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FKF Premier League

Tusker vs APS Bomet Prediction

FKF Premier League 31.05.2026 · 08:00
Tusker emblem
Tusker
L
W
L
L
D
vs
– : –
31 May · 08:00
APS Bomet emblem
APS Bomet
W
W
W
W
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
Tusker
45%
Draw
45%
APS Bomet

Form Comparison

■ Tusker ■ APS Bomet
Tusker
APS Bomet
21%
Form
79%
20%
Att
80%
25%
Def
75%
39%
Poisson distribution
61%
80%
H2h
20%
100%
Goals
0%
37%
Total
63%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
21.12.2025
APS Bomet vs Tusker
0 — 1
05.11.2022
APS Bomet vs Tusker

Last Matches

Tusker
APS Bomet
24.05.2026
Bandari vs Tusker
0 — 1
10.05.2026
Tusker vs Bidco United
2 — 0
06.05.2026
Nairobi United vs Tusker
0 — 1
24.04.2026
Tusker vs Mara Sugar
0 — 1
18.04.2026
Tusker vs Sofapaka
0 — 0
W: 1 · D: 1 · L: 3

Tusker enters this match with a challenging recent form, having scored an average of just 0.60 goals per game over their last five fixtures. In contrast, APS Bomet has found the net with far greater frequency, boasting an average of 1.60 goals over the same period. This goal-scoring disparity highlights the offensive struggles of Tusker, especially when juxtaposed against APS Bomet's recent attacking prowess.

Form and Context

Analyzing the current form, Tusker's performances have been underwhelming. They sit in 9th place and have managed only one win in their last five matches, a 2-0 victory against Bidco United. Their home form, while slightly better, includes two wins, two draws, and one loss. Conversely, APS Bomet appears more robust, holding the 10th spot but with a commendable form. They have gone unbeaten in their last five matches, securing four wins and a draw. Notably, APS Bomet's away form is impressive, with four victories and one draw, indicating their ability to perform under pressure on the road.

Key Numbers

The goal statistics further delineate the contrasting fortunes of the two teams. Tusker's home matches yield an average of 0.80 goals scored and 0.40 conceded, illustrating a generally cautious approach. On the flip side, APS Bomet scores an average of 1.80 goals away from home while conceding only 0.20. Head-to-head encounters have been closely contested, with the most recent ending in a 1-1 draw. Tusker has a slight edge in historical outcomes, with one win to APS Bomet's zero, but draws have been the prevailing result in their meetings.

Prediction

Given the recent data and head-to-head results, the likelihood of APS Bomet maintaining their unbeaten streak on the road appears high. Tusker's struggle to score consistently, particularly against a side with a strong defensive record like APS Bomet, suggests a challenging match for the home team. Therefore, the most probable outcome is a draw, with both teams likely to focus on maintaining their current league positions.

For betting enthusiasts, a particularly appealing market could be the "X" or draw outcome, bolstered by the history of stalemates in their head-to-head matches. This prediction is supported by APS Bomet's tactical discipline and Tusker's inability to break down resilient defenses. The confidence score for this event is 7, given both teams' tendency to cancel each other out in previous encounters.

Additional betting suggestions include the low-scoring nature of their recent matches, with predictions such as "Total:Under: 2.0" and "Total Team 1 Under: 0.5" offering potential value based on statistical trends.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
1X
60%
Total:Over: 1.5
55%
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5
70%
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5
75%

FKF Premier League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
GOR Mahia logoGOR Mahia
34 20 9 5 69
2
AFC Leopards logoAFC Leopards
34 19 7 8 64
3
Police logoPolice
34 13 16 5 55
4
Nairobi United logoNairobi United
34 14 11 9 53
5
Shabana logoShabana
34 14 10 10 52
6
Homeboyz logoHomeboyz
34 12 13 9 49
7
KCB logoKCB
34 13 9 12 48
8
Murang'a SEAL logoMurang'a SEAL
34 13 8 13 47
9
Tusker logoTusker ★
34 13 6 15 45
10
APS Bomet logoAPS Bomet ★
34 11 11 12 44
11
Mara Sugar logoMara Sugar
34 10 14 10 44
12
Bandari logoBandari
34 9 17 8 44
13
Ulinzi Stars logoUlinzi Stars
34 11 8 15 41
14
Mathare United logoMathare United
34 11 8 15 41
15
Posta Rangers FC logoPosta Rangers FC
34 9 13 12 40
16
Kariobangi Sharks logoKariobangi Sharks
34 8 14 12 38
17
Bidco United logoBidco United
34 5 12 17 27
18
Sofapaka logoSofapaka
34 3 10 21 19
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