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Eredivisie

Groningen vs PEC Zwolle Prediction

Eredivisie 18.09.2026 · 14:00 Euroborg Referee: A. Bos
Groningen emblem
Groningen
D
L
L
W
W
vs
– : –
18 Sep · 14:00
PEC Zwolle emblem
PEC Zwolle
D
L
W
L
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
56%
Groningen
23%
Draw
21%
PEC Zwolle

Form Comparison

■ Groningen ■ PEC Zwolle
Groningen
PEC Zwolle
64%
Form
36%
65%
Att
35%
45%
Def
55%
58%
Poisson distribution
42%
36%
H2h
64%
38%
Goals
63%
51%
Total
49%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
13.03.2026
PEC Zwolle vs Groningen
1 — 1
23.11.2025
Groningen vs PEC Zwolle
2 — 2
18.05.2025
PEC Zwolle vs Groningen
2 — 0
08.12.2024
Groningen vs PEC Zwolle
0 — 0
05.08.2023
PEC Zwolle vs Groningen
0 — 0
20.02.2022
PEC Zwolle vs Groningen
1 — 1
03.12.2021
Groningen vs PEC Zwolle
1 — 1
16.05.2021
PEC Zwolle vs Groningen
1 — 0
13.02.2021
Groningen vs PEC Zwolle
1 — 0
01.02.2020
PEC Zwolle vs Groningen
1 — 0

Last Matches

Groningen
PEC Zwolle
06.09.2026
Groningen vs Twente
2 — 2
28.08.2026
Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard
2 — 3
23.08.2026
PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen
1 — 5
16.08.2026
ADO Den Haag vs Groningen
4 — 1
09.08.2026
Groningen vs Utrecht
2 — 1
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

Groningen has been somewhat inconsistent in their recent outings, highlighted by their 2.40 average goals conceded per match in the last five games. This defensive vulnerability presents a significant challenge as they prepare to host PEC Zwolle at Euroborg. In contrast, PEC Zwolle sits three positions lower in the Eredivisie table, holding the 13th spot, but they have shown resilience on the road, managing to secure a 2-2 draw against Sparta Rotterdam in their latest away fixture.

Groningen's recent form has been a mixed bag. They have managed two wins, two draws, and a single loss in their last five matches, displaying a capacity for scoring with an average of 2.20 goals per game. However, their defensive frailties are evident, having conceded an average of 2.40 goals per match. This vulnerability is particularly pronounced at home, where they have won twice, drawn twice, and lost once in their last five, scoring an average of 1.40 goals while conceding 1.20. PEC Zwolle, meanwhile, has struggled for consistency, claiming just one victory in their last five league outings, along with a draw. They average 1.20 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. On their travels, however, Zwolle has been marginally better, with an average of 1.25 goals scored compared to 2.00 conceded. This modest improvement on the road could be pivotal as they face off against Groningen.

The numerical insights reveal areas of concern and opportunity for both teams. Groningen's tally of 11 goals in their last five games is tempered by the 12 goals they have conceded. Groningen's home advantage has been shaky, with a balance of goals scored and conceded reflecting their inconsistent form. PEC Zwolle's scoring record is modest, with 6 goals in five matches, yet they have conceded 10. Historically, matches between these two sides have been tight, with four of the last five encounters ending in draws, and only one win for PEC Zwolle. These head-to-head records suggest a closely contested match, with neither side able to claim clear dominance over the other.

In terms of prediction, the likelihood of a draw seems significant given the historical context and current form. Both teams have shown a propensity to share points in recent head-to-head meetings, and with Groningen’s defensive issues paired with Zwolle’s away resilience, a draw is a plausible outcome. The "X" market is particularly appealing, as the statistics and head-to-head record suggest a balanced contest. However, given the attacking capabilities of both sides, with Groningen averaging over two goals a game recently, the potential for both teams to score is high. The main betting event here is the "X" market, with a confidence score of 7, due to the frequent draws in past encounters and the current form of both sides. Additional betting events include both teams to score, given their defensive records, and a total goals market reflecting the likelihood of a high-scoring draw.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
80%
1X
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
75%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Groningen vs PEC Zwolle
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
1xBet

Eredivisie Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
AZ Alkmaar logoAZ Alkmaar
5 5 0 0 15
2
PSV Eindhoven logoPSV Eindhoven
5 4 1 0 13
3
Feyenoord logoFeyenoord
5 3 2 0 11
4
Excelsior logoExcelsior
5 3 1 1 10
5
Twente logoTwente
5 3 1 1 10
6
Fortuna Sittard logoFortuna Sittard
5 3 1 1 10
7
GO Ahead Eagles logoGO Ahead Eagles
5 2 2 1 8
8
Ajax logoAjax
4 2 1 1 7
9
NEC Nijmegen logoNEC Nijmegen
5 2 1 2 7
10
Groningen logoGroningen ★
5 2 1 2 7
11
Sparta Rotterdam logoSparta Rotterdam
5 1 2 2 5
12
Heerenveen logoHeerenveen
5 1 2 2 5
13
PEC Zwolle logoPEC Zwolle ★
5 1 1 3 4
14
Telstar logoTelstar
5 1 1 3 4
15
Utrecht logoUtrecht
5 0 2 3 2
16
Willem II logoWillem II
4 0 1 3 1
17
ADO Den Haag logoADO Den Haag
5 0 1 4 1
18
Cambuur logoCambuur
5 0 1 4 1
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