger opposition. The statistics suggest that while Ajax is likely to outscore Willem II, there could be opportunities for the visitors to exploit Ajax’s defensive lapses.

Analyzing the data, a prediction for the match is that Ajax will continue their head-to-head dominance. Given the current form and historical data, the most probable betting event is "Ajax to win with a clean sheet". This prediction is bolstered by Willem II's poor away performance and Ajax's strong home record. However, it's important to consider Ajax's defensive vulnerabilities, which could see Willem II finding the net.

For additional betting opportunities, consider the following: "Ajax to win" is highly probable given their head-to-head record and current form. "Total: Over 2.5 goals" seems likely considering Ajax's average goals scored. "Willem II to score" is plausible given Ajax's defensive record. Finally, "Ajax to score in both halves" reflects their offensive strength. While Ajax is favored to win, the match dynamics suggest an intriguing encounter.

Prediction and Betting Tips

9/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
80%
1X
95%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
60%
Ajax to score in both halves
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Ajax vs Willem II
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
BetVictor
1xBet

Eredivisie Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
AZ Alkmaar logoAZ Alkmaar
5 5 0 0 15
2
PSV Eindhoven logoPSV Eindhoven
5 4 1 0 13
3
Feyenoord logoFeyenoord
5 3 2 0 11
4
Excelsior logoExcelsior
5 3 1 1 10
5
Twente logoTwente
5 3 1 1 10
6
Fortuna Sittard logoFortuna Sittard
5 3 1 1 10
7
GO Ahead Eagles logoGO Ahead Eagles
5 2 2 1 8
8
Ajax logoAjax ★
4 2 1 1 7
9
NEC Nijmegen logoNEC Nijmegen
5 2 1 2 7
10
Groningen logoGroningen
5 2 1 2 7
11
Sparta Rotterdam logoSparta Rotterdam
5 1 2 2 5
12
Heerenveen logoHeerenveen
5 1 2 2 5
13
PEC Zwolle logoPEC Zwolle
5 1 1 3 4
14
Telstar logoTelstar
5 1 1 3 4
15
Utrecht logoUtrecht
5 0 2 3 2
16
Willem II logoWillem II ★
4 0 1 3 1
17
ADO Den Haag logoADO Den Haag
5 0 1 4 1
18
Cambuur logoCambuur
5 0 1 4 1
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