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La Liga

Elche VS Real Madrid: Final Score & Prediction

La Liga 15.09.2026 · 15:30 Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero Referee: J. Manzano
Elche emblem
Elche
D
L
L
L
D
Full Time
2 – 3
HT 0:2
15 Sep · 15:30
Real Madrid emblem
Real Madrid
W
W
L
W
W

Match Stats

Elche 2:3 Real Madrid
56%
Ball Possession
44%
11
Total Shots
20
3
Shots on Target
4
6
Shots off Target
11
2
Blocked Shots
5
7
Shots Inside Box
15
4
Shots Outside Box
5
2
Corners
5
1
Offsides
5
21
Fouls
8
4
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1
542
Total Passes
430
492
Accurate Passes
383

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
4'
Yan DiomandeYellow Card
25'
Matías DituroOwn Goal
Marc AguadoYellow Card
31'
33'
Kylian MbappéGoal · Yan Diomande
Marc AguadoSubstitution · Lucas Cepeda
58'
Germán ValeraSubstitution · Thomas Lemar
58'
68'
ViníciusSubstitution · Brahim Díaz
68'
Arda GülerSubstitution · Jude Bellingham
Buba SangaréSubstitution · Ruben Sanchez Saez
68'
Martim NetoSubstitution · Fernando Niño Rodríguez
68'
Abiel Alessio OsorioGoal · Lucas Cepeda
71'
73'
Ibrahima KonatéYellow Card
Lucas CepedaYellow Card
78'
Tete MorenteSubstitution · José Antonio Ferrández Pomares
80'
Fernando Niño RodríguezGoal · José Antonio Ferrández Pomares
83'
86'
Aurelien TchouameniSubstitution · Endrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa
87'
Trent Alexander-ArnoldSubstitution · Carlos Espí
90+1'
Carlos EspíGoal · Kylian Mbappé
90+2'
Yan DiomandeSubstitution · Denzel Dumfries
José Antonio Ferrández PomaresYellow Card
90+3'
Gonzalo VillarYellow Card
90+4'

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
9%
Elche
14%
Draw
77%
Real Madrid

Form Comparison

■ Elche ■ Real Madrid
Elche
Real Madrid
14%
Form
86%
30%
Att
70%
24%
Def
76%
17%
Poisson distribution
83%
15%
H2h
85%
25%
Goals
75%
21%
Total
79%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
14.03.2026
Real Madrid vs Elche
4 — 1
23.11.2025
Elche vs Real Madrid
2 — 2
15.02.2023
Real Madrid vs Elche
4 — 0
19.10.2022
Elche vs Real Madrid
0 — 3
23.01.2022
Real Madrid vs Elche
2 — 2
20.01.2022
Elche vs Real Madrid
1 — 2
30.10.2021
Elche vs Real Madrid
1 — 2
13.03.2021
Real Madrid vs Elche
2 — 1
30.12.2020
Elche vs Real Madrid
1 — 1
22.02.2015
Elche vs Real Madrid
0 — 2

Last Matches

Elche
Real Madrid
12.09.2026
Athletic Club vs Elche
1 — 1
07.09.2026
Elche vs Real Sociedad
2 — 3
28.08.2026
Racing Santander vs Elche
2 — 3
23.08.2026
Elche vs Barcelona
0 — 5
17.08.2026
Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche
1 — 1
W: 0 · D: 2 · L: 3

Injuries and Suspensions

Elche
Y. Santiago
Real Madrid
Eder Militao, F. Mendy, Rodrygo

Real Madrid enters this match with a commanding away form, having won four of their last five away games, scoring an average of 1.60 goals while conceding just 0.60. In contrast, Elche has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2.60 goals over their last five matches. This defensive frailty could be a critical factor against a potent Real Madrid attack.

Form and Context

Elche currently sits in 18th place and has not managed a win in their last five matches, drawing three and losing two. Their last home performance saw a 2-2 draw against Al Ain, reflecting their tendency to leak goals at home with an average of 2.00 goals conceded in recent home fixtures. Meanwhile, Real Madrid is second in the league, showcasing impressive form with four wins in their last five matches. Their last game was a comprehensive 3-0 away victory at FC Schalke 04, exemplifying their defensive solidity and attacking prowess.

Key Numbers

Real Madrid's attacking statistics are formidable, with 2.60 goals scored on average in their last five matches, including a dominant 4-0 win against Malaga. Elche, on the other hand, has averaged 1.40 goals scored but has been vulnerable at the back. The head-to-head record heavily favors Real Madrid, who have secured three wins and two draws in their last five encounters with Elche. This historical dominance is underscored by a 4-0 and 3-0 victory in previous meetings.

Prediction

Given the current form and statistical trends, Real Madrid is likely to capitalize on Elche's defensive weaknesses. The most probable betting event is a handicap bet in favor of Real Madrid, specifically "Handicap 2: 1.5," indicating they are expected to win by at least two goals. This prediction is bolstered by their superior goal-scoring record and Elche's defensive struggles. Confidence in this outcome is rated at 8 out of 10. Additional betting opportunities include a "Win 2" market, given Real Madrid's consistent away victories, with a 75% probability. The likelihood of "Total:Over: 3.0" is also strong at 70%, considering both teams' recent goal-scoring trends. A draw is unlikely, but "X" carries a 10% probability, while "Total Team 1 Under: 1" for Elche aligns with their recent scoring difficulties, at a 65% probability.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Win 2
75%
Total:Over: 3.0
70%
X
10%
Total Team 1 Under: 1
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Elche vs Real Madrid
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet
Betano

La Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Barcelona logoBarcelona
7 7 0 0 21
2
Real Madrid logoReal Madrid ★
6 5 0 1 15
3
Real Betis logoReal Betis
6 5 0 1 15
4
Atletico Madrid logoAtletico Madrid
6 4 1 1 13
5
Sevilla logoSevilla
7 4 1 2 13
6
Alaves logoAlaves
7 3 2 2 11
7
Deportivo La Coruna logoDeportivo La Coruna
6 2 3 1 9
8
Athletic Club logoAthletic Club
6 2 2 2 8
9
Rayo Vallecano logoRayo Vallecano
7 2 2 3 8
10
Osasuna logoOsasuna
7 2 2 3 8
11
Celta Vigo logoCelta Vigo
7 1 4 2 7
12
Espanyol logoEspanyol
7 2 1 4 7
13
Real Sociedad logoReal Sociedad
6 2 1 3 7
14
Racing Santander logoRacing Santander
7 2 1 4 7
15
Villarreal logoVillarreal
6 1 2 3 5
16
Levante logoLevante
5 1 2 2 5
17
Getafe logoGetafe
6 1 2 3 5
18
Elche logoElche ★
7 1 2 4 5
19
Valencia logoValencia
6 1 1 4 4
20
Malaga logoMalaga
6 0 3 3 3
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