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FKF Premier League

Police vs Homeboyz Prediction

FKF Premier League 31.05.2026 · 08:00
Police emblem
Police
D
D
W
D
W
vs
– : –
31 May · 08:00
Homeboyz emblem
Homeboyz
D
L
L
L
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
50%
Police
50%
Draw
0%
Homeboyz

Form Comparison

■ Police ■ Homeboyz
Police
Homeboyz
82%
Form
18%
60%
Att
40%
78%
Def
22%
60%
Poisson distribution
40%
62%
H2h
38%
60%
Goals
40%
67%
Total
33%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
22.12.2025
Homeboyz vs Police
2 — 2
14.05.2025
Homeboyz vs Police
2 — 1
21.12.2024
Police vs Homeboyz
1 — 1
05.05.2024
Homeboyz vs Police
1 — 2
06.01.2024
Police vs Homeboyz
3 — 0
12.03.2023
Homeboyz vs Police
0 — 1
03.12.2022
Police vs Homeboyz
0 — 1
12.10.2022
Homeboyz vs Police

Last Matches

Police
Homeboyz
24.05.2026
Nairobi United vs Police
0 — 0
10.05.2026
GOR Mahia vs Police
1 — 1
06.05.2026
Police vs Murang'a SEAL
2 — 1
25.04.2026
Shabana vs Police
0 — 0
18.04.2026
AFC Leopards vs Police
3 — 0
W: 2 · D: 3 · L: 0

As Police prepare to face Homeboyz, a key statistic stands out: both teams have found themselves ending matches in a stalemate more often than not, with their recent encounter concluding in a 1-1 draw. This suggests a tight contest is on the cards for their upcoming clash.

Form and Context

Police currently hold third place in the league, showcasing consistent form with an unbeaten streak in their last five matches, which includes three wins and two draws at home. They have demonstrated defensive solidity, conceding only once per game on average. In contrast, Homeboyz sit in sixth place, having struggled in recent fixtures with two losses, two draws, and just one victory. Their defense appears vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match. Despite their lower position, Homeboyz have been able to match Police toe-to-toe in their head-to-head encounters, which have largely ended in draws.

Key Numbers

Police's recent performances have seen them score an average of 1.00 goal per match, while maintaining a tight defense with only 0.80 goals conceded on average. At home, this record improves slightly, with Police scoring 1.40 goals on average and conceding 0.80. Homeboyz, meanwhile, have struggled away from home, failing to register a win in their last five away games, where they averaged 0.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded. The head-to-head record between these two sides is evenly balanced, with each team securing one victory and three matches ending in draws, highlighting the competitive nature of their matchups.

Prediction

Given the statistical trends, a draw appears a likely outcome, supported by the history of evenly matched encounters between these two sides. However, Police's superior form and home advantage could tip the scales slightly in their favor. The main betting event to consider is "1X", as Police have not lost at home in their last five games, and Homeboyz have struggled to win away. This prediction is based on Police's solid home record and Homeboyz's inability to secure away victories.

Additional betting opportunities include "X" given the frequent draws in their head-to-head record, and "Total Team 1 Over: 0.5" considering Police's consistent goal-scoring at home. "Total:Over: 1.5" is also an interesting option, as both teams are capable of finding the net, albeit with differing frequency. Lastly, "Handicap 1: 0.5" could offer value, reflecting Police's resilience at home.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
X
40%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
75%
Total:Over: 1.5
60%
Handicap 1: 0.5
70%

FKF Premier League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
GOR Mahia logoGOR Mahia
34 20 9 5 69
2
AFC Leopards logoAFC Leopards
34 19 7 8 64
3
Police logoPolice ★
34 13 16 5 55
4
Nairobi United logoNairobi United
34 14 11 9 53
5
Shabana logoShabana
34 14 10 10 52
6
Homeboyz logoHomeboyz ★
34 12 13 9 49
7
KCB logoKCB
34 13 9 12 48
8
Murang'a SEAL logoMurang'a SEAL
34 13 8 13 47
9
Tusker logoTusker
34 13 6 15 45
10
APS Bomet logoAPS Bomet
34 11 11 12 44
11
Mara Sugar logoMara Sugar
34 10 14 10 44
12
Bandari logoBandari
34 9 17 8 44
13
Ulinzi Stars logoUlinzi Stars
34 11 8 15 41
14
Mathare United logoMathare United
34 11 8 15 41
15
Posta Rangers FC logoPosta Rangers FC
34 9 13 12 40
16
Kariobangi Sharks logoKariobangi Sharks
34 8 14 12 38
17
Bidco United logoBidco United
34 5 12 17 27
18
Sofapaka logoSofapaka
34 3 10 21 19
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