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La Liga

Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

La Liga 10.10.2026 · 10:15 Estadio de Mendizorroza Referee: Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez
Alaves emblem
Alaves
D
L
L
W
W
vs
– : –
10 Oct · 10:15
Atletico Madrid emblem
Atletico Madrid
W
W
W
L
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
22%
Alaves
26%
Draw
52%
Atletico Madrid

Form Comparison

■ Alaves ■ Atletico Madrid
Alaves
Atletico Madrid
37%
Form
63%
37%
Att
63%
50%
Def
50%
61%
Poisson distribution
39%
38%
H2h
62%
50%
Goals
50%
46%
Total
55%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
18.01.2026
Atletico Madrid vs Alaves
1 — 0
30.08.2025
Alaves vs Atletico Madrid
1 — 1
03.05.2025
Alaves vs Atletico Madrid
0 — 0
23.11.2024
Atletico Madrid vs Alaves
2 — 1
21.04.2024
Alaves vs Atletico Madrid
2 — 0
29.10.2023
Atletico Madrid vs Alaves
2 — 1
02.04.2022
Atletico Madrid vs Alaves
4 — 1
25.09.2021
Alaves vs Atletico Madrid
1 — 0
21.03.2021
Atletico Madrid vs Alaves
1 — 0
03.01.2021
Alaves vs Atletico Madrid
1 — 2

Last Matches

Alaves
Atletico Madrid
19.09.2026
Athletic Club vs Alaves
0 — 0
15.09.2026
Alaves vs Valencia
0 — 1
12.09.2026
Racing Santander vs Alaves
1 — 2
06.09.2026
Alaves vs Osasuna
5 — 2
28.08.2026
Alaves vs Villarreal
1 — 0
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

Injuries and Suspensions

Alaves
M. Rodriguez, V. Koski
F. Garces
Atletico Madrid
O. Vargas, R. Mendoza

Alaves will host Atletico Madrid at the Estadio Mendizorrotza in what promises to be an intriguing La Liga clash. Both teams have shown strong form in recent matches, making this encounter one to watch closely.

Alaves' Recent Form and Home Advantage

Alaves have had a solid start to the season, currently sitting 6th in La Liga with 11 points from their first seven games. Their recent form has been a mixed bag, with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five league fixtures. Notably, their home form has been particularly strong, winning four of their last five matches at the Estadio Mendizorrotza, scoring an impressive average of 2.40 goals per game while conceding just 0.60. This home advantage could play a crucial role as they face a formidable opponent like Atletico Madrid.

Atletico Madrid's Strong Start

Atletico Madrid have also had an excellent start to their La Liga campaign, currently positioned 2nd in the table with 16 points. They have been in great form recently, securing three wins in their last five matches, including a convincing 4-0 victory over Osasuna. Atletico's away performance has been commendable, winning three of their last five away games and maintaining a solid scoring rate of 1.80 goals per game. Despite a recent dip with losses to Liverpool and Athletic Club, Atletico Madrid remain a strong contender in this fixture.

Match Prediction and Insights

Given the current form of both teams and their positions in the league, this match is expected to be competitive. While Alaves' strong home performances could pose a challenge, Atletico Madrid's overall quality and recent successes suggest they might edge this encounter. However, both teams have shown the ability to score, making the prediction for both teams to score a reasonable expectation.

The main prediction is "Both Teams to Score: Yes," considering both sides' recent scoring trends and defensive records. Additional predictions include "Total: Over 2.5," "Total Team 2: Over 1.5," "Handicap 2: 0.5," and "Total Team 1: Over 0.5," reflecting the potential for a high-scoring affair. Alaves and Atletico Madrid are likely to contribute to an entertaining match, with plenty of goal-scoring opportunities anticipated.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5
65%
Handicap 2: 0.5
75%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
80%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Pin-UP
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
Dafabet

La Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Barcelona logoBarcelona
9 9 0 0 27
2
Atletico Madrid logoAtletico Madrid ★
9 7 1 1 22
3
Real Madrid logoReal Madrid
9 7 0 2 21
4
Real Betis logoReal Betis
9 6 1 2 19
5
Real Sociedad logoReal Sociedad
9 5 1 3 16
6
Sevilla logoSevilla
9 4 2 3 14
7
Alaves logoAlaves ★
9 3 2 4 11
8
Celta Vigo logoCelta Vigo
9 2 5 2 11
9
Deportivo La Coruna logoDeportivo La Coruna
9 2 5 2 11
10
Osasuna logoOsasuna
9 3 2 4 11
11
Levante logoLevante
9 2 4 3 10
12
Villarreal logoVillarreal
9 2 3 4 9
13
Athletic Club logoAthletic Club
8 2 3 3 9
14
Rayo Vallecano logoRayo Vallecano
8 2 3 3 9
15
Getafe logoGetafe
9 2 3 4 9
16
Espanyol logoEspanyol
9 2 2 5 8
17
Racing Santander logoRacing Santander
9 2 2 5 8
18
Elche logoElche
9 1 4 4 7
19
Valencia logoValencia
9 1 3 5 6
20
Malaga logoMalaga
9 0 4 5 4
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