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La Liga

Athletic Club VS Atletico Madrid: Final Score & Prediction

La Liga 05.09.2026 · 10:15 Referee: J. Manzano
Athletic Club emblem
Athletic Club
W
L
L
L
L
Full Time
3 – 0
HT 0:0
05 Sep · 10:15
Atletico Madrid emblem
Atletico Madrid
W
D
W
W
L

Match Stats

Athletic Club 3:0 Atletico Madrid
38%
Ball Possession
62%
11
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Shots off Target
9
3
Blocked Shots
1
8
Shots Inside Box
10
3
Shots Outside Box
5
3
Corners
8
0
Offsides
2
8
Fouls
6
0
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1
386
Total Passes
632
314
Accurate Passes
571

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
39'
Lee Kang-InYellow Card
Yeray ÁlvarezSubstitution · Aitor Paredes
45'
Nico WilliamsGoal
46'
Robert Navarro MuñozGoal · Iñaki Williams
48'
58'
Ademola LookmanSubstitution · Arnau Ortiz
59'
Morten HjulmandSubstitution · Koke
59'
Giuliano Simeone BaldiniSubstitution · Cristian Romero
59'
Lee Kang-InSubstitution · Julián Álvarez
Iñigo Ruiz De GalarretaSubstitution · Mikel Jauregizar
60'
Robert Navarro MuñozSubstitution · Johaneko Louis-Jean
66'
Iñaki WilliamsSubstitution · Alex Berenguer
66'
76'
Alejandro Baena RodríguezSubstitution · Johnny Cardoso
Nico WilliamsSubstitution · Gorka Guruzeta
76'
Oihan SancetGoal
90'

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
32%
Athletic Club
29%
Draw
39%
Atletico Madrid

Form Comparison

■ Athletic Club ■ Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
30%
Form
70%
30%
Att
70%
38%
Def
63%
7%
Poisson distribution
93%
20%
H2h
80%
33%
Goals
67%
26%
Total
74%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
25.04.2026
Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club
3 — 2
06.12.2025
Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid
1 — 0
01.03.2025
Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club
1 — 0
31.08.2024
Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid
0 — 1
27.04.2024
Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club
3 — 1
29.02.2024
Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid
3 — 0
07.02.2024
Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club
0 — 1
16.12.2023
Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid
2 — 0
19.02.2023
Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club
1 — 0
15.10.2022
Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid
0 — 1

Last Matches

Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
30.08.2026
Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club
2 — 0
27.08.2026
Barcelona vs Athletic Club
0 — 2
22.08.2026
Athletic Club vs Sevilla
1 — 3
21.08.2026
Zaragoza vs Athletic Club
1 — 3
14.08.2026
Atalanta vs Athletic Club
0 — 1
W: 1 · D: 0 · L: 4

Injuries and Suspensions

Athletic Club
A. Djalo, D. Vivian, N. Serrano, P. Canales, U. Egiluz
Atletico Madrid
A. Sorloth, O. Vargas

Athletic Club enters this match sitting at 19th in the league, having struggled significantly in recent outings. Their last five matches illustrate a concerning trend, with no victories and an average of 2.40 goals conceded per game. In stark contrast, Atletico Madrid holds the 5th position and has been more consistent, posting an average of 1.60 goals scored per match over the same period. Athletic Club's recent home form includes only one draw and one loss in their previous two games, while Atletico Madrid has shown resilience both home and away, although they have lost twice on the road.

Form and Context

Athletic Club is currently enduring a tough period, as their recent form indicates. The team has suffered losses against strong opponents like Barcelona and Sevilla, conceding multiple goals in each. Their defensive frailties are apparent with an alarming average of 2.40 goals conceded per game over the last five matches. Atletico Madrid, however, has displayed relative stability, securing a draw against Villarreal and a win over Malaga in recent home fixtures. Atletico's away performance includes a solid victory against Marseille, indicating their capability to perform under pressure away from home.

Key Numbers

Analyzing the numbers reveals stark differences between the two sides. Athletic Club has managed to score just 0.60 goals per game on average in their last five outings, while Atletico Madrid has been more prolific, averaging 1.60 goals. Interestingly, Athletic Club has scored more at home, averaging 1.50 goals, but their defensive issues persist with 2.50 goals conceded per game at home. Atletico Madrid's away statistics show a slightly lower scoring rate of 1.33 goals per game, but they have maintained a tighter defense compared to Athletic Club. Head-to-head encounters favor Atletico Madrid, who have won four out of the last five meetings against Athletic Club, including a decisive 3-1 victory in their most recent clash.

Prediction

Given the current form and statistical trends, the prediction for this match leans towards Atletico Madrid's ability to secure a result. One betting event to consider is "Atletico Madrid to win," given their superior head-to-head record and stronger recent performances. Atletico Madrid's consistency in finding the net, combined with Athletic Club's defensive vulnerabilities, suggests that Atletico Madrid is likely to capitalize on their chances. With a Confidence Score of 8, this event stands out as the most probable outcome. Additionally, considering the offensive and defensive records of both teams, a Total: Over 2.5 goals in the match seems plausible. Other possible betting events include "Total Team 1 Under: 1.5," reflecting Athletic Club's offensive struggles, and "Total Team 2 Over: 1," given Atletico's scoring capabilities. Lastly, "1X" could be a viable alternative, accounting for Athletic Club's potential to earn a point at home.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
70%
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5
75%
Total Team 2 Over: 1
65%
1X
55%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
BetVictor
Pinnacle
1xBet

La Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Barcelona logoBarcelona
5 5 0 0 15
2
Real Madrid logoReal Madrid
5 4 0 1 12
3
Real Betis logoReal Betis
5 4 0 1 12
4
Alaves logoAlaves
5 3 1 1 10
5
Atletico Madrid logoAtletico Madrid ★
5 3 1 1 10
6
Sevilla logoSevilla
5 3 1 1 10
7
Deportivo La Coruna logoDeportivo La Coruna
5 2 3 0 9
8
Espanyol logoEspanyol
5 2 1 2 7
9
Athletic Club logoAthletic Club ★
5 2 1 2 7
10
Racing Santander logoRacing Santander
5 2 1 2 7
11
Osasuna logoOsasuna
5 2 1 2 7
12
Real Sociedad logoReal Sociedad
6 2 1 3 7
13
Levante logoLevante
5 1 2 2 5
14
Getafe logoGetafe
5 1 2 2 5
15
Celta Vigo logoCelta Vigo
6 0 4 2 4
16
Rayo Vallecano logoRayo Vallecano
5 1 1 3 4
17
Malaga logoMalaga
5 0 3 2 3
18
Villarreal logoVillarreal
5 0 2 3 2
19
Elche logoElche
5 0 2 3 2
20
Valencia logoValencia
5 0 1 4 1
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